Publications des institutions partenaires

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An Evolutionary Approach to Financial Innovation

"The purpose of this paper is to explain why some markets for financial products take off while others vanish as soon as they have emerged. To this end, we model an infinite sequence of CAPM-economies in which financial products can be used for insurance purposes. Agents' participation in these financial products, however, is restricted. Consecutive stage economies are…

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English / 01/07/2000

On Uniqueness of Equilibria in the CAPM

"- This paper replaces the paper ""Existence and Uniqueness of Equilibria in the CAPM"" -nIn the standard CAPM with a riskless asset we give a sufficient condition for uniqueness. This condition is a joint restriction on the agents' endowments and their preferences which is compatible with non-increasing absolute risk aversion and which is in particular…

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English / 01/07/2000

Did Monetary Forces Cause the Great Depression? A Bayesian VAR Analysis for the U.S. Economy

This paper recasts Temin's (1976) question of whether monetary forces caused the Great Depression in a modern time series framework. We evaluate the effects of monetary policy against nonmonetary alternatives in a Bayesian updating framework with time-varying parameters. The predictive power of monetary policy for output is very small for the early phase of the depression and…

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English / 01/07/2000

More Order with Less Law: On Contract Enforcement, Trust, and Crowding

"Most contracts, whether between voters and politicians or between house owners and contractors, are incomplete. ""More law,"" it typically is assumed, increases the likelihood of contract performance by increasing the probability of enforcement and/or the cost of breach. This paper studies a contractual relationship where the first mover has to decide…

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English / 01/07/2000

Choosing the Joneses: On the Endogeneity of Reference Groups

"A growing economic literature recognizes and deals with the fact that economic agents' utility and well-being is not solely determined by absolute achievements, but also by achievements relative to a reference standard or reference group. In this literature it is assumed that the reference standard is completely exogenous. Social psychologists have questioned the exogenous…

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English / 01/07/2000

Measuring Willingness-To-Pay for Risk Reduction: An Application of Conjoint Analysis

This study applies conjoint analysis (CA) to estimate the marginal willingness-to-pay (MWTP) of elderly individuals for a reduction of the risk of fracture of the femur. The good in question are hypothetical hip protectors which lower the risk of a fracture by different amounts. Other attributes are ease of handling, wearing comfort, and out-of-pocket cost. Thus, the novelty of the…

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English / 01/06/2000

Employment and distributional effects of restricting working time

We study the employment and distributional effects of regulating (reducing) working time in a general equilibrium model with search-matching frictions. Job creation entails fixed costs, but existing jobs are subject to diminishing returns. We characterize the equilibrium in the de-regulated economy where firms and individual workers freely negotiate wages and hours. Then, we consider…

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English / 01/06/2000

The Rise and Fall of Festivals - Reflections on the Salzburg Festival

The paper takes a closer look at cultural festivals such as musical or operatic festivals. From an economic viewpoint the paper shows that such festivals offer great artistic and economic opportunities, but that at the same time these opportunities are also easy to destroy. Empirical evidence from the Salzburg Festival show that government support can have negative effects on the…

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English / 01/06/2000

Motivation Crowding Theory: A Survey of Empirical Evidence, REVISED VERSION

The Motivation Crowding Effect suggests that external intervention via monetary incentives or punishments may undermine, and under different identifiable conditions strengthen, intrinsic motivation. As of today, the theoretical possibility of motivation crowding has been the main subject of discussion among economists. This study demonstrates that the effect is also of empirical…

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English / 01/06/2000

Quality Provision in Deregulated Industries: The Railtrack Problem

This paper studies a network provider's incentives to invest in infrastructure quality. In a simple but general framework, we investigate how various institutional settings affect investment incentives. We show that under reasonable assumptions on demand, investment incentives are smaller under vertical separation than under vertical integration. We consider two strategies for…

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English / 01/06/2000

Intertemporal Choice under Habit Formation

Many of the most important choices in people's lives have an inter-temporal dimension, i.e., these choices are associated with a flow of benefits or costs that accrue in the future. In addition, such choices are frequently habit- forming. Yet, little is known about habit-forming inter-temporal choice behavior. This paper reports the results of an inter-temporal choice experiment…

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English / 01/05/2000

Does Money Illusion Matter? REVISED VERSION

Money illusion means that people behave differently when the same objective situation is represented in nominal terms rather than in real terms. This paper shows that seemingly innocuous differences in payoff representation cause pronounced differences in nominal price inertia indicating the behavioral importance of money illusion. In particular, if the payoff information is…

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English / 01/05/2000

Consumption Taxes and International Competitiveness in a Keynesian World

The present paper analyzes the consequences of a consumption tax reform for the export sector. In particular, it offers an explanation why exporters support such a reform although economic theory basically predicts trade neutrality. To this purpose, the basic neoclassical model is replaced with two Keynesian assumptions, i.e. sticky wages and absence of perfect foresight. It is…

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English / 01/04/2000

A Further Look at Two-way Network Competition in Telecommunications

This paper develops a simple reduced form model of two-way network competition with linear retail pricing. Using the techniques of supermodular games, it is demonstrated that the most important results from the existing literature do not depend on routinely invoked assumptions, such as specific functional forms or the symmetry of the network operators. In particular, it is…

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English / 01/04/2000

Is Swiss Telecommunications a Natural Monopoly? An Evaluation of Empirical Evidence

Based upon time series data published by PTT prior to regulatory reform, this paper investigates whether Swiss telecommunications qualify as a natural monopoly. Employing the subadditivity concept for multiproduct industries, alternative specifications of quadratic cost functions are estimated. The results of these estimations are ambiguous and demonstrate the difficulty of…

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English / 01/04/2000

Firm-Specific Training: Consequences for Job Mobility

This paper analyzes the impact of formal training on worker mobility. Using data from the Swiss Labor Force Survey, we find that on-the-job search activities and, to a smaller extent, actual job separations are significantly affected by both employer-provided and general training. Moreover, while the separation probability of searching workers is strongly affected by previous firm-…

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English / 01/03/2000

Does Economics have an Effect? Towards an Economics of Economics

"Due to its formality and highly analytic thinking, economics is often attributed a leading role among the social sciences and a prominent position as contributor to economic or social issues in the real world. Fact is, however, that the empirical proof for such a claim is either missing or anecdotal. This paper aims to outline the “economics of economics”. It…

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English / 01/02/2000

When do firms benefit from environmental regulations? A simple microeconomic approach to the Porter controversy

Michael Porter and others have recently argued that suitable environmental regulations are likely to induce cost-reducing innovations. We analyze under which conditions such arguments might be consistent with microeconomic analysis, and under which additional conditions the firms' benefits might exceed the costs. It turns out that this requires fairly specific conditions.

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English / 01/01/2000

Seemingly unrelated negative binomial regression

This paper discusses the specification and estimation of seemingly unrelated multivariate count data models. A new model with negative binomial marginals is proposed. In contrast to a previous model based on the multivariate Poisson distribution, the new model allows for over-dispersion, a phenomenon that is frequently encountered in economic count data. Semi-parametric estimation is…

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English / 01/01/2000

Criteria for the future division of labor between private and social health insurance

This article's point of departure is that the individual has to manage three stochastic assets, namely health, wealth, and wisdom (skills), which tend to be positively correlated. It shows that the unexpected components of insurance payments should be negatively correlated for minimizing total asset volatility. The empirical finding is that in the United States, Japan, and…

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English / 01/01/2000

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