Publications des institutions partenaires

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Europe's Existential Crisis. Facing the Threats and Challenges

The European Union is in a state of emergency. The crisis it is facing today is a global one, rather than merely sector-specific as in the past. It therefore requires a global response, in other words at a political level. This is the central message conveyed by this selection of texts. Having presented some of the main challenges, both internal and external, with which the Union is…

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2018

Heterogeneity and international economics

In the first chapter of this chapter we explore the heterogeneity in returns to export promotion across countries using a semi-parametric varying coefficient model. In the second chapter we evaluate the impact of terrorist attacks on economic growth while taking into account the mitigating effect of counter-terrorism through a set of strategies and policies deemed to influence the…

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2018

Prediction Divergence Criterion for Model Selection in the Logistic Regression

In this Master Thesis, we have analytically derived and numerically implemented three estimators of the Prediction Divergence Criterion (Avella-Medina et al., working paper) for Model Selection within the logistic regression framework. After the validation of these estimators by means of simulations, we have performed Model Selection both when the order of the variables was known in…

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2018

Validity and accuracy of posterior distributions in Bayesian statistics

In this thesis I investigate the validity and the accuracy properties of the posterior quantiles in Bayesian statistics when replacing the parametric likelihood with the Cressie-Read empirical likelihoods based on a set of unbiased M-estimating equations. At first order I study the validity of the empirical posterior distribution derived from the pseudo-likelihood constructed with…

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2018

‘Failing forward' towards Which Europe? Organized hypocrisy in the Common European Asylum System

Exposing the ideological conflicts involved in the creation of a common European Asylum Policy, this article calls for an extension of classic integration theories to look beyond whether crises result in ‘more' or ‘less' Europe and to address the substance of European integration. Drawing on actorcentered institutionalism and organizational sociology, the ‘refugee crisis…

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2018

Cultural diversity without the state: How can a society based upon anarcho-capitalist libertarianism create a better environment for cultural diversity than the multicultural democratic state?

An intellectual journey dedicated to investigating (state) multiculturalism and the multicultural democratic state in order to theorize an anarcho-capitalist libertarian approach to the phenomenon of cultural diversity imperative to the former two motivated primarily by the unsettling and increasing lack of separation between culture and politics in the Western world. Prior to this,…

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2018

Crisis at the Appellate Body: Towards More or Less Consent in WTO Adjudication?

The WTO is facing difficult times as the renewal of the members of its Appellate Body seems to be in a deadlock. The opposition of some Members of the Organization to the process means the number of adjudicators is slowly dwindling. In this paper, we put this problem in context, by linking it to the greater concerns about consent in international adjudication. Consent amounts to the…

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2018

Did european construction contribute to peace?

Supporters of European integration have always argued that it has brought peace. Yet no scientific study has ever developed a critical approach to such a claim. To remedy this surprising deficiency, the author builds a typology that will help to distinguish the two main opposing approaches to this question: that of the Europeanists and that of the Eurosceptics. The dialectical…

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2018

The influence of bilateral aid in the foreign policy preferences of recipient countries: The case of China and Costa Rica (2000-2013)

The influence of bilateral aid in the foreign policy preferences of recipient countries: The case of China and Costa Rica (2000-2013

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2018

On oppression: Animals, the absent referent

On oppression: Animals, the absent referent

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2018

Long-range growth: economic development in the global network of air links

We study the impact of international long-distance flights on the global spatial allocation of economic activity. To identify causal effects, we exploit variation due to regulatory and technological constraints which give rise to a discontinuity in connectedness between cities at a distance of 6,000 miles. We show that improving an airport’s position in the network of air links has a…

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English / 20/12/2017

Payment Evasion

This paper shows that a firm can use the purchase price and the fine imposed on detected payment evaders to discriminate between unobservable consumer types. Assuming that consumers self-select into regular buyers and payment evaders, we show that the firm typically engages in second-degree price discrimination in which the purchase price exceeds the expected fine. In addition, we…

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English / 18/12/2017

Momentum and Crash Sensitivity

This paper proposes a risk-based explanation of the momentum anomaly on equity markets. Regressing the momentum strategy return on the return of a self-financing portfolio going long (short) in stocks with high (low) crash sensitivity in the USA from 1963 to 2012 reduces the momentum effect from a highly statistically significant 11.94% to an insignificant 1.84%. We find additional…

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English / 15/12/2017

Laboratory measure of cheating predicts school misconduct

Laboratory experiments provide insights into the drivers of cheating behaviour, but it is unclear to what extent cheating in the lab generalizes to the field. We conducted an experiment with middle and high school students to test whether a common laboratory measure of cheating predicts three types of school misconduct: (i) disruptiveness in class, (ii) homework non-completion, and (…

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English / 01/12/2017

Volatile Top Income Shares in Switzerland? Reassessing the Evolution Between 1981 and 2010

In the last 20 years, the share of top incomes in Switzerland has risen, while
exhibiting large variations. Switzerland is similar to European countries for the top
1% but closer to the U.S. for higher top income groups. With the synthetic control
method we close a time gap in the tax data, exploiting the fact that Swiss cantons
changed their tax system at…

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English / 01/12/2017

Optimal search from multiple distributions with infinite horizon

With infinite horizon, optimal rules for sequential search from a known distribution feature a constant reservation value that is independent of whether recall of past options is possible. We extend this result to the the case when there are multiple distributions to choose from: it is optimal to sample from the same distribution in every period and to continue searching until a…

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English / 01/12/2017

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