Université de Zürich - Faculté des sciences économiques

Entwurf SWISS GAAP FER "Rechnungslegung für Versicherungsunternehmen": Mehr Transparenz durch erweiterte Offenlegung

Die Zukunft der Wirtschaftsprüfung: Droht eine Wirtschaftsprüfung der unterschiedlichen Geschwindigkeiten?

Determinanten der Revisionshonorare bei kotierten Schweizer Gesellschaften

Income taxes, sorting and the costs of housing: evidence from municipal boundaries in Switzerland

Description: 

We provide novel evidence on the role of income taxes for housing rents and spatial sorting. Drawing on comprehensive micro-level data, we estimate the responsiveness of households to tax differentials across municipal boundaries. Correcting for unobservable location characteristics and isolating the residential sorting component, we identify an income tax elasticity of rents of about −0.27 to −0.35. In line with non-homothetic preferences, we find that the marginal willingness to pay for lower taxes increases with income. Counterfactual calculations show how an homogenisation of taxes across jurisdictions and an increase in variation of taxes affect rents and income stratification across space.

The circular unitary ensemble and the Riemann zeta function: the microscopic landscape and a new approach to ratios

Description: 

We show in this paper that after proper scalings, the characteristic polynomial of a random unitary matrix converges to a random analytic function whose zeros, which are on the real line, form a determinantal point process with sine kernel. Our scaling is performed at the so-called “microscopic” level, that is we consider the characteristic polynomial at points whose distance to $1$ has order $1 / n$. We prove that the rescaled characteristic polynomial does not even have a moment of order one, hence making the classical techniques of random matrix theory difficult to apply. In order to deal with this issue, we couple all the dimensions $n$ on a single probability space, in such a way that almost sure convergence occurs when $n$ goes to infinity. The strong convergence results in this setup provide us with a new approach to ratios: we are able to solve open problems about the limiting distribution of ratios of characteristic polynomials evaluated at points of the form exp($2i\pi\alpha/n$) and related objects (such as the logarithmic derivative). We also explicitly describe the dependence relation for the logarithm of the characteristic polynomial evaluated at several points on the microscopic scale. On the number theory side, inspired by the work by Keating and Snaith, we conjecture some new limit theorems for the value distribution of the Riemann zeta function on the critical line at the level of stochastic processes.

Investieren in Mikrofinanz. Erträge und Risiken aus einer Perspektive der Verantwortung

Description: 

Die Autorinnen schreiben den Akteuren der Mikrofinanzidustrie eine besonder Verantwortung für uhre Kunden, die ärmeren Bevölkerungsschichten, zu. Anders als in der konventionellen Finanzindustrie sind Mikrofinanzkunden in besonderem Masse verwundbar, vulnerabel. Diese Besonderheit rechtfertigt es, hohe Anforderungen an den Kundenschutz zu stellen. Ein solcher scheint zusätzlich geboten aufgrund der "dualen Zielsetzung", die Finanzintermediäre meist explizit verfolgen: eine positive finanzielle und gesellschaftliche Wirkung.
Die hohe Verantwortung von Investoren und Finanzintermediären sollte in der Praxis institutionell abgestützt sein. Freiwillige Selbstverpflichtungen gehören ebenso dazu wie ein hohes Mass an Transparenz, die Wirkungsmessung in der Zielerreichung ebenso wie die verbindliche Umsetzung von Kundenschutzprinzipien und eine standardisierte Berichterstattung.
Die Mikrofinanzindustrie hat sich bisher als lernfähig erwiesen; dieser Lernprozess kommt den vulnerable Kunden zugute und einer verantwortbaren Zukunft der Mikrofinanzindustrie als Ganzes.

Cumulative prospect theory and mean-variance analysis: a rigorous comparison

Description: 

We propose a numerical optimization approach that can be used to solve portfolio selection problems including several assets and involving objective functions from cumulative prospect theory (CPT). Implementing the suggested algorithm, we compare asset allocations that are derived for CPT based on two different methods: maximizing CPT along the mean–variance efficient frontier so that simple mean–variance algorithms can be used, and maximizing CPT without this restriction. According to the theoretical literature, with normally distributed returns and unlimited short sales, these two approaches lead to the same optimal solutions. We find that for empirical finite discrete distributions obtained via sampling and subsequent clustering from a normal distribution, the difference between the two approaches remains negligible even if short sales are restricted. However, if standard asset allocation data for pension funds is considered, the difference is considerable. Moreover, for certain types of derivatives, such as call options, the restriction of asset allocations to the mean–variance efficient frontier produces sizable losses in various respects, including decreases in expected returns and expected utility. We are able to explain these differences by CPT’s preference for positive skewness, which is not accounted for by optimizing CPT along the mean–variance efficient frontier.

Voluntary disclosure in unfair contests

Description: 

This paper studies incentives for the interim voluntary disclosure of verifiable information in probabilistic all-pay contests. Considered are unfair contests, i.e., contests in which, subject to activity conditions, one player (the favorite) is interim always more likely to win than the other player (the underdog). A condition is identified that ensures that a given contest is unfair regardless of disclosure decisions. Under this condition, full revelation is the unique perfect Bayesian equilibrium outcome of the contest with pre-play communication. This is so because the weakest type of the underdog will try to moderate the favorite, while the strongest type of the favorite will try to discourage the underdog - so that the contest unravels. We also show that self-disclosure may, with positive probability, provoke unintended reactions, i.e., "dominant" or "defiant" behavior. Moreover, while individually rational for the marginal type, the unraveling may be strictly Pareto inferior from an ex-ante perspective. Our main conclusion is just the opposite of the corresponding finding for the deterministic all-pay auction. The proofs employ lattice-theoretic methods and an improved version of Jensen's inequality.

Multigrading and child achievement

Description: 

We exploit Italian law DPR 81/2009, which determines class composition, as an instrument to identify the causal effect of grouping students of different grades into a single class (multigrading) on children cognitive achievement. This article focuses on 7-year-old students—those at the beginning of their formal education. Results suggest that attendance in multigrade classes versus single-grade classes increases students’ performance on standardized tests by 15–20 percent of a standard deviation. The positive impact of multigrading only appears for children sharing their class with peers from higher grades and is relatively stronger for students from disadvantaged backgrounds.

Ventrolateral prefrontal cortex updates chosen value according to choice set size

Description: 

Having chosen an item typically increases the subjective value of the chosen item, and people generally enjoy making choices from larger choice sets. However, having too many items to choose from can reduce the value of chosen items—for example, because of conflict or choice difficulty. In this study, we investigated the effects of choice set size on behavioral and neural value updating (revaluation) of the chosen item. In the scanner, participants selected items from choice sets of various sizes (one, two, four, or eight items). After they chose an item, participants rerated the chosen item, and we quantified revaluation by taking the difference of postchoice minus prechoice ratings. Revaluation of chosen items increased up to choice sets of four alternatives but then decreased again for items chosen from choice sets of eight alternatives, revealing both a linear and a quadratic effect of choice set size. At the time of postchoice rating, activation of the ventrolateral pFC (VLPFC) reflected the influence of choice set size on parametric revaluation, without significant relation to either prechoice or postchoice ratings tested separately. Additional analyses revealed relations of choice set size to anterior cingulate and insula activity during actual choice and increased coupling of both regions to revaluation-related VLPFC during postchoice rating. These data suggest that the VLPFC plays a central role in a network that relates choice set size to updating the value of chosen items and integrates choice overload with value-enhancing effects of larger choice sets.

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