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Bank loan announcements and borrower stock returns before and during the recent financial crisis

The impact of U.S. bank loan announcements on the stock prices of the corporate borrowers
has been decreasing during the two last decades with estimated two-day cumulative abnormal returns slipping from almost 200 basis points in the beginning of the 1980s to close to zero by the turn of the Century. We estimate excess returns before and after the onset of the most recent...

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English / 01/12/2015

A Random Forests Based Performance Ratio for Regulatory Asset Portfolio Management and Optimization

The following paper proposes a portfolio performance measure to optimize, mostly bond asset portfolios usually held for regulatory purposes from a risk focused perspective. The measure is based on variations of the proximity measure introduced by the Random Forests framework, leading to a proximity based performance ratio. The proximities are modeled using a recursive conditional...

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English / 04/11/2015

Scalable high-dimensional dynamic stochastic economic modeling

We present a highly parallelizable and flexible computational method to solve high-dimensional stochastic dynamic economic models. Solving such models often requires the use of iterative methods, like time iteration or dynamic programming. By exploiting the generic iterative structure of this broad class of economic problems, we propose a parallelization scheme that favors hybrid...

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English / 01/11/2015

Liquidity Management in Banking: What is the Role of Leverage?

This paper examines potential impacts of banks' leverage on their incentives to manage their liquidity. We analyze a model where banks control their liquidity risk by managing their liquid asset positions. In the basic framework, a model with a single bank, where the possibility of selling long-term assets when in need of liquidity is not taken into account, we find that the...

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English / 31/10/2015

The motives for financial complexity: An empirical investigation

This paper investigates the motives for financial complexity by focusing on a large market of investment products exclusively targeted to households. We develop a robust measure of complexity by performing a text analysis of the term sheets of 55,000 retail structured products issued in 17 European countries since 2002. We first find that the complexity of structured products has...

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English / 09/10/2015

More than money: exploring the role of investment advisors for sustainable investing

Purpose – Investment advisors play a significant role in financial markets, yet the determinants of their behavior have not been explored in detail. The purpose of this paper is to explore the determinants of how actively advisors communicate about sustainable investing with their clients, and differences in the preferences of advisors compared to investors. Design/methodology/...

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English / 08/09/2015

Collateral smile

We analyze the impact of funding costs and margin requirements on index options traded on the CBOE. Assuming differential borrowing and lending rates, we derive no-arbitrage bounds for European options. We show that funding costs and the CBOE’s margin requirements lead to a price increase, which translates into skew and smile patterns for implied volatility curves even under constant...

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English / 01/09/2015

Detecting abnormal trading activities in option markets

We develop an econometric method to detect "abnormal trades" in option markets, i.e., trades which are not driven by liquidity motives. Abnormal trades are characterized by unusually large increments in open interest, trading volume, and option returns, and are not used for option hedging purposes. We use a multiple hypothesis testing technique to control for false...

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English / 01/09/2015

Social interaction at work

Stock market investment decisions of individuals are positively correlated with that of co-workers. Sorting of unobservably similar individuals to the same workplaces is unlikely to explain our results, as evidenced by the investment behavior of individuals that move between plants. Purchases made under stronger co-worker purchase activity are not associated with higher returns....

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English / 01/09/2015

A Theory of the Stakeholder Corporation

There is a widely held view within the general public that large corporations should act in the interests of a broader group of agents than just their shareholders (the stake- holder view). This paper presents a framework where this idea can be justified. The point of departure is the observation that a large firm typically faces endogenous risks that may have a significant...

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English / 01/09/2015

What is beneath the surface? Option pricing with multifrequency latent states

We introduce a tractable class of non-ane price processes with multifrequency stochastic volatil- ity and jumps. The specications require few xed parameters and deliver fast option pricing. One key ingredient is a tight link between jumps and volatility regimes, as asset pricing theory suggests. Empirically, the model matches implied volatility surfaces and their dynamics with- out...

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English / 01/08/2015

COMFORT: A common market factor non-Gaussian returns model

A new multivariate time series model with various attractive properties is motivated and studied. By extending the CCC model in several ways, it allows for all the primary stylized facts of financial asset returns, including volatility clustering, non-normality (excess kurtosis and asymmetry), and also dynamics in the dependency between assets over time. A fast EM-algorithm is...

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English / 01/08/2015

Monetary policy, risk-taking and pricing: Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment

We study the risk-taking channel of monetary policy in Bolivia, a dollarized country where monetary changes are transmitted exogenously from the USA. We find that a lower policy rate spurs the granting of riskier loans, to borrowers with worse credit histories, lower ex-ante internal ratings, and weaker ex-post performance (acutely so when the rate subsequently increases). Effects...

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English / 01/08/2015

Qualifying “fit”: the performance dynamics of firms’ change tracks through organizational configurations

Organizational configurations, sets of firms with similarities in a number of essential characteristics, provide important insights into the synergies inherent to certain combinations of structural attributes and the performance effects of firms’ retention of, adaptation to, or decoupling from high-performing configurations. The fundamental assumption is that the better a firm’s “fit...

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English / 15/07/2015

Willingness to be financially informed and the benefits of nudging investors to do so

Bhattacharya et al. (2012) shows that many investors are reluctant to accept and follow financial advice. This study analyzes three possibilities which could cause this misbehavior: non-monetary costs, willingness to become informed and comprehensibility of financial information. As so many investors do not accept financial advice, the study further analyzes if it is beneficial to...

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English / 10/07/2015

Monetary conditions and banks' behaviour in the Czech Republic

This paper examines the impact of monetary conditions on the risk-taking behaviour of banks in the Czech Republic by analysing the comprehensive credit register of the Czech National Bank. Our duration analysis indicates that expansionary monetary conditions promote risk-taking among banks. At the same time, a lower interest rate during the life of a loan reduces its riskiness. While...

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English / 01/07/2015

Risk preferences are not time preferences: balancing on a budget line: comment

In a recent experimental study of intertemporal risky decision making, Andreoni and Sprenger (2012) find that subjects exhibit a preference for intertemporal diversification, which is inconsistent with discounted expected utility theory. It was claimed that their results are also at odds with models involving probability weighting, such as rank-dependent utility and cumulative...

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English / 01/07/2015

Diversification, protection of liability holders and regulatory arbitrage

Any solvency regime for financial institutions should be aligned with the two fundamental objectives of regulation: protecting liability holders and securing the stability of the financial system. From these objectives wederive two normative requirements for capital adequacy tests, called surplus and numeraire invariance, respectively. We characterize capital adequacy tests that...

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English / 29/06/2015

Agency problems, recapitalization costs and optimal resolution of financial distress

We introduce in a dynamic–contracting framework with moral hazard the possibility of recapitalization as an alternative to liquidation when a firm is in financial distress. This is achieved by considering a loss–averse agent and by allowing (but not requiring) the latter to inject additional capital into the firm when necessary. We show that firm recapitalization may arise in an...

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English / 01/06/2015

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