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Energy Tax Reform with Exemptions for the Energy-Intensive Export Sector (Revised Version wp 29)

The present paper applies a theoretical two-sector three-factor model to analyze a variety of energy tax reforms with the common feature of at least partly exempting the energy-intensive export sector from the tax. As a result, all scenarios with exemptions reduce energy less than the non-discriminating textbook version of the energy tax. Moreover, in the two scenarios that exemplify…

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English / 01/02/2001

Contracted workdays and absence

We present results of a negative binomial model on the determinants of the number of days of absence in a given year for a sample of 2049 workers drawn from three factories. We find evidence of the terms of the remuneration contract being important and we offer an interpretation of the differential effect of the company sickpay scheme on the behaviour of workers contracted to work…

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English / 01/01/2001

Markov chain Monte Carlo analysis of correlated count data

This article is concerned with the analysis of correlated count data. A class of models is proposed in which the correlation among the counts is represented by correlated latent effects. Special cases of the model are discussed and a tuned and efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm is developed to estimate the model under both multivariate normal and multivariate-t assumptions…

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English / 01/01/2001

Investment and market dominance

We analyze a model of oligopolistic competition with ongoing investment. Special cases include incremental investment, patent races, learning by doing, and network externalities. We investigate circumstances under which a firm with low costs or high quality will extend its initial lead through investments. To this end, we derive a new comparative statics result for general games with…

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English / 01/01/2001

Skill supply, supervision requirements and unemployment of low-skilled labor

This paper presents a model with flexible wages in which unemployment of low-skilled labor is possible in equilibrium, whereas high-skilled workers are fully employed. Thus, the model can explain why even in countries with flexible labor markets and full employment of skilled labor an employment problem exists at the bottom of the skill spectrum. The model is used to evaluate the…

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English / 01/01/2001

On the use of willingness-to-pay studies in health

Health policy makers know that their decisions affect the chances of well-being and survival of individuals and that they implicitly are valuing human lives. Evidence with regard to willingness-to-pay (WTP) informs about the value individuals themselves put on these chances; it thus holds the promise of contributing to consistent decisions that lead to an improved benefit-cost ratio…

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English / 01/01/2001

Eine Gesundheitspolitik fur das 21. Jahrhundert: Zehn Reformvorschläge

This contribution purports to come up with reform proposals that promise to improve the benefit-cost ratio in health from the point of view of taxpayers and (potential) patients. It starts by noting that a high and increasing share of health care expenditure in the GDP does not per se indicate a need for reform. Rather, the guiding idea is that decisions in the health care sector…

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Deutsch / 01/01/2001

Long run recursive VAR models and QR decompositions

Long-run recursive identification schemes are very popular in the structural VAR literature. This note suggests a two-step procedure based on QR decompositions as a solution algorithm for this type of identification problem. Our procedure will always deliver the exact solution and it is much easier to implement than a Newton-type iteration algorithm. It may therefore be very useful…

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English / 01/01/2001

More international evidence on the historical properties of business cycles

This paper establishes stylized facts about business cycles in the late 19th century, using spectral analysis techniques which allow an intuitive description and analysis of cyclical structure in economic fluctuations. Analysis of industrial production data for 13 countries permits the following generalizations. In the advanced North Atlantic economies, a fairly regular long cycle…

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English / 01/01/2001

Cross-border sourcing and outward processing in EU manufacturing

With the help of a standard 2 × 2 trade model, we develop several hypotheses on the effects of cross-border sourcing on skill intensity in production. The focus is on cross-border sourcing of low-skill-intensive components of exports and import-competing products. We test the aforementioned hypotheses with panel data for manufacturing in the European Union (EU). We find that outward…

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English / 01/01/2001

An Extension of Mantel (1976) to Incomplete Markets

In the incomplete markets model with numeraire asset and a single consumption good we show that, even with homothetic preferences, on compact sets of prices Continuity, Walras' identity and Homogeneity characterize the properties of market excess demand. This result is proved by an extension of Mantel (1976) to the case of incomplete markets.

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English / 01/01/2001

Satiation in an international economy

The purpose of this paper is to explore the role of changes in the sectoral structure of world demand for the welfare implications of trade and international specialization. A two-countries two-goods model with external economies of scale is presented. Demand develops according to non-linear Engel-curves with phases of expansion and saturation. The economies of scale are exploited by…

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English / 01/01/2001

Random Dynamical Systems in Economics

This paper surveys recent advances in the application of random dynamical systems theory in economics. It illustrates the usefulness of this framework for modeling and analysis of economic phenomena with stochastic components, mainly focusing on stochastic dynamic models in economic growth. The paper also highlights some directions for further applications and interdisciplinary…

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English / 01/12/2000

Deficit Spending in the Nazi Recovery, 1933-1938: A Critical Reassessment

This paper examines the effects of deficits spending on the Nazi recovery. Although deficits were substantial and full employment was reached within four years, their fiscal impulse was too small to account for the speed of recovery. VAR forecasts of output using fiscal and monetary policy instruments also suggest only a minor role for active policy. Nazi policies deliberately…

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English / 01/12/2000

Political Economists are Neither Selfish nor Indoctrinated

Most professional economists believe that economist in general are more selfish than other persons and that this greater selfishness is due to economic education. In this paper we offer empirical evidence against this widely held belief. Using a unique data set about giving behaviour to two social funds at the University of Zurich, it is shown that economic training does not make…

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English / 01/12/2000

Random Fixed Points in a Stochastic Solow Growth Model

This paper presents a complete analysis of a stochastic version of the Solow growth model in which all parameters are ergodic random variables. Applying random dynamical systems theory, we prove that the dynamics and, in particular, the long-runnbehavior is uniquely determined by a globally attracting stable random fixed point. We also discuss the relation of our approach to that of…

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English / 01/11/2000

Financial Markets and Stochastic Growth

In this paper, we study the effect of financial markets on the investment of a two-good two-country economy with stochastic production in a dynamic framework. Each country produces and invests only one good and, therefore, makes decisions as a central planner in an optimal growth model. Trade between consumers of both countries, however, takes place on competitive (spot or financial…

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English / 01/11/2000

Did we Overestimate the Value of Health?

Adam Smith's idea that wage differences reveal preferences for risk rests on firm theoretical foundations. This paper argues, however, that the standard approach to identify these differentials in practice may be flawed. Empirical practice usually identifies compensating wage differentials for risk by regressing individual wages on aggregate measures of risk, usually industry or…

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English / 01/10/2000

Declining costs of communication and transportation: what are the effects on agglomerations?

We consider a two-stage model of locational choice. Firms decide in which of three locations (or countries) to build plants; they then compete in all three markets. Knowledge spillovers reduce marginal costs in agglomerations; through intra-firm spillovers these cost reductions can be exported to other locations. We show that improvements in the exchange of information within firms…

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English / 25/09/2000

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