Publications des institutions partenaires

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Martin Schlegel and Sébastien Kraenzlin: Demand for Reserves and the Central Bank's Management of Interest Rates

The implementation of monetary policy is prevalently done by interest rate targeting with a short term market rate serving as operational target. The instruments for achieving the operational target are the provision of reserves and the interest rate charged in these transactions. This paper presents a model for the estimation of the demand curve for reserves, derived from the...

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 27/04/2016

Sébastien Kraenzlin and Martin Schlegel: Bidding Behavior in the SNB's Repo Auctions

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) provides reserves to market participants via fixed rate tender auctions. We analyze the banks' bidding behavior and identify the determinants for the decision to participate as well as on the amount to tender. Therefore, we estimate bidding functions for banks which participate regularly in the SNB's auctions. We find that a bank's bids from the previous...

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 27/04/2016

Barbara Rudolf and Mathias Zurlinden: Productivity and economic growth in Switzerland 1991-2005

In this paper, we analyse the sources of economic growth in Switzerland during the period 1991-2005. The results suggest that labour input and capital input contribute 0.57 pp and 0.45 pp, respectively, to the average annual GDP growth of 1.28%. The remaining 0.25 pp represent growth in multi-factor productivity, which is calculated as a residual. The estimate of growth in multi-...

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 27/04/2016

Philip Sauré and Hosny Zoabi: Effects of Trade on Female Labor Force Participation

Male and female labor are imperfect substitutes and some sectors are more suitable for female employment than others. Clearly, expansions of those sectors that use female labor intensively must affect aggregate female labor force participation (FLFP). We suggest that FLFP actually drops when trade and international specialization expand sectors that use female labor intensively. This...

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 27/04/2016

Nicole Allenspach: Banking and Transparency: Is More Information Always Better?

This paper shows that transparency in banking can be harmful from a social planner's point of view. According to our model, enhancing transparency above a certain level may lead to the inefficient liquidation of a bank. The reason lies in the nature of a standard deposit contract: its payoff scheme has limited upside gains (cap) but leaves the depositor with the downside risk....

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 27/04/2016

Philip Sauré: Bounded Love of Variety and Patterns of Trade

Recent trade data exhibit the following four empirical regularities: (i) countries import only a small fraction of all traded varieties (ii) per capita income and the number of imported varieties correlate positively (iii) per capita income and trade shares correlate positively and, finally, (iv) world trade shares have increased substantially. The present paper argues that standard...

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 27/04/2016

Terhi Jokipii and Alistair Milne: Bank Capital Buffer and Risk Adjustment Decisions

Building an unbalanced panel of United States (US) bank holding company (BHC) and commercial bank balance sheet data from 1986 to 2006, we examine the relationship between short-term capital buffer and portfolio risk adjustments. Our estimations indicate that the relationship over the sample period is a positive two-way relationship. Moreover, we show that the management of such...

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 27/04/2016

Christian Hott: Banks and Real Estate Prices

The willingness of banks to provide funding for real estate purchases depends on the creditworthiness of their borrowers. Beside other factors, the creditworthiness of borrowers depends on the development of real estate prices. Real estate prices, in turn, depend on the demand for homes which is influenced by the willingness of banks to provide funding for real estate purchases. In...

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 27/04/2016

Philipp Haene and Andy Sturm: Optimal Central Counterparty Risk Management

In order to protect themselves against the potential losses in case of a participant's default and to contain systemic risk, central counterparties (CCPs) need to maintain sufficient financial resources. Typically, these financial resources consist of margin requirements and contributions to a collective default fund. Based on a stylized model of CCP risk management, this article...

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 27/04/2016

Sarah Marit Lein and Eva Köberl: Capacity Utilisation, Constraintes and Price Adjustments under the Microscope

This paper analyses the interplay of capacity utilisation, capacity constraints, demand constraints and price adjustments, employing a unique firm-level data set for Swiss manufacturing firms. Theoretically, capacity constraints limit the ability of firms to expand production in the short run and lead to increases in prices. Our results show that, on the one hand, price increases are...

