Publications des institutions partenaires

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Real option valuation with neural networks

We propose to use neural networks to value options when analytical solutions do not exist. The basic idea of this approach is to approximate the value function of a dynamic program by a neural net, where the selection of the network weights is done via simulated annealing. The main benefits of this method as compared to traditional approximation techniques are that there are no…

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English / 01/01/1998

Evaluation of Aggressive Competitive Pricing Strategies

The main contribution of this paper is a method that allows one to study the effects of different degrees of competition. We find that optimal prices and profits are more sensitive to cooperative than to aggressive behavior on the part of competitors. With more aggressive policies, the average pricing level decreases and the average difference between high and low prices increases.…

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English / 01/01/1998

Embeddedness, power, control and innovation in the telecommunications sector

In the present paper, relationships between embeddedness, power, control and innovation are examined in the context ofthe telecommunications sector. It is contended that in a tightly embedded, technology-intensive sector, technological and economic control are closeb intertwined. Consequently, the ability to appropriate economic rents is large& based on technological control. In…

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English / 01/01/1997

Adaptive methods in macroeconomic forecasting

Adaptive methods are used to forecast three main Austrian economic indicators. We use a weighted recursive model as well as a neural network approach both with and without adaptive characteristics and compare our results to the forecasts of two Austrian research institutes. It appears that even models which use very limited information can outperform the two Institutes’ forcasts of…

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English / 01/01/1997

The Swiss decision support system: State of the art and experiences

Development of the Decision Support System (DSS) used by the National Emergency Operations Centre in Switzerland began immediately after the accident at Chernobyl. The system will evaluate acceptable countermeasures following the accidental release of radioactivity in order to reduce ingestion dose. The DSS - not designed for the very early phase following the accidental release of…

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English / 11/10/1996

ECOSYS-87: Model Calculations of the activity in cow meat related to deposition time and feeding regimes after a nuclear fallout

The radioecological model ECOSYS-87 was used to evaluate the effect of countermeasures for reducing the ingestion dose by eating cattle meat after an accidental release of radioactive material. Calculations were performed using a database adapted to Swiss conditions for the case that (1) contaminated grass or hay is replaced by clean fodder; (2) the last 100 days before slaughter,…

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English / 01/01/1996

A look at the Nd as a special case of CNV

Tone onset and normal tone offset in Nd tasks are formally similar to the S1 and S2 events in a CNV task requiring perceptual discrimination (tone duration) for designated tones. If the Nd thus reflects more than mere stimulus selection, increasing the duration of all tones should lengthen the Nd wave. Eight subjects participated to three Nd tasks, with short tones of 50, 150, and…

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English / 01/01/1996

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