Publications des institutions partenaires
Trade Liberalization and Credit Constraints: Reallocations at the Firm Level
Following the idea of heterogeneous firms we examine responses to trade liberalization at the firm level in the presence of capital market imperfections. In our model, entrepreneurs differ in their wealth endowment, causing them to rely differently on external funds. With an imperfect capital market, we show that poor entrepreneurs run smaller firms, are less likely to invest in R...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2014
Rankings, Success, and Individual Performance : Evidence from a Natural Experiment
This paper explores the impact of rankings on individual performance in a setting of professional athletes competing for high stakes. We use data on World Cup alpine skiing for the period of 1992-2013 and exploit arguably random differences in race times to identify the causal effect of ranking positions. Our results document a significant decrease in subsequent performance among...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2014
Re-Setting the Stage for Privacy : A Multi-Layered Privacy Interaction Framework and Its Application
This book chapter develops a mulit-layered privacy interaction framework to account for the social embeddedness of online privacy. Drawing on Urie Bronfenbrenner's ecological systems theory, we analyze informational privacy on the Internet on four layers: the micro-system, the exo-system, the meso-system and the macro-system. The micro-system encompasses the individual and its...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2014
Between-Group Adverse Selection: Evidence from Group Critical Illness Insurance
This paper demonstrates the presence of adverse selection in the group insurance market for policies that allow no individual choice. As a "conventional wisdom," group insurance mitigates adverse selection, since individual choice is minimized and group losses have less variability than individual losses. We complement this "conventional wisdom" by analyzing a...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2014
Basis Risk, Procyclicality, and Systemic risk in the Solvency II Equity Risk Module
This paper analyzes the equity risk module of Solvency II, the new regulatory framework in the European Union. The equity risk module contains a symmetric adjustment mechanism called equity dampener which shall reduce procyclicality of capital requirements and thus systemic risk in the insurance sector. We critically review the equity risk module in three steps: we first analyze the...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2014
Costs and Benefits of Financial Regulation - An Empirical Assessment for Insurance Companies
We empirically analyze the costs and benefits of financial regulation based on a survey of 76 insurers from Austria, Germany and Switzerland. Our analysis includes both established and new empirical measures for regulatory costs and benefits. This is the first paper that tries to take costs and benefits combined into account using a latent class regression with covariates. Another...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2014
Systemic Risk in the Insurance Sector: Review and Directions for Future Research
This paper reviews the extant research on systemic risk in the insurance sector and outlines new areas of research in this field. We summarize and classify 43 theoretical and empirical research papers from both academia and practitioner organizations. The survey reveals that traditional insurance activity in the life, non-life, and reinsurance sectors neither contributes to systemic...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2014
Sophisticated vs. Simple Systemic Risk Measures
This paper evaluates whether sophisticated or simple systemic risk measures are more suitable in identifying which institutions contribute to systemic risk. In this investigation, DCoVaR, Marginal Expected Shortfall (MES), SRISK and Granger-Causality Networks are considered as sophisticated systemic risk measures. Market capitalization, total debt, leverage, the stock market returns...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2014
Deposit Withdrawals from Distressed Banks: Client Relationships Matter
We study retail deposit withdrawals from commercial banks which were
differentially exposed to distress during the 2007-2009 financial crisis. We show that the propensity of households to withdraw deposits increases with the severity of bank distress. Withdrawal risk is, however, substantially mitigated by strong bank-client relationships. Considering the most distressed bank...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2014
A behavioral economics perspective on the overjustification effect: Crowding-in and crowding-out of intrinsic motivation.
In the last two decades, economic motivation research has undergone a paradigm shift when it comes to the effect of incentive schemes on individual performance and motivation. Inspired by self-determination theory, a new branch in economics evolved called behavioral economics. Especially by evidencing the negative effect of “pay-for-performance” on intrinsic motivation, called the “...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2014
Spot-forward simulation of electricity prices with regime shifts
Institution partenaire
English / 12/12/2013
How Risky are Residential Mortgages in Switzerland ?
Institution partenaire
English / 09/12/2013
Risk spillovers in international equity portfolios
We define risk spillover as the dependence of a given asset variance on the past covariances and variances of other assets. Building on this idea, we propose the use of a highly flexible and tractable model to forecast the volatility of an international equity portfolio. According to the risk management strategy proposed, portfolio risk is seen as a specific combination of daily...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/12/2013
On the Predictability of Stock Prices: a Case for High and Low Prices
Contrary to the common wisdom that asset prices are barely possible to forecast, we show that that high and low prices of equity shares are largely predictable. We propose to model them using a simple implementation of a fractional vector autoregressive model with error correction (FVECM). This model captures two fundamental patterns of high and low prices: their cointegrating...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/12/2013
After School Care and Parents' Labor Supply
Does after-school care provision promote mothers' employment and balance the allocation of paid work among parents of schoolchildren? We address this question by exploiting variation in cantonal (state) regulations of after-school care provision in Switzerland. To establish exogeneity of cantonal regulations with respect to employment opportunities and preferences of the...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/11/2013
The European Sovereign Debt Crisis and the Role of Rating Agencies
Institution partenaire
English / 28/10/2013
Price dynamics in gas markets
Modeling natural gas futures prices is essential for valuation purposes as well as for hedging strategies in energy risk management. We present a general multi-factor affine diffusion model which incorporates the joint stylized features of both spot and futures prices. The model is brought into state space form on which Kalman filter techniques are applied to evaluate the maximum...
Institution partenaire
English / 10/10/2013
A simple test for the ignorability of non-compliance in experiments
This papers proposes a simple method for testing whether non-compliance in experiments is ignorable, i.e., not jointly related to the treatment and the outcome. The approach consists of (i) regressing the outcome variable on a constant, the treatment, the assignment indicator, and the treatment/assignment interaction and (ii) testing whether the coefficients on the latter two...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/09/2013
Testing exclusion restrictions and additive separability in sample selection models
Standard sample selection models with non-randomly censored outcomes assume (i) an exclusion restriction (i.e., a variable affecting selection, but not the outcome) and (ii) additive separability of the errors in the selection process. This paper proposes tests for the joint satisfaction of these assumptions by applying the approach of Huber and Mellace (2011) (for testing instrument...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/09/2013
Variance Risk Premiums in Foreign Exchange Markets
Based on the theory of static replication of variance swaps we assess the sign and magnitude of variance risk premiums in foreign exchange markets. We find significantly negative risk premiums when realized variance is computed from intraday data with low frequency. As a likely consequence of microstructure effects however, the evidence is ambiguous when realized variance is based on...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/09/2013
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