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 27/04/2016

Christian Hott: Explaining House Price Fluctuations

A comparison of fundamental house prices with actual prices indicates that house prices fluctuate more than fundamentally justified. This fact is very hard to explain with standard rational agent models. This paper develops a housing market model that allows to examine the price effects of various kinds of agents' expectations. In this framework I we show that the consideration of...

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 27/04/2016

Paul Söderlind: Inflation Risk Premia and Survey Evidence on Macroeconomic Uncertainty

Nominal and real U.S. interest rates (1997Q1-2008Q2) are combined with inflation expectations from the Survey of Professional Forecasters to calculate time series of risk premia. It is shown that survey data on inflation and output growth uncertainty, as well as a proxy for liquidity premia can explain a large amount of the variation in these risk premia.

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 27/04/2016

Matteo Bonato, Massimiliano Caporin and Angelo Ranaldo: Forecasting realized (co)variances with a block structure Wishart autoregressive model

In modelling and forecasting volatility, two main trade-offs emerge: mathematical tractability versus economic interpretation and accuracy versus speed. The authors attempt to reconcile, at least partially, both trade-offs. The former trade-off is crucial for many financial applications, including portfolio and risk management. The speed/accuracy trade-off is becoming more and more...

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Banque nationale suisse

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English / 27/04/2016

Martin Brown, Steven Ongena and Pinar Yesin: Foreign Currency Borrowing by Small Firms

We examine the firm- and country-level determinants of the currency denomination of small business loans. We first model the choice of loan currency in a framework which features a trade-off between lower cost of debt and the risk of firm-level distress costs, and also examines the impact of information asymmetry between banks and firms. When foreign currency funds come at a lower...

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 27/04/2016

Thomas Bolli and Mathias Zurlinden: Measurement of labor quality growth caused by unobservable characteristics

The standard economy-wide indices of labor quality (or human capital) largely ignore the role of unobservable worker characteristics. In this paper, we develop a methodology for identifying the contributions of both observable and unobservable worker characteristics in the presence of the incidental parameter problem. Based on data for Switzerland over the period 1991-2006, we find...

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 27/04/2016

Christian Beer, Steven Ongena and Marcel Peter: Borrowing in Foreign Currency: Austrian Households as Carry Traders

Household borrowing in a foreign currency is a widespread phenomenon in Austria. Twelve percent of Austrian households report their housing loan to be denominated in either Swiss franc or Japanese yen for example. Yet, despite its importance, peculiar character, and immediate policy concerns, we know too little about the attitudes and characteristics of the households involved in...

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 27/04/2016

Raphael Anton Auer and Andreas M. Fischer: The Effect of Low-Wage Import Competition on U.S. Inflationary Pressure

This paper develops a new methodology to estimate the effect of low-wage import competition on U.S. producer prices. We first document that when low-wage countries grow, their exports to the United States increase most in labor-intensive sectors. Second, we demonstrate that the temporary and relative component of imports induced by labor intensity and output growth in low-wage...

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 27/04/2016

Ernst Fehr, Martin Brown and Christian Zehnder: On Reputation: A Microfoundation of Contract Enforcement and Price Rigidity

We study the impact of reputational incentives in markets characterized by moral hazard problems. Social preferences have been shown to enhance contract enforcement in these markets, while at the same time generating considerable wage and price rigidity. Reputation powerfully amplifies the positive effects of social preferences on contract enforcement by increasing contract...

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Banque nationale suisse

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English / 27/04/2016

Katrin Assenmacher-Wesche and Stefan Gerlach: Financial Structure and the Impact of Monetary Policy on Asset Prices

We study the responses of residential property and equity prices, inflation and economic activity to monetary policy shocks in 17 countries, using data spanning 1986-2006, using single-country VARs and panel VARs in which we distinguish between groups of countries depending on their financial systems. The effect of monetary policy on property prices is only about three times as large...

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 27/04/2016

Daniel Kaufmann: Price-Setting Behaviour in Switzerland Evidence from CPI Micro Data

This paper investigates price-setting behaviour of firms based on the individual price quotes underlying the Swiss consumer price index. The data set covers the years from 1993 to 2005. Six main findings emerge from the analysis. (i) Prices are sticky; the median duration amounts to 4.6 quarters. (ii) Price-setting behaviour is heterogeneous across sectors and outlet characteristics...

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 27/04/2016

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