Publications des institutions partenaires

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Bootstrap estimation of uncertainty in prediction for generalized linear mixed models

In the framework of Mixed Models, it is often of interest to provide an es- timate of the uncertainty in predictions for the random effects, customarily defined by the Mean Squared Error of Prediction (MSEP). To address this computation in the Generalized Linear Mixed Model (GLMM) context, a non-parametric Bootstrap algorithm is proposed. First, a newly developed Bootstrap scheme...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2017

Interests groups in parliament: exploring MPs' interest affiliations (2000-2011)

This research note presents an innovative dataset of Swiss MPs' interest ties between 2000-2011. The longitudinal analysis shows that the average number of interest ties per MP has more than doubled: from 3.5 in 2000 to 7.6 in 2011. Since the mid-2000s, public interest groups have accounted for approximately one out of two ties between MPs and interest groups, showing the...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2017

Les déchets militaires : De la conception aux impacts territoriaux

Classiquement, la notion de déchet est articulée autour de deux concepts distincts : les déchets ménagers et les déchets industriels. Etant donné le polymorphisme de cette notion et les nombreuses représentations lui incombant, le terme de déchet s’est construit autour de diverses catégories établies dans une triple logique : (i) en fonction de leurs sources de production – déchets...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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Français / 01/01/2017

A random-effects hurdle model for predicting bycatch of endangered marine species

Understanding and reducing the incidence of accidental bycatch, particularly for vulnerable species such as sharks, is a major challenge for contemporary fisheries management worldwide. Bycatch data, most often collected by at-sea observers during fishing trips, are clustered by trip and/or vessel and typically involve a large number of zero counts and very few positive counts....

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2017

Frictions in Regulation and Governance: Policy implications for public utilities

The Institutional Resource Regime framework appears successful in comparing natural resource governance systems but unable to provide a common and persuasive explanation of the evolution of these systems. To fill this gap, the concepts of institutional complexity trap and transversal transaction costs (TTC) have been recently put forward. IRRs tend to fall into an institutional...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2017

Workplace characteristics and working class vote for the old and new right

This article focuses on the role of plant size for working class vote. We argue that workplace size does matter for political behaviour. Workers in smaller plants are less unionised and therefore base their voting decisions more strongly on their cultural attitudes, which undermines the support for social democratic parties. Using data from the European Social Survey (2002-2010), we...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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Français / 01/01/2017

Established risk factors for addiction fail to discriminate between healthy gamers and gamers endorsing DSM-5 Internet gaming disorder

Background and aims The DSM-5 includes criteria for diagnosing Internet gaming disorder (IGD) that are adapted from substance abuse and widely used in research and clinical contexts, although evidence supporting their validity remains scarce. This study compared online gamers who do or do not endorse IGD criteria regarding self-control-related abilities (impulsivity, inhibitory...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2017

On the Inference of Random Effects in Generalized Linear Mixed Models

In the first chapter, the problem of Bootstrap inference for the parameters of a GLMM is addressed. We formulate a bootstrapping strategy consisting on the random weighting of the contributions to the Joint Likelihood of Outcomes and Random Effects. Using the Laplace Approximation method for integrals on this function, yields a Random Weighted Log-Likelihood that produces the desired...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2017

Solidarity in times of inequality: trade union politics and union membership effects

Europe has been marked by many profound changes since the 1980s. Among those prominently discussed in the political economy literature are the massive decline in trade union membership, the alarming rise in income inequality, and the increasingly disproportionate distribution of labor market risks. This thesis combines these issues and explores how unionization relates to income and...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2017

Short-term dynamics in issue-ownership and vote conversion

In this paper, my primary goal is to test if vote conversion is in line with voters' perceptions of parties' competence, i.e. if the competence change in favor of a party during the political campaign triggers vote conversion in favor of this same party. Then, I assess the moderating role of saliency and political knowledge and the difference between ‘valence' and...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2017

On the fringes of the European peace project: The neighbourhood policy's functionalist hubris and political myopia

The destabilization of Eastern Europe and of the Southern Mediterranean has exposed the limits of the European peace project. Obviously, the European Neighbourhood Policy has not succeeded in boosting peace and prosperity. This article attributes this failure to a combination of functionalist hubris and political myopia that emanates from the European Union's peculiar...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2017

The limits of governance: How far does policy analysis travel in international relations?

This article retraces the mutual rapprochement between Policy Analysis and International Relations and addresses its limits. Looking beyond the circle of advanced liberal-democratic economies, three limits are discussed: the need to specify the prerequisites of different modes of governance; to consider the relations of power and domination in these processes; and to look beyond...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2017

Labour rights promotion in the absence of conditionality ? How the EU and the US engage China and India

Labour standards are one of the most contested issues in economic relations between developed countries and emerging markets. As attempts to codify such standards in the WTO have failed, the EU and the US have intensified their efforts to promote them in bilateral and regional Preferential Trade Agreements (PTAs). Whereas this practice has been quite consistent across the globe, the...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2017

Si l'Union européenne n'existait pas...

Quels sont les apports de l'Union européenne? Rares sont les textes qui traitent simplement à cette question. Ce texte y répond par une analyse de type contrefactuelle. Autrement dit: que serait-il passé si l'UE n'avait pas été mise en place?

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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Français / 01/01/2017

Two logics of policy intervention in immigrant integration: an institutionalist framework based on capabilities and aspirations

The effectiveness of immigrant integration policies has gained considerable attention across Western democracies dealing with ethnically and culturally diverse societies. However, the findings on what type of policy produces more favourable integration outcomes remain inconclusive. The conflation of normative and analytical assumptions on integration is a major challenge for causal...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2017

Essays in financial econometrics

The recent events since the onset of the subprime crisis in 2007 have put forward the central role of the financial market in developed economies and its close linkages with other markets, such as the sovereign one. The extreme (co)variations in the financial market are difficult to explain by the value of the fundamentals, and factors like investor sentiment, liquidity and...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2016

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