Publications des institutions partenaires

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Assessing multivariate predictors of financial market movements : a latent factor framework for ordinal data

Much of the trading activity in Equity markets is directed to brokerage houses. In exchange they provide so-called “soft dollars,” which basically are amounts spent in “research” for identifying profitable trading opportunities. Soft dollars represent about USD 1 out of every USD 10 paid in commissions. Obviously they are costly, and it is interesting for an institutional investor to...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2009

A robust coefficient of determination for Regression

To assess the quality of the fit in a multiple linear regression, the coefficient of determination or R2 is a very simple tool, yet the most used by statistics users. It is well known that the classical (least-squares) fit and coefficient of determination can be arbitrary misleading in the presence of a single outlier. In many applied setting, the assumption of normality of the error...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2009

Robust estimation of constrained covariance matrices for Confirmatory Factor Analysis

Confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) is a data analysis procedure that is widely used in social and behavioral sciences in general and other applied sciences that deal with large quantities of data (variables). The underlying model links a set latent factors, that are supposed to correspond to latent concepts, to a larger set of observed (manifest) variables through linear regression...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2009

Zero-inflated Truncated Generalized Pareto Distribution for the Analysis of Radio Audience Data

Extreme value data with a high clump-at-zero occur in many domains. Moreover, it might happen that the observed data are either truncated below a given threshold and/or might not be reliable enough below that threshold because of the recording devices. This situations occurs in particular with radio audience data measured using personal meters that record environmental noise every...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2009

Higher-order robustness

The higher–order robustness for M–estimators is introduced and defined. The conditions needed to ensure higher stability of the asymptotic bias are provided by refining the Von Mises bias expansion. Admissible M–estimators featuring second–order robustness are thus introduced. Then, a saddle-point argument is applied in order to approximate the finite sample distribution of second–...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2009

Options pricing with realized volatility

We develop a discrete-time stochastic volatility option pricing model, which exploits the information contained in high-frequency data. The Realized Volatility (RV) is used as a proxy of the unobservable log-returns volatility. We model its dynamics by a simple but effective (pseudo) long memory process, the Heterogeneous Auto-Regressive Gamma with Leverage (HARGL) process. Both the...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

English / 01/01/2009

A fully parametric approach to minimum power-divergence estimation

We approach parameter estimation based on power-divergence using Havrda-Charvat generalized entropy. Unlike other robust estimators relying on divergence measures, the procedure is fully parametric and avoids complications related to bandwidth selection. Hence, it allows for the treatment of multivariate distributions. The parameter estimator is indexed by a single constant q,...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2009

Some Thoughts about Referendums, Representative Democracy and Separation of Powers

Referendums have experienced some sort of a comeback. Citizen involvement in political decisions is seen increasingly as a healthy add-on in democratic polities. While earlier writers on democratic theory often saw a danger in increased participation of citizens, more recently several authors suggest that this participation should be fostered. I argue in this paper that both sides in...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2009

The PsyCoLaus study: methodology and characteristics of the sample of a population-based survey on psychiatric disorders and their association with genetic and cardiovascular risk factors

Background The Psychiatric arm of the population-based CoLaus study (PsyCoLaus) is designed to: 1) establish the prevalence of threshold and subthreshold psychiatric syndromes in the 35 to 66 year-old population of the city of Lausanne (Switzerland); 2) test the validity of postulated definitions for subthreshold mood and anxiety syndromes; 3) determine the associations between...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

English / 01/01/2009

Mergers and Acquisitions Comparative Economic Analysis of Laws: France vs. USA

From the economic point of view, common law is more efficient than civil law. Is this recent statement published in an economic report valid for mergers and acquisitions (M&A)? The main objective of this paper is to compare the legal performance of M&A in France and in the United States. The purpose is to quantify the impact of both legal systems on the long-term performance...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2009

The impact of existing states on the building of kant's political philosophy: the case of the American polity

In this paper I ask the following question: of all the historical or the existing types of political regimes, which one would have had Kant's preference, which one would have counted for him as a model ? I guess he would have answered that it was the American polity which inspired him more than any other in history past and present. In the present contribution I'll try to...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2009

Predicting children's meal preferences: how much do parents know?

We investigate how accurate parents are at predicting their children's meal preferences and what cues best describe parents’ predictions. In Study 1, 30 parents predicted their children's school lunch choices from actual school menus. Parents’ prediction accuracy matched the stability of children's meal choices (assessed in a 4-month retest), implying that accuracy was...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

English / 01/01/2008

Incorporating Latent Variables into Discrete Choice Models - A Simultaneous Estimation Approach Using SEM Software

Integrated choice and latent variable (ICLV) models represent a promising new class of models which merge classic choice models with the structural equation approach (SEM) for latent variables. Despite their conceptual appeal, applications of ICLV models in marketing remain rare. We extend previous ICLV applications by first estimating a multinomial choice model and, second, by...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

English / 01/01/2008

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