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The Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the rise of the dollar as an international currency, 1914-1939

This paper provides new evidence on the rise of the dollar as an international currency, focusing on its role in the conduct of trade and the provision of trade credit. We show that the shift to the dollar occurred much earlier than conventionally supposed: during and immediately after World War I. Not just market forces but also policy support – the Fed in its role as market maker…

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Français, English / 09/08/2011

Hamlet without the Prince of Denmark: relationship banking and conditionality lending in the London Market For Foreign Government Debt, 1815 - 1913

This paper offers a theory of conditionality lending in 19th century international capital markets. We argue that ownership of reputation signals by prestigious banks rendered them able and willing to monitor government borrowing. Monitoring was a source of rent, and it led bankers to support countries facing liquidity crises in a manner similar to modern descriptions of “…

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Français, English / 08/08/2011

An econometric analysis of India-Sri Lanka Free Trade Agreement

This paper investigates whether the India-Sri Lanka Free Trade Agreement (ISLFTA) has had trade creation or trade diversion effects on the rest of the World. The method used resembles the one used by Romalis (2005) to study NAFTA. In order to use the variations in tariff at the product level, we use six digit HS classification of products. We construct seven panel data sets for the…

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Français, English / 08/08/2011

Firm heterogeneity, rules of origin and rules of cumulation

We analyse the impact of relaxing rules of origin (ROOs) in a simple setting with heterogeneous firms that buy intermediate inputs from domestic and foreign sources. In particular, we consider the impact of switching from bilateral to diagonal cumulation when using preferences (instead of paying the MFN tariff) involving the respect of rules of origin. We find that relaxing the…

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Français, English / 08/08/2011

Secteur privé

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Français, English / 22/07/2011

Private sector

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Français, English / 22/07/2011

Investment opportunities in the source country and temporary migration

This paper examines how attractive investment opportunities available to temporary migrants at home affect their saving behaviour and the optimal duration of stay abroad. The model predicts an inverse U-shaped relationship between migration duration and the expected rate of return on repatriated savings. A higher rate provides an incentive to go back earlier and consume less abroad,…

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Français, English / 21/07/2011

Financial market imperfections and the impact of exchange rate movements on exports

This paper analyzes empirically the role of financial market imperfections in the way countries’ exports react to a currency depreciation. Using quarterly data for 27 developed and developing countries over the period 1990–2005, we find that the impact of a depreciation on exports will be less positive—or even negative—for a country if: (i) firms borrow in foreign currency; (ii) they…

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Français, English / 21/07/2011

Immigrant parents and children: an analysis of decisions related to return migration

It is not unusual for immigrants to leave the host country and resettle permanently in their country of origin. This paper examines the interaction among some of the key factors that influence the return decision of immigrant households. These include purely economic variables such as wages of the two countries and the costs and benefits of accumulating country-specific human capital…

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Français, English / 21/07/2011

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