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Energy security Coping with multiple supply risks

This study starts from the observation that today's Western trading nations are exposed to multiple risks of energy supplies, eg simultaneous shortage of oil and gas supplies. To cope with these risks, both oil and gas can be stockpiled. Adopting the viewpoint of a policy maker who aims at minimizing the expected cost of security of supply, optimal simultaneous adjustments of...

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English / 01/01/1995

Diffusion of hospital innovations in different institutional settings

This paper purports to analyze a hospital's adoption of both product and process innovation as a quantal choice. The impacts of this decision on physicians, while depending on institutions that differ between the US and continental Europe, are shown to feed back to the hospital, influencing the profitability of the innovation. Recent changes of hospital finance give rise to...

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English / 01/01/1995

Collective action, migration and welfare states

In current welfare state analysis there is little theory to explain the action of exclusive groups. This article explores the possibilities of a theory that focuses on the interaction between individual choices and strategies, the formal systems, policies and rules of governments and the informal norms and practices of groups. The argument is that club theory, a branch of public...

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English / 01/01/1995

Happiness and unemployment: a panel data analysis for Germany

We use data from the German Socio-Economic Panel to investigate how individual happiness is affected by unemployment. Unemployment has a large and negative effect even after controlling for individual specific fixed effects. Nonparticipation, in contrast, is much less harmful to happiness. Further, we decompose the total well-being costs of unemployment and find that well above three...

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English / 01/01/1995

Duration dependence and dispersion in count - data models

This paper explores the relation between non-exponential waiting times between events and the distribution of the number of events in a fixed time interval. It is shown that within this framework the frequently observed phenomenon of overdispersion, i.e. a variance that exceeds the mean, is caused by a decreasing hazard function of the waiting times, while an increasing hazard...

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English / 01/01/1995

Product and process flexibility in an innovative environment

This article studies several attributes of a firm's long-run decisions about organizational structure, attributes that affect the firm's short-run innovative activity. We focus on flexibility, which lowers the future costs of implementing innovations, and research capabilities, which improve the future opportunities for innovation. We consider two dimensions of innovation:...

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English / 01/01/1995

An Engelian model of growth and innovation with hierarchic consumer demand and unequal incomes

The paper develops an endogenous growth model which is based on lexicographical consumer preferences. The central variable determining the long-run rate of growth is personal income distribution. Its role in the process of growth depends crucially on the assumption about productivity growth. If productivity grows proportionally to product diversity, then an unequal distribution of...

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English / 01/06/1994

Count data models for demographic data.

Key demographic variables, such as the number of children and the number of marriages or divorces, can only take integer values. This papers deals with the estimation of single equation models in which the counts are regressed on a set of observed individual characteristics such as age, gender, or nationality. Most empirical work in population economics has neglected the fact that...

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English / 01/02/1994

Two aspects of labor mobility: a bivariate Poisson regression approach

The study introduces a distinction between two types of labor mobility: direct job to job changes (which are assumed to be voluntary) and job changes after experiencing an unemployment spell (assumed to be involuntary). Exploiting the close relationship between those two phenomena we adopt a bivariate regression framework for our empirical analysis of data on male individuals in the...

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English / 01/01/1993

Die Wahrscheinlichkeit paradoxer Abstimmungsergebnisse

Abstimmungen als Mittel zur Entscheidungsfindung sind heute sehr verbreitet. Dass Abstimmungsergebnisse (aus logisch zwingenden Gründen) nicht in jedem Fall rational sein müssen, ist hingegen wenig bekannt. Die vorliegende Arbeit zeigt an Hand theoretischer Berechnungen und praktischer Fallbeispiele aus der schweizerischen Politik, dass irrationale, sogenannt paradoxe Entscheide...

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Deutsch / 01/01/1993

On optimal public good provision with tax evasion

It is proved that for public goods with zero income effects (also called Ziff public goods) tax evasion does not affect the optimal level of public expenditure. Further examples show that, in general, tax evasion may lead to less but also to more public expenditure.

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English / 01/06/1991

A new approach for modeling economic count data

A new parametric model for the econometric analysis of non-negative integers is proposed. Its distinguishing feature is that it allows for more flexible variance-mean relationships than the models used hitherto. Estimation with maximum likelihood is illustrated using a dataset on ship damage incidents.

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English / 01/01/1991

Separating small and big fish: The case of income tax evasion

This paper proposes to offer the taxpayer a choice of tax-enforcement schemes for self-selection. More specifically, the taxpayer should have the possibility of opting for the prevailing regime with a certain penalty on the evaded tax or for an alternative regime with a higher penalty on the evaded tax but a reduced tax rate. It is shown that this leads to a separation of taxpayers...

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English / 01/01/1991

Rewards Versus Penalties: on a New Policy against Tax Evasion

The theoretical analysis of tax evasion has typically concentrated on the role of Abstract penalties and on the probability of being investigated and penalized. This article introduces into the standard model of tax evasion the possibility of pecuniary rewards as an economic incentive for taxpaying. The analysis shows that introducing a reward for payment of taxes leads to a welfare...

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English / 01/01/1991

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