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Does Early Child Care Help or Hurt Children's Development?

More children than ever attend center-based care early in life. We study whether children who attend center-based care before age 3 have better or worse language and motor skills, socio-emotional maturity, and school readiness just before entering primary school. In data covering about 36,000 children in one West German state, we use a marginal treatment effects framework to show how…

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English / 30/09/2014

A test of the conditional independence assumption in sample selection models

Identification in most sample selection models depends on the independence of the regressors and the error terms conditional on the selection probability. All quantile and mean functions are parallel in these models; this implies that quantile estimators cannot reveal any - per assumption non-existing - heterogeneity. Quantile estimators are nevertheless useful for testing the…

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English / 10/09/2014

Radius matching on the propensity score with bias adjustment: finite sample behaviour, tuning parameters and software implementation

Using a simulation design that is based on empirical data, a recent study by Huber, Lechner and Wunsch (2012) finds that distance-weighted radius matching with bias adjustment as proposed in Lechner, Miquel and Wunsch (2011) is competitive among a broad range of propensity score-based estimators used to correct for mean differences due to observable covariates. In this paper, we…

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English / 02/08/2014

Causal pitfalls in the decomposition of wage gaps

The decomposition of gender or ethnic wage gaps into explained and unexplained components (often with the aim to assess labor market discrimination) has been a major research agenda in empirical labor economics. This paper demonstrates that conventional decompositions, no matter whether linear or non-parametric, are equivalent to assuming a (probably too) simplistic model of…

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English / 10/07/2014

The tempest: Natural disasters, Early Shocks and Children's Short- and Long-Run Development

Socio-economic shocks during early childhood are predicted to have detrimental short- and long-run consequences for children's development. We examine this hypothesis using a specific shock: housing damages caused by a super-typhoon. Comparing children, who lived in the same district, but only some experienced housing damages, we can isolate the real-estate shock from any…

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English / 01/07/2014

Combining Matching and Nonparametric Instrumental Variable estimation: Theory and an Application to the Evaluation of Active Labour Market Policies : Appendix

We show how instrumental variable and matching estimators can be combined in order to identify a broader array of treatment effects. Instrumental variable (IV) estimators are known to estimate effects only for the compliers, representing a subset of the entire population. By combining IV with matching, we can estimate the treatment effects for the always- and never-takers as well.…

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English / 14/06/2014

A Jackknife-Type Estimator for Portfolio Revision

This paper proposes a novel approach to portfolio revision. The current literature
on portfolio optimization uses a somewhat naïve approach, where portfolio weights are always completely revised after a predefined fixed period. However, one shortcoming of this procedure is that it ignores parameter uncertainty in the estimated portfolio weights, as well as the biasedness of the…

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English / 01/06/2014

Regional Differences in Perceived Corruption among Ukrainian Firms

This paper investigates regional differences in the perception of corruption and informal practices among Ukrainian firms. Using two different data sets from Ukraine we show that perceived corruption differs significantly across regions, even when taking into account the size, industry, workforce composition, and other characteristics of the firms based on propensity score matching.…

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English / 09/05/2014

Sensitivity checks for the local average treatment effect

The nonparametric identification of the local average treatment effect (LATE) hinges on the satisfaction of three instrumental variable assumptions: (1) unconfounded assignment of the instrument, (2) no average direct effect of the instrument on the outcome within compliance types (exclusion restriction), and (3) weak monotonicity of the treatment in the instrument. While (1) often…

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English / 01/05/2014

Treatment evaluation with multiple outcome periods under endogeneity and attrition

This paper develops a nonparametric methodology for treatment evaluation with multiple outcome periods under treatment endogeneity and missing outcomes. We use instrumental variables, pre-treatment characteristics, and short-term (or intermediate) outcomes to identify the average treatment effect on the outcomes of compliers (the subpopulation whose treatment reacts on the instrument…

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English / 01/03/2014

Insights from Swiss Pension Systems

This chapter takes Switzerland's much praised three-pillar system to illustrate some of the challenges pension system reforms face in an aging society. It shows that policymakers are confronted by some individuals with behavioral anomalies, and by others who strategically exploit the system The trade-off between providing incentives and adequate retirement income limits policy…

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English / 23/01/2014

On the transmission of prices and of market access shocks

Two of the main shocks that affect international trade are price and tariff changes. The present thesis covers these two topics. The first chapter shows that the transmission of international agricultural prices to local producers is asymmetric, with downward price movements being transmitted more strongly than upward price movements. This seems to be due to the market power that…

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2014

Media bias and media firm strategy

Y-a-t-il des cas où la couverture médiatique des produits ou services des entreprises est biaisée négativement? Si oui, quels sont les facteurs qui déterminent ou favorisent le développement de ces biais? La partie empirique teste ces idées en s'appuyant sur une base de données construite à partir d'un large échantillon de 3991 articles de presse publiés par 46 journaux…

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2014

Parametric and nonparametric analysis of simultaneous equation models with latent variables: theory and applications

Cette thèse de doctorat est composée de trois chapitres. La principale contribution consiste à présenter deux cadres théoriques, paramétrique et non-paramétrique, pour faire des comparaisons et évaluations des concepts théoriques non-observables utilisés dans différents contextes tels que le bien-être, le développement, la santé et l'inégalité entre autres.Le premier chapitre…

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2014

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