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Debt levels, debt composition, and sovereign spreads in emerging and advanced economies

This paper studies the relationship between sovereign spreads and the interaction between debt composition and debt levels in advanced and emerging market countries. It finds that in emerging market countries there is a significant correlation between spreads and debt levels. This correlation, however, is not statistically significant in countries where most public debt is…

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/ 06/11/2013

Resistance to agricultural biotechnology: The importance of distinguishing between weak and strong public attitudes

Empirical research shows that European governments and retailers are unlikely to be directly punished by taxpayers and consumers if they move away from their anti-GMO positions and policies. However, it is ultimately not the weak attitudes of taxpayers and consumers that matter to governments and retailers but the strong attitudes of the noisy anti-biotech movement.

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English / 01/10/2013

Voluntary corporate climate initiatives and regulatory loom: Batten down the hatches

King and Lenox (2001) argued that “when does it pay to be green” might be a more important question for firms than whether it pays at all. We present an event study that suggests that it pays in the tangible presence of regulatory pressure, depending on how well the chosen scheme to become green fits with the threatened regulatory design. To this end, we exploit the unexpected…

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English / 01/10/2013

Schein und Sein im öffentlichen Diskurs um die Grüne Gentechnik

Seit der ersten kommerziellen Einführung einer Gentechpflanze im Jahre 1996 ist einiges passiert, sowohl in den Medien wie auch auf dem Feld. Mittlerweile werden gentechnisch veränderte Nutzpflanzen weltweit von 17,3 Mio. Bauern auf einer Fläche von 170 Mio. Hektaren angebaut. 90 % dieser Bauern sind Kleinbauern in Indien und anderen Entwicklungsländern, die insbesondere von der…

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Deutsch / 06/09/2013

An evaluation of the impact of the natural forest protection programme on rural household livelihoods

In this paper, we estimate the impact on local household livelihoods of the Natural Forest Protection Programme (NFPP), the largest logging ban programme in the world that aims to protect watershed and conserve natural forests. In doing so we use a series of policy evaluation micro-econometric techniques to assess the impacts of the NFPP on two interrelated facets of household…

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/ 13/08/2013

Strategic sustainability and financial performance: Exploring abnormal returns

The ongoing empirical debate about whether SRI is associated, if anything, with subpar or surpassing financial performance is characterized by a somewhat indistinct focus and the infeasibility of tapping the full potential of existing models. By indistinct focus, we mean an analysis based on an aggregation of a myriad of SRI factors that potentially affect a firm’s financial…

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English / 01/07/2013

Sustainability and risk in real estate investments: combining monte carlo simulation and dcf

This paper identifies the relative contribution of sustainability criteria to property value risk. We use a discounted cash flow (DCF) model to assess the effect of a given set of 42 sustainability sub-indicators on property value. The anticipated demand for each sustainability sub-indicator is described by four future states of nature. Their impact on costs and/or revenue is…

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English / 01/06/2013

Do Private Standards encourage or hinder trade and innovation?

Humankind shares a common interest in the safety of the products it uses and consumes and an increasing interest in the way the product has been produced. In a globalized world, private standards play a role in ensuring the safety and sustainability of products and production methods. The co-management of the public good ‘food safety’ by the public and the private sector is not new…

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English / 01/06/2013

Nachhaltigkeit in Franken und Rappen

Bei Investitionsentscheidungen ist nicht nur die Rendite von Interesse, sondern auch das Risiko. Dies gilt bei Aktien- genauso wie bei Immobilienanlagen. Die Diskussion um Nachhaltigkeit ist u.a. geprägt vom Wunsch, Gutes zu tun. Aus Sicht von Unternehmen spielt dies im Zusammenhang mit Corporate Social Responsiblity eine wichtige Rolle. Aus Investitionssicht steht allerdings die…

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Deutsch / 29/05/2013

Currency crises in reverse: do large real exchange rate appreciations matter for growth?

While currency crises have been extensively studied, the opposite phenomenon, large appreciations, has been far less researched. We fill this gap by providing an empirical exploration of historical episodes of large real exchange rate appreciations, using a sample of 28 advanced and 25 emerging market economies, with annual data going back to 1970. We focus on the impact of large…

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/ 28/05/2013

Understanding Rating Addiction: US Courts and the Origins of Rating Agencies’ Regulatory License (1900-1940)

This paper discusses the “regulatory license” view that reliance by regulators on the output of rating agencies in the 1930s “caused” the agencies to become a central part of the fabric of the US financial system. Exploring pre-1930 court records, we find evidence of a growing reliance on the agencies that pre-dates the regulatory moves of the 1930s. We argue that courts began using…

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/ 28/05/2013

Pessimism, optimism and credit rationing

In their celebrated contribution on credit rationing, Stiglitz and Weiss (1981) showed that the expected return to the borrower on a loan is increasing in the risk of the project it funds. In this paper, I show that their results do not necessarily carry over to the case where the agents’ preferences can be described by rank-dependent expected utility (RDEU). In particular, a…

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/ 17/05/2013

Public debt and economic growth in advanced economies: a survey

This paper surveys the recent literature on the links between public debt and economic growth in advanced economies. We find that theoretical models yield ambiguous results. Whether high levels of public debt have a negative effect on long-run growth is thus an empirical question. While many papers have found a negative correlation between debt and growth, our reading of the…

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/ 17/05/2013

Documenting legal dissonance: regulation of (and by) payback killing in Papua New Guinea

We provide a simple model for considering the interaction between multiple legal regimes existing simultaneously within a single jurisdiction. We demonstrate that, even when the fundamental relationship between outputs of such regimes is to behave as substitutes for one another, the existence of negative externalities between the enforcement technologies can result in the withdrawal…

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/ 17/05/2013

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