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Crash Sensitivity and Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns

This paper examines whether investors receive compensation for holding crash-sensitive stocks. We capture the crash sensitivity of stocks by their lower tail dependence (LTD) with the market based on copulas. We find that stocks with weak LTD serve as a hedge during crises, but, overall, stocks with strong LTD have higher average future returns. This effect cannot be explained by...

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English / 01/01/2016

Fragility of Money Markets

We provide the first comprehensive theoretical model for money markets encompassing unsecured and secured funding, asset markets, and central bank policy. In our model, leveraged banks invest in assets and raise short-term funds by borrowing in the unsecured and secured money markets. We derive how funding liquidity across money markets is related, explain how a shock to asset values...

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English / 01/01/2016

Crash Aversion and the Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns Worldwide

This paper examines whether investors receive compensation for holding stocks with a strong sensitivity to extreme market downturns in a sample covering forty countries. Worldwide, stocks with strong crash sensitivity deliver average returns of more than 7% p.a. higher than stocks with weak crash sensitivity. The effect is robust across geographical subsamples and is not explained by...

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English / 01/01/2016

Is Director Industry Experience Valuable?

We investigate whether investor reactions to the announcement of a new outside director appointment significantly depend upon the director's experience in the appointing firm's industry. Our sample includes 688 outside director appointments to boards of S&P 500 companies from 2005 to 2010. We find significantly higher announcement returns upon appointments of...

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English / 01/01/2016

Target Capital Structure Determinants and Speed of Adjustment Analysis to Address the Keynes-Hayek Debate

According to F. A. Hayek, Keynes' General Theory neglects an analysis of the production structure. As a contribution to this research gap, we look at companies' decisions to finance investments and at their agility to adjust their capital structure. We thus study the relationship between capital structure to finance corporate production and shifts in aggregate demand....

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English / 14/12/2015

Foreign bank ownership and household credit

Theoretical and empirical work on banking emphasizes the role of banks in overcoming information asymmetries and agency problems between borrowers and lenders. This paper investigates the importance of bank ownership in determining the sorts of customers that a bank serves, and consequently, the sorts of information problems a bank lender chooses to address. Using survey data for...

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English / 01/10/2015

Ein wenig genügt bereits

Investitionen werden vor allem ökonomisch untersucht. Die Ökonomie kann auch für jene Investitionen Hinweise geben, in denen es nicht um Geld, sondern um andere Ressourcen geht, die für Gesundheit und Wohlsein wichtig sind.

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Deutsch / 24/09/2015

The Exposure of Mortgage Borrowers to Interest Rate Risk, Income Risk and House Price Risk – Evidence from Swiss Loan Application Data

We study the exposure of mortgage borrowers in Switzerland to interest rate, income and house price risks and examine how the households' choice of risky mortgages is related to individual interest rate expectations and risk-aversion. Our analysis is based on a unique data set of household mortgage applications from September 2012 until January 2014. Our assessment of risk...

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English / 01/08/2015

Microfinance Banks and Financial Inclusion

We examine how the geographical proximity to a microfinance bank affects financial inclusion. We study the expansion of the branch network of ProCredit banks in South-East Europe between 2006 and 2010. We report three main findings: First, ProCredit is more likely to open a new branch in areas with a large share of low-income households. Second, in locations where ProCredit opens a...

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English / 03/07/2015

Culture and Household Saving

In this paper, I examine the role of culture for households' saving decisions. Exploiting historical language borders within Switzerland, I isolate the effect of culture from economic, institutional, demographic and geographic factors for a homogeneous and representative sample of households. The analysis is based on the Swiss Household Panel that I complement with geographic...

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English / 06/06/2015

Sovereign Risk and the Pricing of Corporate Credit Default Swaps

Based on an empirical analysis of European corporations, we investigate the impact of sovereign risk on the pricing of corporate credit risk. In our paper, we show that sovereign credit default swaps (CDS) are positively correlated with corresponding corporate CDS spreads and are a significant factor for corporate CDS pricing models. We also find that this impact increases throughout...

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English / 01/03/2015

Pre-Trade Transparency and Return Co-movements in Commercial Real Estate Markets

This paper proposes an empirical framework that is based on pre-trade transparency to test for information-based return co-movements among international commercial real estate markets. We introduce a benchmark portfolio that includes property markets with a higher pre-trade transparency to assess expected returns in less transparent markets. Investors can earn abnormal returns in...

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English / 01/01/2015

Announcement Effects of Contingent Convertible Securities: Evidence from the Global Banking Industry

This paper investigates the announcement effects of CoCo bonds issued by global banks between January 2009 and June 2014. Using a sample of 34 financial institutions, we examine abnormal stock price reactions and CDS spread changes before and after the announcement dates. We find that the announcement of CoCos correlates with positive abnormal stock returns and negative CDS spread...

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English / 01/01/2015

Financing Asset Sales and Business Cycles

This paper analyzes the decision of firms to sell assets to fund investments (financing asset sales). For a sample of U.S. manufacturing firms during the 1971-2010 period, we document new stylized facts about financing asset sales that cannot be explained by traditional motives for selling assets, such as financial distress or financing constraints. Using a structural model of...

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English / 01/01/2015

The Value of Creditor Governance: Debt Renegotiations In and Outside Distress

This paper analyzes the impact of debt covenant renegotiations on corporate policies. We develop a structural model of a levered firm that can renegotiate debt both at investment and in corporate distress. Covenant renegotiation at investment disciplines equity holders in their financing and investment decisions and, hence, mitigates the agency cost of debt. Our model explains the...

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English / 01/01/2015

Internal Control and Strategic Communication within Firms - Evidence from Bank Lending

The allocation of authority affects the communication of information about clients within banks. We document that in small business lending internal control leads loan officers to propose inflated credit ratings for their clients. Inflated ratings are, however, anticipated and partly reversed by the credit officers responsible for approving credit assessments. More experienced loan...

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English / 01/01/2015

Stock Underpricing and Firm News Disclosure

Using a sample of 77,036 firm-quarters, we test whether firms change their news disclosure when experiencing an exogenous negative shock to their stock price. We use mutual fund flow-induced selling pressure to measure exogenous undervaluation and classify news as positive and negative based on textual analysis. Our results show a robust negative relationship between mutual fund flow...

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English / 01/01/2015

State Space Geometry of Asset Pricing: An Introduction

This note is aimed at familiarizing the reader with state space geometry, a useful tool in teaching asset pricing concepts. Building on the analogy between expectation and dot product, I visualize basic notions using Euclidean geometry in 2D and 3D. Numerical examples are given such that the reader could easily follow the explanations.

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English / 01/01/2015

Testing Competing Factor Pricing Models

A GMM-based system for two different linear factor pricing models is used to test if the pricing errors are the same. Simulations demonstrate the small sample properties. As an illustration, the test is applied to the Fama-French (1996, 2015) models.

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English / 01/01/2015

The euroization of bank deposits in Eastern Europe

In Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe a substantial share of bank deposits
are denominated in foreign currency. Deposit euroization poses key challenges for
monetary policy and financial sector supervision. On the one hand, it limits the effectiveness of monetary policy interventions. On the other hand, it increases financial sector fragility by exposing banks to...

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English / 03/12/2014

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