Publications des institutions partenaires

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Term Structure Models in Multistage Stochastic Programming: Estimation and Approximation

This paper investigates some common interest rate models for scenario generation in financial applications of stochastic optimization. We discuss conditions for the underlying distributions of state variables which preserve convexity of value functions in a multistage stochastic program. One- and multi-factor term structure models are estimated based on historical data for the Swiss...

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English / 01/12/2000

Robust Portfolio Selection

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2000

A General Robust Approach to the Analysis of Income Distribution, Inequality and Poverty

Income distribution embeds a large field of research subjects in economics. It is important to study how incomes are distributed among the members of a population in order for example to determine tax policies for redistribution to decrease inequality, or to implement social policies to reduce poverty. The available data come mostly from surveys (and not censuses as it is often...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2000

Robust Logistic Regression for Binomial Responses

In this paper robustness properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and several robust estimators for the logistic regression model when the responses are binary are analysed analytically by means of the Influence Function (IF) and empirically by means of simulations. It is found that the MLE and the classical Rao's score test can be misleading in the presence of model...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2000

Robust Income Estimation with Missing Data

With income distributions it is common to encounter the problem of missing data. When a parametric model is fitted to the data, the problem can be overcome by specifying the marginal distribution of the observed data. With classical methods of estimation such as the maximum likelihood (ML) an estimator of the parameters can be obtained in a straightforward manner. Unfortunately, it...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2000

Distributional Analysis: a Robust Approach

Distributional dominance criteria are commonly applied to draw welfare inferences about comparisons, but conclusions drawn from empirical implementations of dominance criteria may be influenced by data contamination. We show the conditions under which this may occur and propose empirical methods to work round the proble using both non-parametric and parametric approaches.

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2000

Test problems in stochastic multistage programming

This paper provides a set of stochastic multistage programs where the evolvement of uncertain factors is given by stochastic processes. We treat a practical problem statement within the field of managing fixed-income securities. Detailed information on the used parameter values in various interest rate models is given. Barycentric approximation is applied to obtain computational...

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English / 01/01/2000

Statistical Inference for Welfare under Complete and Incomplete Information

We show how a collection of results in the literature on the empirical estimation of welfare indicators from sample data can be unified. We also demonstrate how some of these ideas can be extended to empirically important cases where the data have been trimmed or censored.

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/1999

Statistical Inference for Lorenz Curves with Censored Data

Lorenz curves and associated tools for ranking income distributions are commonly estimated on the assumption that full, unbiased samples are available. However it is common to ¯nd income and wealth distributions that are routinely censored or trimmed. We derive the sampling distribution for a key family of statistics in the case where data have been modified in this fashion.

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/1998

A Stochastic Optimization Model for the Investment of Savings Account Deposits

A bank's financial management faces various sources of uncertainty when funds from savings account deposits are invested in the marketplace. Future interest rates are unknown and customers are allowed to withdraw their deposits at any point in time. The objective is to find a portfolio of fixed income instruments that maximizes the bank's interest surplus from the...

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English / 03/09/1997

Linear Duality, Term Structure, and Valuation

The paper's objective is to interpret no-arbitrage conditions by means of linear programming. Basic statements about the term structure of a market with frictions can be derived using the relation of primal and associated dual programs. The duality concept applies mutatis mutandis to the valuation of cash flows from an individual investor's point of view.

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English / 03/09/1997

Resistant Modelling of Income Distributions and Inequality Measures

We review the use and the interpretation of some robustness concepts and techniques in some economic applications. We focus on estimation techniques in income distribution analysis and we discuss the reliability of inequality measures.

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/1997

Approximations of Profit-and-Loss Distributions (Management Version)

The incorporation of single-factor interest rate models within the stochastic programming methodology is investigated and applied to multiperiod investment. Barycentric approximation is used for discretizing the stochastic factors and for generating scenario trees which take the various term structure movements into account. It is shown that employing the Vasicek model for the...

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English / 01/01/1997

Approximations of Profit-and-Loss Distributions (Part II)

working report - Former investigation (Approximation of Profit-and-Loss Distributions, Part I) introduces the application of the barycentric approximation methodology for evaluating profit-and-loss distributions numerically. Although, convergence of the quantiles is ensured by the weak convergence of the discrete measures, as proclaimed in Part I, recent numerical results have...

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English / 01/01/1997

Mean-Variance Analysis in a Multiperiod Setting

Similar to the classical Markowitz approach it is possible to apply a mean-variance criterion to a multiperiod setting to obtain efficient portfolios. To represent the stochastic dynamic characteristics necessary for modelling returns a process of asset returns is discretized with respect to time and space and summarized in a scenario tree. The resulting optimization problem is...

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English / 01/01/1997

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