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Accurate value-at-risk forecasting based on the Normal-GARCH model

A resampling method based on the bootstrap and a bias-correction step is developed for improving the Value-at-Risk (VaR) forecasting ability of the normal-GARCH model. Compared to the use of more sophisticated GARCH models, the new method is fast, easy to implement, numerically reliable, and, except for having to choose a window length L for the bias-correction step, fully data…

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English / 01/01/2006

Reply to 'Asset Trading Volume in Innite-Horizon Economies with Dynamically Complete Markets and Heterogeneous Agents: Comment'

In a comment, Peter Bossaerts and William R. Zame [2006. Finance Research Letters. This issue] claim that the main result of our paper [Judd, K.L., Kubler, F., Schmedders, K., 2003. The Journal of Finance 58, 2203–2217], namely the no-trade theorem for the dynamic Lucas infinite horizon economy with heterogeneous agents, is an artifact of the assumption that asset dividends and…

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English / 01/01/2006

Disclosure, investment and regulation

This paper provides a framework to analyze voluntary and mandatory disclosure. Since improved disclosure reduces the entrepreneur's ability to extract private benefits, it secures funding for new investments, but also provides existing claimholders with a windfall gain. As a result, the entrepreneur may choose to forgo investment in favor of extracting more private benefits. A…

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English / 01/01/2006

Optimal Product Design: A CAPM Approach

We study properties of structured financial products optimizing a utility functional of a customer. The conventional method may have the disadvantage that the a priori restriction to a certain number of assets could make it impossible to find the optimal portfolio. So instead of optimizing the distribution of given assets, we impose only the price constraint as given by the CAPM and…

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English / 01/01/2006

Modelling Alpha-Opportunities Within the CAPM

We consider a simple CAPM with heterogenous expectations on assets mean returns while keeping the assumption of homogenous expectations on the covariance of returns. Our first result derives the security market line as an aggregation result without using the two-fund-separation property. In particular every investor can hold optimal portfolios that are underdiversified.In our model…

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English / 01/01/2006

Market Selection in an Evolutionary Market with Creation and Disappearance of Assets

Identifying investment strategies that will survive in the long run is a main endeavor in the eld of evolutionary nance. The evolutionary perspective on the nancial market considers rather long time horizons, making the creation and disappearance of rms a highly relevant factor in determining such strategies. However, this factor has not been examined in existing research. This paper…

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English / 01/01/2006

QoS-predictions service: infrastructural support for proactive QoS- and context-aware mobile services

Today's mobile data applications aspire to deliver services to a user anywhere – anytime while fulfilling his Quality of Service (QoS) requirements. However, the success of the service delivery heavily relies on the QoS offered by the underlying networks. As the services operate in a heterogeneous networking environment, we argue that the generic information about the networks…

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2006

Using revealed preferences to infer environmental benefits, evidence from recreational fishing licenses

We develop and apply a new method for estimating the economic benefits of an environmental amenity. The method is based upon the notion of estimating the derived demand for a privately traded option to utilize an open access good. In particular, the demand for state fishing licenses is used to infer the benefits of recreational fishing. Using panel data on state fishing license sales…

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English / 01/09/2005

The impact of bank consolidation on commercial borrower welfare

We estimate the impact of bank merger announcements on borrowers' stock prices for publicly traded Norwegian firms. Borrowers of target banks lose about 0.8% in equity value, while borrowers of acquiring banks earn positive abnormal returns, suggesting that borrower welfare is influenced by a strategic focus favoring acquiring borrowers. Bank mergers lead to higher relationship…

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English / 01/08/2005

Les contrats de niveau de service

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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Français / 01/01/2005

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