Publications des institutions partenaires
Tail Risk in Hedge Funds : A Unique View from Portfolio Heldings
We develop a new tail risk measure for hedge funds to examine the impact of tail risk on fund performance and to identify the sources of tail risk. We find that tail risk affects the cross-sectional variation in fund returns, and investments in both, tail-sensitive stocks as well as options, drive tail risk. Moreover, managerial incentives and discretion as well as exposure to…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/09/2017
Do Local Governments Tax Homeowner Communities Differently?
This paper investigates whether and how strongly the share of homeowners in a community affects residential property taxation by local governments. Different from renters, homeowners bear the full property tax burden irrespective of local market conditions, and the tax is more salient to them. "Homeowner communities" may hence oppose high property taxes in order to protect…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/09/2017
The impact of CSR reporting quality on analyst forecast accuracy
We investigate the impact of the quality of corporate social responsibility (CSR) reports on sell-side analyst forecast accuracy. The sample comprises 506 large companies that were selected according to the CSR-Sustainability Monitor, which was used to measure the quality of CSR reports issued in 2012 by the members listed in Fortune 500 US and the Global Index. Forecast error is…
Institution partenaire
English / 08/08/2017
Numeracy and the quality of on-the-job decisions: Evidence from loan officers
We examine how the numeracy level of employees influences the quality of their on-the-job decisions. Based on an administrative dataset of a retail bank we relate the performance of loan officers in a standardized math test to the accuracy of their credit assessments of small business borrowers. We find that loan officers with a high level of numeracy are more accurate in assessing…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/07/2017
Investor Attention and Sentiment: Risk or Anomaly?
Are stocks' varying sensitivies to changing investor attention and sentiment priced? Employing internet search-based proxies for both, I find novel results that are consistent with theory. Stocks that co-vary negatively with increased investor attention to the stock market outperform in the following months in a behavior consistent with a risk premium. The pricing of co-…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/07/2017
Will Awe Trump Rules? The 21st GTA Report
Not since the London Summit of in April 2009 has protectionism had such a high profile in the run-up to a G20 Leader’s Summit. President Trump’s America First policies have drawn sharp criticism from leaders of other G20 governments. Accusations and counter-accusations of unfair trading practices have become a regular occurrence. So as to shed light on competing claims, this Global…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/07/2017
Firm-value effects of CSR disclosure and CSR performance
We examine in this paper the effects of corporate social responsibility (CSR) disclosure and CSR performance on firm value for S&P 500 firms from 2011 to 2014. We find that CSR disclosure is positively associated with firm value and that the effect of CSR disclosure on firm value is larger than the effect of CSR performance. On average, the overall firm value increase for one…
Institution partenaire
English / 30/06/2017
Tail Risk in Hedge Funds: A Unique View from Portfolio Heldings
We develop a new tail risk measure for hedge funds to examine the impact of tail risk on fund performance and to identify the sources of tail risk. We find that tail risk affects the cross-sectional variation in fund returns, and investments in both, tail-sensitive stocks as well as options, drive tail risk. Moreover, managerial incentives and discretion as well as exposure to…
Institution partenaire
English / 27/06/2017
Valuation of the flexibility of power-to-gas facilities
Power-to-gas (P2G) is a technology that converts electrical power to gas fuels like methane for storage in the natural gas grid. Due to the low efficiency, the production of synthetic methane is only profitable if electricity is sufficiently cheap. However, P2G facilities are flexible consumers and can benefit from short-term price fluctuations on the electricity spot market. We use…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/06/2017
Endogenous Growth, Semi-endogenous Growth... or Both? A Simple Hybrid Model
First generation endogenous growth models had the counterfactual implication that the long-term growth of per-capita GDP increased with the population size. Two influential growth paradigms, the semi-endogenous and the second generation fully endogenous, eliminated this strong scale effect. Both solutions have useful aspects and insights, but very different policy implications. This…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/05/2017
Access to Credit and Comparative Advantage
Access to external funds is crucial for the entry and expansion of entrepreneurial firms and the sectors they predominantly arise in. This paper reports three important results. First, comparative advantage is shaped by factor endowments as well as fundamental determinants of corporate finance. In particular, a larger equity ratio of firms and tough governance standards relax…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/05/2017
Cultural Preferences and the Choice between Formal and Informal Financing
This paper documents significant differences in the financing structure of small firms with managers of diverse cultural backgrounds. To separate the effect of culture from other factors that affect the financing structure of firms, we exploit cultural heterogeneity within a geographical area with shared regulations, institutions, and macroeconomic cycles. Our findings suggest that…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/05/2017
Monetary Policy and Currency Returns: the Foresight Saga
We document a drift in exchange rates before monetary policy changes across major economies. Currencies tend to depreciate by 0.7 percent over ten days before policy rate cuts and appreciate by 0.5 percent before policy rate increases. We show that available fixed income instruments allow to accurately forecast monetary policy decisions and thus that the drift is foreseeable and…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/05/2017
Best Land Use with Negative Externalities: Determining Land Values from Residential Rents
When land regulations are binding, then the land price per m2 is determined by the attractiveness of the location and the restrictiveness of the regulation. In the case of a maximum oor area ratio (FARmax) restriction, the best use land price can be directly expressed as a function of the FARmax and local amenities. We show theoretically and empirically how this approach can be used…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/04/2017
Illuminating the Dark Side of Financial Innovation: The Role of Investor Information
This paper investigates the impact of investor information on financial innovation. We identify specific channels through which issuers of financially engineered products exploit retail investors by using their privileged access to information. Our results imply that imperfect investor information regarding volatility and dividends is crucial to explain the pricing and design of…
Institution partenaire
English / 10/03/2017
Combining Semi-Endogenous and Fully Endogenous Growth: a Generalization.
This paper shows that combining the semi-endogenous and the fully endogenous growth mechanisms with a general CES aggregator, either growth process can prevail in the balanced growth path depending on their degree of complementarity/substitutability. Policy-induced long-run economic switches to the fully endogenous steady state as the R&D employment ratio surpasses a positive…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/03/2017
Depreciation: a Dangerous Affair
What if the statutory fiscal depreciation of buildings was higher than their effective economic depreciation? This would imply that markets would value buildings more than their social fundamental value. I prove that this would allow house price bubbles to emerge and open the door to sudden crashes. This paper provides an example of how a misaligned fiscal policy measure could…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/03/2017
How much Keynes and how much Schumpeter? An Estimated Macromodel of the US Economy
The macroeconomic experience of the last decade stressed the importance of jointly studying the growth and business cycle fluctuations behavior of the economy. To analyze this issue, we embed a model of Schumpeterian growth into an estimated medium-scale DSGE model. Results from a Bayesian estimation suggest that investment risk premia are a key driver of the slump following the…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/03/2017
The Long-Term Performance of IPO's, Revisited
The literature on IPO long-term performance generally focuses on three- to five-year post-issue time horizons. Research published in the 2000s shows that the apparent underperformance of IPOs docu-mented in the 1990s disappears when the different risk exposures between IPO and mature firms are accounted for by using a Carhart (1997) factor model. In this paper, we show that a sample…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/03/2017
The Impact of Financial Advice on Trade Performance and Behavioral Biases
We use a dataset from a large retail bank to examine the impact of financial advice on investors’ stock trading performance and behavioral biases. Our data allow us to classify each individual trade as either advised or independent and to compare them in a trade-bytrade within-person analysis. Thus, our study is not plagued by the endogeneity problems typically faced by studies on…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/03/2017
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