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What can cybernetics contribute to the conscious evolution of organizations and society?

This contribution is based on the Ludwig von Bertalanffy Lecture delivered by the author at the 47th Conference of the International Society for the System Sciences (ISSS) in Crete, 7 July 2003. The conference was organized around the issue Conscious Evolution of Humanity: Using Systems Thinking to Construct Agoras of the Global Village. This article explores the potential and actual...

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English / 11/10/2004

A dialogue on the future of ISSS: Team Syntegrity sessions at the Crete conference

One of the sections of the the 47th Conference of the International Society for the System Sciences (ISSS) in Crete was dedicated to the methodology and applications of Team Syntegrity (TS). TS is a methodology to make the discourse of large groups effective, which is particularly useful in the context of conversations about the future. This contribution is centred on a Team...

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English / 11/10/2004

Reward-Risk Portfolio Selection and Stochastic Dominance

The portfolio selection problem is traditionally modelled by two different approaches. The first one is based on an axiomatic model of risk-averse preferences, where decision makers are assumed to possess an expected utility function. The second approach, first proposed by Markowitz (1952), reduces the portfolio choice to a set of two criteria, reward and risk. Usually the reward-...

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English / 01/10/2004

'Just Forget It' - Memory Distortion as Bounded Rationality"

Distortions in memory impose important bounds on rationality but have been largely disregarded in economics. While it is possible to learn, it is more difficult, and sometimes impossible, to unlearn. This retention effect lowers individual utility directly or via reduced productivity, andnadds costs to principal-agent relationships. The imprinting effect states that the more one...

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English / 01/10/2004

The Importance of Firms in Wage Determination

Firms are central to many theories of the labor market. However, the actual degree to which firms shape the structure of wages is still not well understood. This paper investigates (i) the importance of firms in explaining wage differences across individuals and industries, and (ii) how the nature of interfirm mobility - job-to-job vs. job-unemployment-job - affects the relative...

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English / 01/10/2004

Contest success function with the possibility of a draw: axiomatization

In imperfectly discriminating contests the contestants contribute effort to win a prize but the highest contributed effort does not necessarily secure a win. The contest success function (CSF) is the technology that translates an individual's effort into his or her probability of winning. This paper provides an axiomatization of CSF when there is the possibility of a draw (the...

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English / 01/10/2004

The Role of Direct Democracy and Federalism in Local Power

"Alienation to politics weakens political competition and can undermine the acceptance and legitimacy of democracy as a political system. Governance andnrepresentation problems at the local level cause part of citizens’ lack of power andnpolitical alienation. Citizens have local power if they can process so that its outcomes are closer to their preferences and if they...

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English / 01/10/2004

Demokratische Beteiligung und Staatsausgaben: Die Auswirkungen des Frauenstimmrechts

In dieser Arbeit werden die Auswirkungen des Frauenstimmrechts auf die Staatsausgaben in den Kantonen der Schweiz untersucht. Anhand dieser institutionell bedingten Veränderung des Elektorats studieren wir den Zusammenhang zwischen repräsentierten Bürgerpräferenzen und dem Ergebnis des politischen Prozesses. Da Frauen imnDurchschnitt einkommensärmer sind als Männer, steigt mit ihrer...

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English / 01/10/2004

Efficient elicitation of utility and probability weighting functions

Elicitation methods in decision making under risk allow a researcher to infer thensubjective utilities of outcomes as well as the subjective weights of probabilities from observed preferences of an individual. An optimally efficient elicitation method is proposed, which takes into account the inevitable distortion of preferences by random errors and minimizesnthe effect of such...

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English / 01/10/2004

Deductible or Co-Insurance: Which is the Better Insurance Contract under Adverse Selection?

The standard solution to adverse selection is the separating equilibrium introduced by Rothschild and Stiglitz. Usually, the Rothschild-Stiglitz argument is developed in a model that allows for two states of the world only. In this paper adverse selection is dis-cussed for continuous loss distributions. This gives rise to the new problem of finding the proper form of an insurance...

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English / 01/10/2004

Interaction of recruiter and applicant gender in resume evaluation: A field study

In the present study, we examined the effect of recruiter and applicant gender on recruiters' evaluations of applicants' qualifications as reported on actual applicant resumes. Forty recruiters evaluated applicant resumes that were randomly allocated to them. In total, 388 recruiter evaluations of applicant resumes comprised the sample. Results indicate that recruiter and...

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English / 01/10/2004

Eignung von Hedgefonds für das Asset Management der deutschen Versicherungsindustrie

Seit Beginn des Jahres 2004 besteht in Deutschland durch das Investmentmodernisierungsgesetz die Möglichkeit zur Gründung und zum Vertrieb von Hedgefonds. Damit einhergehend wird auch in deutschen Versicherungsunternehmen über Möglichkeiten und Grenzen dieser Anlageform intensiv diskutiert. Auf der einen Seite scheinen Hedgefonds beachtliche Chancen zu bieten, denn sie sind durch...

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Deutsch / 30/09/2004

Betriebliche Personalpolitik im technologischen und organisatorischen Innovationsprozess

Technologische und organisatorische Innovationen stellen heutzutage große Anforderungen an eine moderne Personalpolitik und andere Bereiche der Unternehmenspolitik. Sie können auf betriebliche Geschäftsstrategien ebenso Einfluss ausüben wie auf die Veränderung von Unternehmensgrenzen und ziehen in der Regel erhebliche personelle Konsequenzen in quantitativer und qualitativer Hinsicht...

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Deutsch / 15/09/2004

Risikoausgleich – verkanntes Stiefkind: Eine Schlüsselgrösse im System des KVG

Neun Jahre Wettbewerb unter den Krankenversicherungen brachten nicht die erhofften kostendämpfenden Effekte. Schuld daran ist, wie der Autor des folgenden Beitrags darlegt,
eine verfehlte Wettbewerbsregulierung, die dem sogenannten Risikoausgleich zwischen den Krankenversicherern zu wenig Beachtung schenkt.

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Deutsch / 03/09/2004

Does Marriage Make People Happy, Or Do Happy People Get Married

This paper analyzes the causal relationships between marriage and subjective well-being in a longitudinal data set spanning 17 years. We find evidence that more happy singles opt more likely for marriage and that there are large differences in the benefits from marriage between couples. Potential, as well as actual, division of labor seems to contribute to spouses' well-being,...

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English / 01/09/2004

The Effect of Sunk Costs on the Outcome of Alternating-Offers - Bargaining between Inequity-Averse Agents

The paper analyzes the infinite-horizon alternating-offers bargaining game between agents with inequity-averse preferences. Without prior investments,nthe model predicts a shift of the outcome towards equal division. Asymmetricninvestments affect the ex-post bargaining outcome, giving an advantage to the party that contributed more. Under suitable circumstances, this effectnmay...

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English / 01/09/2004

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