Der Discounted-Cash-Flow-Ansatz hat sich durchgesetzt. Er bewahrt aber nur vor subjektiven Fehlbewertungen, wenn verschiedene Details stringent beachtet werden.
Wegen der Finanzkrise fordert die Schweizer
Bankenaufsicht EBK, dass UBS und
Credit Suisse ihre Eigenmittel massiv aufstocken,
damit die beiden Banken zukünftig über ein dickeres Risikopolster verfügen. Über Sinn und Unsinn einer
Leverage Ratio ist eine intensive Diskussion entbrannt. Der abtretende Universitätsprofessor Rudolf Volkart befürwortet
eine schärfere Regulierung unserer beiden Grossbanken, selbst wenn sie im schweizerischen Alleingang umgesetzt werden sollte – obwohl das Arbeitsplätze in der Schweiz kosten könnte. Der Zürcher Finanzprofessor Rudolf Volkart über Eigenkapitalerfordernisse für die Schweizer Grossbanken und Shareholder Value.
The enormous Nazi voting literature rarely builds on modern statistical or economic research. By adding these approaches, we find that the most widely accepted existing theories of this era cannot distinguish the Weimar elections from almost any others in any country. Via a retrospective voting account, we show that voters most hurt by the depression, and most likely to oppose the government, fall into separate groups with divergent interests. This explains why some turned to the Nazis and others turned away. The consequences of Hitler’s election were extraordinary, but the voting behavior that led to it was not.
The objective of this thesis is to consider different risk
management issues in relation to operational risk with a special emphasis on terrorism risk. Our motivation to implement research in this particularly challenging area of risk management is due to the increasing magnitude of operational losses over the last decade and their negative effect on financial industry. This thesis contributes
to the existing research on operational risk in several ways. First, our research suggests a model that addresses the issue of dependence between operational losses and how it can be accounted for in the value of capital charge for operational risk. Second, we provide a better understanding of the impact of a particular type of operational risk event, specifically of terrorist attacks . As evidenced by the 9/11 attacks, this risk can be catastrophic and can have negative consequences on the behavior of financial markets. We implement empirical analysis of the impact of terrorist attacks on stock, bond and commodity markets and suggest possible diversification strategies of terrorism risk. Finally, we contribute to the area of operational risk transfer, by developing a model for pricing of a multiple-event coupon paying CAT bond. The bond that we consider covers exposure to catastrophic risk such as natural and man-made disasters, including terrorist events.
