infonet-economy

Bolli, Thomas; Caves, Katherine M.; Pusterla, Filippo; Rageth, Ladina; Renold, Ursula; Sritharan, Aranya; Trachsel Díaz-Tejeiro, Sandra

Li, Peng; Rao, Xi; Blase, Jennifer; Zhang, Yue; Chu, Xu; Zhang, Ce

This paper assesses whether the global fall in inflation expectations together with increased fear of recession, the economic mechanism that drives asset prices in a model with consumption habits, help to explain the downward trajectory in nominal government bond yields and the stock price dynamics of six major economies from 1988 to 2019. We calibrate the habit model for each…

This paper empirically examines the effect of population growth on long-term real interest rates. Although this effect is well founded in macroeconomic theory, the corresponding empirical results have been rather tenuous and surprisingly unstable. As the demographic interest rate impact is theoretically based on intergenerational relationships, we not only contemplate gross…

The doctrine of state succession requires that governments honor the international commitments of their predecessors. Even if a dictator borrows to oppress his own citizens, future generations are required to service the debts and commitments contracted by the dictator. This paper starts by briefly describing possible exceptions to this doctrine by focusing on war and hostile debts.…

Bolli, Thomas; Caves, Katherine M.; Pusterla, Filippo; Rageth, Ladina; Renold, Ursula; Sritharan, Aranya; Trachsel Díaz-Tejeiro, Sandra

Mavrodiev, Pavlin; Schweitzer, Frank

Blank, Sven; Egger, Peter H.