Publications des institutions partenaires
Bootstrap estimation of uncertainty in prediction for generalized linear mixed models
In the framework of Mixed Models, it is often of interest to provide an es- timate of the uncertainty in predictions for the random effects, customarily defined by the Mean Squared Error of Prediction (MSEP). To address this computation in the Generalized Linear Mixed Model (GLMM) context, a non-parametric Bootstrap algorithm is proposed. First, a newly developed Bootstrap scheme...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2017
Interests groups in parliament: exploring MPs' interest affiliations (2000-2011)
This research note presents an innovative dataset of Swiss MPs' interest ties between 2000-2011. The longitudinal analysis shows that the average number of interest ties per MP has more than doubled: from 3.5 in 2000 to 7.6 in 2011. Since the mid-2000s, public interest groups have accounted for approximately one out of two ties between MPs and interest groups, showing the...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2017
Les déchets militaires : De la conception aux impacts territoriaux
Classiquement, la notion de déchet est articulée autour de deux concepts distincts : les déchets ménagers et les déchets industriels. Etant donné le polymorphisme de cette notion et les nombreuses représentations lui incombant, le terme de déchet s’est construit autour de diverses catégories établies dans une triple logique : (i) en fonction de leurs sources de production – déchets...
Institution partenaire
Français / 01/01/2017
A random-effects hurdle model for predicting bycatch of endangered marine species
Understanding and reducing the incidence of accidental bycatch, particularly for vulnerable species such as sharks, is a major challenge for contemporary fisheries management worldwide. Bycatch data, most often collected by at-sea observers during fishing trips, are clustered by trip and/or vessel and typically involve a large number of zero counts and very few positive counts....
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2017
Frictions in Regulation and Governance: Policy implications for public utilities
The Institutional Resource Regime framework appears successful in comparing natural resource governance systems but unable to provide a common and persuasive explanation of the evolution of these systems. To fill this gap, the concepts of institutional complexity trap and transversal transaction costs (TTC) have been recently put forward. IRRs tend to fall into an institutional...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2017
Workplace characteristics and working class vote for the old and new right
This article focuses on the role of plant size for working class vote. We argue that workplace size does matter for political behaviour. Workers in smaller plants are less unionised and therefore base their voting decisions more strongly on their cultural attitudes, which undermines the support for social democratic parties. Using data from the European Social Survey (2002-2010), we...
Institution partenaire
Français / 01/01/2017
Un risque invisible : Le cas des munitions immergées dans les lacs suisses
Institution partenaire
Français / 01/01/2017
Le trouble du spectre de l'autisme dans le film Rain Man
Institution partenaire
Français / 01/01/2017
Established risk factors for addiction fail to discriminate between healthy gamers and gamers endorsing DSM-5 Internet gaming disorder
Background and aims The DSM-5 includes criteria for diagnosing Internet gaming disorder (IGD) that are adapted from substance abuse and widely used in research and clinical contexts, although evidence supporting their validity remains scarce. This study compared online gamers who do or do not endorse IGD criteria regarding self-control-related abilities (impulsivity, inhibitory...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2017
On the Inference of Random Effects in Generalized Linear Mixed Models
In the first chapter, the problem of Bootstrap inference for the parameters of a GLMM is addressed. We formulate a bootstrapping strategy consisting on the random weighting of the contributions to the Joint Likelihood of Outcomes and Random Effects. Using the Laplace Approximation method for integrals on this function, yields a Random Weighted Log-Likelihood that produces the desired...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2017
Solidarity in times of inequality: trade union politics and union membership effects
Europe has been marked by many profound changes since the 1980s. Among those prominently discussed in the political economy literature are the massive decline in trade union membership, the alarming rise in income inequality, and the increasingly disproportionate distribution of labor market risks. This thesis combines these issues and explores how unionization relates to income and...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2017
Short-term dynamics in issue-ownership and vote conversion
In this paper, my primary goal is to test if vote conversion is in line with voters' perceptions of parties' competence, i.e. if the competence change in favor of a party during the political campaign triggers vote conversion in favor of this same party. Then, I assess the moderating role of saliency and political knowledge and the difference between ‘valence' and...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2017
For the sake of market access: Comparing EU and US approaches to liberalize public procurement in Brazil, India and China
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2017
On the fringes of the European peace project: The neighbourhood policy's functionalist hubris and political myopia
The destabilization of Eastern Europe and of the Southern Mediterranean has exposed the limits of the European peace project. Obviously, the European Neighbourhood Policy has not succeeded in boosting peace and prosperity. This article attributes this failure to a combination of functionalist hubris and political myopia that emanates from the European Union's peculiar...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2017
The limits of governance: How far does policy analysis travel in international relations?
This article retraces the mutual rapprochement between Policy Analysis and International Relations and addresses its limits. Looking beyond the circle of advanced liberal-democratic economies, three limits are discussed: the need to specify the prerequisites of different modes of governance; to consider the relations of power and domination in these processes; and to look beyond...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2017
Labour rights promotion in the absence of conditionality ? How the EU and the US engage China and India
Labour standards are one of the most contested issues in economic relations between developed countries and emerging markets. As attempts to codify such standards in the WTO have failed, the EU and the US have intensified their efforts to promote them in bilateral and regional Preferential Trade Agreements (PTAs). Whereas this practice has been quite consistent across the globe, the...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2017
The EU as a Global Actor in Reforming the International Investment Regime in Light of Sustainable Development
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2017
Si l'Union européenne n'existait pas...
Quels sont les apports de l'Union européenne? Rares sont les textes qui traitent simplement à cette question. Ce texte y répond par une analyse de type contrefactuelle. Autrement dit: que serait-il passé si l'UE n'avait pas été mise en place?
Institution partenaire
Français / 01/01/2017
Two logics of policy intervention in immigrant integration: an institutionalist framework based on capabilities and aspirations
The effectiveness of immigrant integration policies has gained considerable attention across Western democracies dealing with ethnically and culturally diverse societies. However, the findings on what type of policy produces more favourable integration outcomes remain inconclusive. The conflation of normative and analytical assumptions on integration is a major challenge for causal...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2017
Essays in financial econometrics
The recent events since the onset of the subprime crisis in 2007 have put forward the central role of the financial market in developed economies and its close linkages with other markets, such as the sovereign one. The extreme (co)variations in the financial market are difficult to explain by the value of the fundamentals, and factors like investor sentiment, liquidity and...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2016
Pages
Le portail de l'information économique suisse
© 2016 Infonet Economy