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Chance zur Erneuerung

Eine seriöse Aufarbeitung der globalen Finanzkrise ist sehr wichtig, damit nicht in der Hektik des Tagesgeschehens die falschen Schlüsse gezogen werden.

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Deutsch / 31/01/2009

Modeling Connection Structure in Online Networks

Firms are increasingly becoming interested in harnessing the potential of online social networks for marketing purposes. Marketers are therefore interested in understanding the antecedents and consequences of relationship formation within such social networks and in predicting the interactivity among users. In this paper we develop an integrated statistical framework for...

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English / 29/01/2009

The leverage effect without leverage

We use experimental stock markets to add more evidence that Black's [1976. Proceedings of the 1976 Meeting of the Business and Economic Statistics Section. American Statistical Association, pp. 177–181] leverage effect in financial markets does not necessarily stem from the financial leverage of the firm. We surprisingly find a large number of markets in which the leverage...

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English / 27/01/2009

Keine Fesseln für den Wissens- und Denkplatz: vorteilhafte Personenfreizügigkeit zwischen der Schweiz und der EU

Damit die Schweiz weiterhin in der Weltspitzengruppe der Nationen mit hoher Innovationsneigung präsent sein wird,
muss sie auch als Wissens- und Denkplatz attraktiv bleiben. Dies bedingt, wie im folgenden Beitrag aufgezeigt wird, einen
offenen Arbeitsmarkt.

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Deutsch / 15/01/2009

Alterung, Sozialwerke und Finanzierung: Eine Evaluation der ökonomischen Folgen

Die demografische Alterung wird in der langen Frist erhebliche Anpassungen in der Finanzierung der Altersvorsorge erfordern. Die Art und Weise, wie die Finanzierungslücke geschlossen wird, hat beträchtliche Auswirkungen auf den Arbeitsmarkt. Für die zukünftige Entwicklung des Pro-Kopf-Einkommens ist es entscheidend, dass die Finanzpolitik in einer Weise reagiert, welche die Anreize...

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Deutsch / 10/01/2009

Asymmetric multivariate normal mixture GARCH

An asymmetric multivariate generalization of the recently proposed class of normal mixture GARCH models is developed. Issues of parametrization and estimation are discussed. Conditions for covariance stationarity and the existence of the fourth moment are derived, and expressions for the dynamic correlation structure of the process are provided. In an application to stock market...

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English / 09/01/2009

The Performance of Actively and Passively Managed Swiss Equity Funds

Using a Switzerland-specific Carhart model, we study the risk-adjusted performance of actively and passively managed mutual funds investing in Swiss stocks from 1989 to 2007. We also compare the performance of actively managed funds to passively managed funds instead of comparing them to a theoretical index. For a sample of 160 funds with 13'672 monthly observations we find that...

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English / 09/01/2009

Young measure flow as a model for damage

Models for hysteresis in continuum mechanics are studied that rely on a time-discretised quasi-static evolution of Young measures akin to a gradient flow. The main feature of this approach is that it allows for local, rather than global minimisation. In particular, the case of a non-coercive elastic energy density of Lennard-Jones type is investigated. The approach is used to...

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English / 01/01/2009

Look-ahead benchmark bias in portfolio performance evaluation

Performance of investment managers is predominantly evaluated against targeted benchmarks, such as stock, bond or commodity indices. However, most professional databases
do not retain timeseries for companies that disappeared, and do not necessarily track the change of constitution in these benchmarks. Consequently, standard tests of performance suffer from the “look-ahead...

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English / 01/01/2009

Cash sub-additive risk measures and interest rate ambiguity

A new class of risk measures called cash sub-additive risk measures is introduced to assess the risk of future financial, nonfinancial and insurance positions. The debated cash additive axiom is relaxed into the cash sub-additive axiom to preserve the original difference between the numeraire of the current reserve amounts and future positions. Consequently, cash sub-additive risk...

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English / 01/01/2009

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