Publications des institutions partenaires

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The Cross-Sectional Distribution of Fund Skill Measures

We develop a simple, non-parametric approach for estimating the entire distribution of skill. Our approach avoids the challenge of correctly specifying the distribution, and allows for a joint analysis of multiple measures–a key requirement for examining skill. Our results show that more than 85% of the funds are skilled at detecting profitable trades, but unskilled at overriding...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2018

The rise of cultural issues as an opportunity for the right? Insights from the 2015 swiss election

This article presents an explanation for the success of the right in the 2015 Swiss parliamentary election based on the spatial model of voting. Since there is no party combining economically left with culturally authoritarian policy stances, voters with that preference combination face a difficult electoral choice. We show that they are more likely to abstain, and that those voters...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2018

Political values and extra-institutional political participation: The impact of economic redistributive and social libertarian preferences on protest behaviour

Previous studies have found that left-wing and libertarian individuals are more likely to engage in extra-institutional political activism. However, due to a lack of suitable data, studies to date have not analysed the relative influence of economic redistributive and social libertarian values for the intensity of protest participation. By analysing data from a unique cross-national...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2018

On the feasibility and privacy benefits of on-device data mining for opportunistic crowd-sensing and service self-provisioning

The average mobile device includes several sensors as a standard feature. Moreover, it roams with its owner, and can be used to collect context information on their behalf. It is often vital to collect data in order to create realistic models that might help us understand and predict the world. However, sharing personal data increases the chance of a user’s privacy being compromised...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2018

The radical right, the labour movement and the competition for the workers' vote

This article analyses the capacity of radical right parties to attract support from un-ion members in recent elections in Western Europe. It is argued that unionized vot-ers resist the appeals of the radical right better than non-union members. Using data from the European Social Survey 2010–2016, the article shows that union members are overall less likely to vote for the radical...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2018

Europe's Existential Crisis. Facing the Threats and Challenges

The European Union is in a state of emergency. The crisis it is facing today is a global one, rather than merely sector-specific as in the past. It therefore requires a global response, in other words at a political level. This is the central message conveyed by this selection of texts. Having presented some of the main challenges, both internal and external, with which the Union is...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2018

Heterogeneity and international economics

In the first chapter of this chapter we explore the heterogeneity in returns to export promotion across countries using a semi-parametric varying coefficient model. In the second chapter we evaluate the impact of terrorist attacks on economic growth while taking into account the mitigating effect of counter-terrorism through a set of strategies and policies deemed to influence the...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

English / 01/01/2018

Prediction Divergence Criterion for Model Selection in the Logistic Regression

In this Master Thesis, we have analytically derived and numerically implemented three estimators of the Prediction Divergence Criterion (Avella-Medina et al., working paper) for Model Selection within the logistic regression framework. After the validation of these estimators by means of simulations, we have performed Model Selection both when the order of the variables was known in...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

English / 01/01/2018

Validity and accuracy of posterior distributions in Bayesian statistics

In this thesis I investigate the validity and the accuracy properties of the posterior quantiles in Bayesian statistics when replacing the parametric likelihood with the Cressie-Read empirical likelihoods based on a set of unbiased M-estimating equations. At first order I study the validity of the empirical posterior distribution derived from the pseudo-likelihood constructed with...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

English / 01/01/2018

DelibAnalysis: understanding online deliberation through automated discourse quality analysis and topic modeling

The thesis examines political discourse quality online and proposes a methodology for analyzing online conversations in an automated way. The study builds on Habermas' work by examining the quality of the public sphere in a digital age. Primarily, it examines the portion of the public sphere which deals with political discussions on online platforms. The proposed technique,...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2018

‘Failing forward' towards Which Europe? Organized hypocrisy in the Common European Asylum System

Exposing the ideological conflicts involved in the creation of a common European Asylum Policy, this article calls for an extension of classic integration theories to look beyond whether crises result in ‘more' or ‘less' Europe and to address the substance of European integration. Drawing on actorcentered institutionalism and organizational sociology, the ‘refugee crisis...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

English / 01/01/2018

Cultural diversity without the state: How can a society based upon anarcho-capitalist libertarianism create a better environment for cultural diversity than the multicultural democratic state?

An intellectual journey dedicated to investigating (state) multiculturalism and the multicultural democratic state in order to theorize an anarcho-capitalist libertarian approach to the phenomenon of cultural diversity imperative to the former two motivated primarily by the unsettling and increasing lack of separation between culture and politics in the Western world. Prior to this,...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

English / 01/01/2018

Crisis at the Appellate Body: Towards More or Less Consent in WTO Adjudication?

The WTO is facing difficult times as the renewal of the members of its Appellate Body seems to be in a deadlock. The opposition of some Members of the Organization to the process means the number of adjudicators is slowly dwindling. In this paper, we put this problem in context, by linking it to the greater concerns about consent in international adjudication. Consent amounts to the...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

English / 01/01/2018

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