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Learning and Asset Pricing under Uncertainty

We propose a new modeling framework to study the asset pricing implications of learning under ambiguity aversion. In a continuous time partial information Lucas economy, we characterize analytically equilibrium equity returns and make the following observations. First, learning under ambiguity aversion implies an equilibrium discount for ambiguity, if and only if relative risk…

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English / 01/01/2008

The Dark Side of the Moon: Structured Products from the Customers' Perspective

Structured financial products have gained more and more popularity in recent years, but nevertheless has their success so far not thoroughly been analyzed. In this article we develop a theoretical framework for the design of optimal structured products and analyze the maximal utility gain for an investor that can be achieved by introducing structured products. We demonstrate that…

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English / 01/01/2008

Legal and economic aspects of best execution in the context of the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID)

This paper explores the implications for investment firms and clients that arise out of an interpretation of the Market in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID) best execution requirements from a law and economics perspective. While best execution is often framed as a matter of investor protection, research on market microstructure suggests that there is, in fact, an efficiency…

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English / 01/07/2007

Computational aspects of prospect theory with asset pricing applications

We develop an algorithm to compute asset allocations for Kahneman and Tversky’s (Econometrica, 47(2), 263–291, 1979) prospect theory. An application to benchmark data as in Fama and French (Journal of Financial Economics, 47(2), 427–465, 1992) shows that the equity premium puzzle is resolved for parameter values similar to those found in the laboratory experiments of Kahneman and…

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English / 01/05/2007

Strategic asset allocation and market timing: a reinforcement learning approach

We apply the recurrent reinforcement learning method of Moody, Wu, Liao, and Saffell (1998) in the context of the strategic asset allocation computed for sample data from US, UK, Germany, and Japan. It is found that the optimal asset allocation deviates substantially from the fixed-mix rule. The investor actively times the market and he is able to outperform it consistently over the…

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English / 01/05/2007

Bias-adjusted estimation in the ARX(1) model

A new point estimator for the AR(1) coefficient in the linear regression model with arbitrary exogenous regressors and stationary AR(1) disturbances is developed. Its construction parallels that of the median--unbiased estimator, but uses the mode as a measure of central tendency. The mean--adjusted estimator is also considered, and saddlepoint approximations are used to lower the…

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English / 01/04/2007

Saddlepoint approximations for the doubly noncentral t distribution

Closed-form approximations for the density and cumulative distribution function of the doubly noncentral t distribution are developed based on saddlepoint methods. They exhibit remarkable accuracy throughout the entire support of the distribution and are vastly superior to existing approximations. An application in finance is considered which capitalizes on the enormous increase in…

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English / 01/03/2007

Trend derivatives: pricing, hedging, and application to executive stock options

Both institutional and private investors often have only limited flexibility in timing their investment decision. They look for investments that will ideally be independent of the timing decision. In this article, a new class of derivative products whose payoff is linked to the trend of the underlying instrument is introduced. By linking the trend to the payoff, the timing of the…

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English / 01/02/2007

Corporate financial reporting and disclosure. A behavioral finance perspective

Managers' information disclosure to firm's outsiders plays an essential role for mitigating information asymmetry and agency problems. The main objective of this thesis is to analyze the managers' reporting incentives in a broader context, while considering the preferences of behavioural investors and the active role of financial analysts as target setters in…

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English / 01/01/2007

Why have exchange-traded catastrophe instruments failed to displace reinsurance?

In spite of the fact that they can draw on a larger, more liquid and more diversiedpool of capital than the equity of reinsurance companies, nancial markets have failedto displace reinsurance as the primary risk-sharing vehicle for natural catastropherisk. We show that this failure can be explained by dierences in information gatheringincentives between nancial markets and…

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English / 01/01/2007

An Analysis of Shareholder Agreements

Shareholder agreements govern the relations among shareholders in privately held firms, such as joint ventures and venture capital-backed companies. We provide an economic explanation for key clauses in such agreements 14namely, put and call options, tag-along and drag-along rights, demand and piggy-back rights, and catch-up clauses. In a dynamic moral hazard setting, we show that…

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English / 01/01/2007

The Role of Knowhow Acquisition in the Formation and Duration of Joint Ventures

We analyze the role of knowhow acquisition in the formation and duration of joint ventures. Two parties become partners in a joint venture to benefit from each other’s knowhow. Joint operations provide each party with the opportunity to acquire part of its partner’s knowhow. A party’s increased knowhow provides the impetus for the dissolution of the joint venture. We characterize the…

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English / 01/01/2007

Why government bonds are sold by auction and corporate bonds by posted-price selling

When information is costly, a seller may wish to prevent prospective buyers from acquiring information, for the cost of information acquisition ultimately is borne by the seller. A seller can achieve the desired prevention through posted-priceselling, by offering prospective buyers a discount. No such prevention is possible in the case of an auction. We establish the result that the…

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English / 01/01/2007

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