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Are fiscal rules helpful in mitigating the impact of oil market fluctuations?

In this paper we empirically examined the role of fiscal rules in mitigating the impact of oil market fluctuations in resource-rich economies using a structural panel VAR framework following P. Pedroni (2013) and incorporating identification scheme of Kilian (2009). Our key findings can be summarized as: l) oil exporting developing countries exhibit procyclical respond to positive…

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Français, English / 26/02/2018

Global value chains and product sophistication: an empirical investigation of Indian firms

This paper analyses the impact of GVC linkages on product upgrading using the Indian firm-level dataset Prowess, and methodologies of System-GMM and Propensity score matching. Defining product upgrading as a movement towards more sophisticated products, we use Haussmann's product sophistication index to calculate a sales-weighted average sophistication level of Indian manufacturing…

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/ 22/02/2018

Appellate Body report on EU-Biodiesel: the future of China's state capitalism under the WTO AU-Dumping Agreement

China's unique economic system poses increasing challenges to the world trading system and attracts growing academic and policy debates. WTO members have frequently resorted to antidumping measures in dealing with price distortions caused by Chinese government influence in the economy. The Appellate Body's decision in the recent EU – Biodiesel dispute starts to remove the flexibility…

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/ 20/02/2018

A framework for rethinking NAFTA for the 21st century: policies, institutions, and regionalism

The 2016 U.S. presidential campaign made the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) a prime target in a heated and divisive debate that questioned the United States' participation in the international trading system. Though campaign rhetoric typically softens as a candidate takes office, this time may be different. President Donald Trump has called NAFTA “the worst trade deal…

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/ 20/02/2018

The impact of new regionalism on global value chains participation

This article investigates the impact of trade agreements on bilateral trade flows of manufactured goods. Compared to other studies, it enriches the analysis by decomposing gross trade flows into their value added components, and by considering the direction of trade flows and the content of trade agreements. The analysis reveals a clear pattern in the effects of economic integration…

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/ 20/02/2018

Services liberalization and GVC participation: new evidence for heterogeneous effects by income level and provisions

Participation in global value chains (GVCs) is a key element in the industrialization strategies of many developing nations. Many studies look at the determinants of GVC participation but most focus on do- mestic regulatory environments, the cost of doing business, and trade policy. This paper investigates the possibility that services also mat- ter by empirically testing for a link…

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/ 20/02/2018

How does environmental regulation shape economic development?: a tax competition model of China

We propose a novel theoretical framework to study how environmental regulation shapes economic development in a developing country such as China. We develop a dynamic tax competition model in which local governments, located in development zones, use variation in taxes to attract workers to their jurisdictions. Their objective is to maximize tax revenue less local health costs that…

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Français, English / 20/02/2018

International arbitrage and the extensive margin of trade between rich and poor countries

We incorporate consumption indivisibilities into the Krugman (1980) model and show that an importer’s per capita income becomes a primary determinant of “export zeros”. Households in the rich North (poor South) are willing to pay high (low) prices for consumer goods; hence unconstrained monopoly pricing generates arbitrage opportunities for internationally traded products. Export…

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English / 01/01/2018

A dynamic North-South Model of Demand-induced Product Cycles

This paper presents a dynamic North-South general-equilibrium model where per capita incomes shape demand patterns across regions. Innovation takes place in a rich North while firms in a poor South imitate products manufactured in North. Allowing a role for per capita incomes in determining demand delivers a complete international product cycle as described by Vernon (1966), where…

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English / 01/01/2018

RWebData: A High-Level Interface to the Programmable Web

The rise of the programmable web offers new opportunities for the empirically driven sciences. The access to, compilation and preparation of data from the programmable web for statistical analysis can, however, involve substantial up-front costs for the practical researcher. The R-package RWebData provides a high-level framework that allows data to be easily collected from the…

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English / 01/01/2018

Volatile Top Income Shares in Switzerland? Reassessing the Evolution Between 1981 and 2010

In the last 20 years, the share of top incomes in Switzerland has risen, while
exhibiting large variations. Switzerland is similar to European countries for the top
1% but closer to the U.S. for higher top income groups. With the synthetic control
method we close a time gap in the tax data, exploiting the fact that Swiss cantons
changed their tax system at…

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English / 01/12/2017

Europe Fettered: The impact of crisis-era trade distortions on exports from the European Union

Having grown in real terms by 60% between 2000 to 2008, extra-EU exports have since stagnated. Stripping out other determinants of EU export growth, the focus here is on the impact of trade distortions imposed by foreign governments since the global economic crisis began. Our econometric analysis implies that crisis-era trade distortions held back EU Member State export growth to…

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English / 01/12/2017

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