Publications des institutions partenaires
Combining Matching and Nonparametric Instrumental Variable estimation: Theory and an Application to the Evaluation of Active Labour Market Policies : Appendix
We show how instrumental variable and matching estimators can be combined in order to identify a broader array of treatment effects. Instrumental variable (IV) estimators are known to estimate effects only for the compliers, representing a subset of the entire population. By combining IV with matching, we can estimate the treatment effects for the always- and never-takers as well....
Institution partenaire
English / 14/06/2014
A Jackknife-Type Estimator for Portfolio Revision
This paper proposes a novel approach to portfolio revision. The current literature
on portfolio optimization uses a somewhat naïve approach, where portfolio weights are always completely revised after a predefined fixed period. However, one shortcoming of this procedure is that it ignores parameter uncertainty in the estimated portfolio weights, as well as the biasedness of the...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/06/2014
Regional Differences in Perceived Corruption among Ukrainian Firms
This paper investigates regional differences in the perception of corruption and informal practices among Ukrainian firms. Using two different data sets from Ukraine we show that perceived corruption differs significantly across regions, even when taking into account the size, industry, workforce composition, and other characteristics of the firms based on propensity score matching....
Institution partenaire
English / 09/05/2014
Sensitivity checks for the local average treatment effect
The nonparametric identification of the local average treatment effect (LATE) hinges on the satisfaction of three instrumental variable assumptions: (1) unconfounded assignment of the instrument, (2) no average direct effect of the instrument on the outcome within compliance types (exclusion restriction), and (3) weak monotonicity of the treatment in the instrument. While (1) often...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/05/2014
Die Verteufelung von Ritalin zerstört Familien
Institution partenaire
Deutsch / 06/04/2014
Treatment evaluation with multiple outcome periods under endogeneity and attrition
This paper develops a nonparametric methodology for treatment evaluation with multiple outcome periods under treatment endogeneity and missing outcomes. We use instrumental variables, pre-treatment characteristics, and short-term (or intermediate) outcomes to identify the average treatment effect on the outcomes of compliers (the subpopulation whose treatment reacts on the instrument...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/03/2014
Insights from Swiss Pension Systems
This chapter takes Switzerland's much praised three-pillar system to illustrate some of the challenges pension system reforms face in an aging society. It shows that policymakers are confronted by some individuals with behavioral anomalies, and by others who strategically exploit the system The trade-off between providing incentives and adequate retirement income limits policy...
Institution partenaire
English / 23/01/2014
Assignment Mechanisms, Selection Criteria, and the Effectiveness of Training Programmes
We analyse the effectiveness of vocational training under two different assignment mechanisms. The direct assignment mechanism is characterised by the strong influence of caseworkers who can directly assign the unemployed to vocational training courses. Under the voucher assignment mechanism unemployed have more freedom to choose among different courses and training providers....
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2014
Corporate Transparency and Bond Liquidity
To answer the question what causes an asset to be illiquid, we analyze the impact that transparency of corporate accounting information has on the liquidity of its traded bonds. In particular, we focus on how this relationship depends on aggregate liquidity and the financial state of the firm. We use an extensive panel data set comprising more than 40,000 quarterly bond observations...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2014
Does preschool boost the development of minority children? The case of young Romas in Eastern and Central Europe
Does universal preschool constitute an effective policy tool to promote the development and integration of children from minority groups? In the light of rising cross border migration and increasing ethnic variation in many developed countries, we address this question for the children of the Roma - the largest and most disadvantaged minority in Europe. To tackle the issue of non-...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2014
Direct and indirect treatment effects: Causal chains and mediation analysis with instrumental variables
This paper discusses the nonparametric identification of causal direct and indirect effects of a binary treatment based on instrumental variables. We identify the indirect effect, which operates through a mediator (i.e. intermediate variable) that is situated on the causal path between the treatment and the outcome, as well as the unmediated direct effect of the treatment using...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2014
Should Welfare Administration be Centralized or Decentralized? Evidence from a Policy Experiment
The 2005 reform of the German welfare system introduced two competing organizational models for welfare administration. In most districts, a centralized organization was established where local welfare agencies are bound to central directives. At the same time, 69 districts were allowed to opt for a decentralized organization. We evaluate the relative success of both types in terms...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2014
Sharp bounds on causal effects under sample selection
In many empirical problems, the evaluation of treatment effects is complicated by sample selection so that the outcome is only observed for a non-random subpopulation. In the absence of instruments and/or tight parametric assumptions, treatment effects are not point identified, but can be bounded under mild restrictions. Previous work on partial identification has primarily focused...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2014
Deposit Withdrawals from Distressed Banks: Client Relationships Matter
We study retail deposit withdrawals from commercial banks which were
differentially exposed to distress during the 2007-2009 financial crisis. We show that the propensity of households to withdraw deposits increases with the severity of bank distress. Withdrawal risk is, however, substantially mitigated by strong bank-client relationships. Considering the most distressed bank...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2014
Den Familien-Abzug gibt es längst
Die SVP-Familieninitiative schafft neue Ungerechtigkeit. Die faire Lösung wäre simpel: Der Abzug für die Fremdbetreuung von Kindern wird nur gewährt, wenn beide Eltern arbeiten.
Institution partenaire
Deutsch / 03/11/2013
Die ewige Angst vor dem Abstieg
Obwohl es dem Schweizer Mittelstand bessergeht denn je, fürchtet er um seine Privilegien. Neben den gefühlten Nöten gibt es aber durchaus reale - und die Politik weiss darauf keine vernünftige Antwort.
Institution partenaire
Deutsch / 01/10/2013
A simple test for the ignorability of non-compliance in experiments
This papers proposes a simple method for testing whether non-compliance in experiments is ignorable, i.e., not jointly related to the treatment and the outcome. The approach consists of (i) regressing the outcome variable on a constant, the treatment, the assignment indicator, and the treatment/assignment interaction and (ii) testing whether the coefficients on the latter two...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/09/2013
Testing exclusion restrictions and additive separability in sample selection models
Standard sample selection models with non-randomly censored outcomes assume (i) an exclusion restriction (i.e., a variable affecting selection, but not the outcome) and (ii) additive separability of the errors in the selection process. This paper proposes tests for the joint satisfaction of these assumptions by applying the approach of Huber and Mellace (2011) (for testing instrument...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/09/2013
Identifying causal mechanisms (primarily) based on inverse probability weighting
This paper demonstrates the identification of causal mechanisms of a binary treatment under selection on observables, (primarily) based on inverse probability weighting. I.e., we consider the average indirect effect of the treatment, which operates through an intermediate variable (or mediator) that is situated on the causal path between the treatment and the outcome, as well as the...
Institution partenaire
English / 30/06/2013
Es stimmt etwas nicht mit der Betreuung unserer Kinder
Warum braucht eine Kinderkrippe viel mehr Personal als ein Kindergarten?
Institution partenaire
Deutsch / 16/06/2013
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