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Optimality of prompt corrective action in a continuous - time model with recapitalization possibility

Prompt Corrective Action (PCA) is a system of predetermined capital/asset ratios that trigger supervisory actions by a banking regulator. Our paper addresses the optimality of this regulation system by adapting a dynamic model of entrepreneurial fi?nance to banking regulation. In a dynamic moral hazard setting, we fi?rst derive the optimal contract between the banker and the...

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English / 01/01/2009

Evolutionary Finance and Dynamic Games

The paper examines a game-theoretic evolutionary model of an asset market with endogenous equilibrium asset prices. Assets pay dividends that are partially consumed and partially reinvested. The investors use general, adaptive strategies (portfolio rules), distributing their wealth between assets, depending on the exogenous states of the world and the observed history of the game....

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English / 01/01/2009

How Time Preferences Differ: Evidence from 45 Countries

We present results from the first large-scale international survey on time discounting, conducted in 45 countries. Cross-country varia- tion cannot simply be explained by economic variables such as interest rates or inflation. In particular, we find strong evidence for cultural differences, as measured by the Hofstede cultural dimensions. For ex- ample, high levels of Uncertainty...

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English / 01/01/2009

Risk measures and efficient use of capital

This paper is concerned with clarifying the link between risk measurement and capital efficiency. For this purpose we introduce risk measurement as the minimum cost of making a position acceptable by adding an optimal combination of multiple eligible assets. Under certain assumptions, it is shown that these risk measures have properties similar to those of coherent risk measures. The...

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English / 01/01/2009

Ordinary economic voting behavior in the extraordinary election of Adolf Hitler

The enormous Nazi voting literature rarely builds on modern statistical or economic research. By adding these approaches, we find that the most widely accepted existing theories of this era cannot distinguish the Weimar elections from almost any others in any country. Via a retrospective voting account, we show that voters most hurt by the depression, and most likely to oppose the...

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English / 04/12/2008

Entry and exit decision problem with implementation delay

We study investment and disinvestment decisions in situations where there is a time lag 0 from the time t when the decision is taken to the time when the decision is implemented. Applying the probabilistic approach to the combined entry and exit decisions under the Parisian implementation delay, we solve the constrained maximization problem, obtaining an analytic solution to the...

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English / 01/12/2008

Transparenz, Vertrauen und Kommunikation: «In der Kürze liegt die Würze»

Gedanken aus der Abschiedsvorlesung zum Thema «Geld und Geist – oder: Von Mäusen und Menschen», gehalten am 22. Mai 2008 an der Universität Zürich.

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Deutsch / 01/12/2008

Marktwirtschaft quo vadis?: Überlegungen zu alarmierenden Entwicklungen und Befindlichkeiten

Der vorliegende Beitrag entstand im Wortlaut während des Jahres 2004. Auslöser waren durch den Verfasser kri- tisch verfolgte Entwicklungen jener Zeit des Wiederauf- schwungs nach dem Platzen der Internet-Blase. Der Autor sah schliesslich aus verschiedenen Gründen von einer Veröffentlichung des Aufsatzes ab. Vor dem Hinter- grund der aktuellen Finanzkrise mögen die damals for-...

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Deutsch / 01/12/2008

Behavioural finance for private banking

A complete framework for applications of behavioral finance in private banking, Behavioural Finance for Private Banking considers client needs specific to private banking like personal circumstances, objectives, and attitude to risk. This book includes the theoretical foundations of investment decision-making, an introduction to behavioral biases, an explanation of cultural...

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English / 01/12/2008

Ist ein UBS-Konkurs möglich?: Finanzexperte Martin Janssen zu Szenarien für die Schweizer Grossbank

Der Aktienkurs der UBS ist auf historisch tiefem Niveau und Fragen werden laut, ob die Bank denn überleben kann. Ist ein Konkurs überhaupt möglich und was würde dieser für die Schweiz bedeuten? Professor Martin Janssen nimmt Stellung zu möglichen Szenarien.

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Deutsch / 21/11/2008

Neue Anlagevorschriften für Vorsorgewerke bringen weniger Regulierung: mehr Eigenverantwortung für die Stiftungsräte von Schweizer Pensionskassen

Am 1. Januar treten die neuen Anlagerichtlinien für Schweizer Vorsorgeeinrichtungen in Kraft. Mit ihnen dürfte die Professionalisierung der zweiten Säule weiter vorangetrieben werden. Der Anpassungsbedarf bei den Vorsorgewerken ist unterschiedlich.

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Deutsch / 05/11/2008

Out of sample forecasts of quadratic variation

We compare the forecasts of Quadratic Variation given by the Realized Volatility (RV) and the Two Scales Realized Volatility (TSRV) computed from high frequency data in the presence of market microstructure noise, under several different dynamics for the volatility process and assumptions on the noise. We show that TSRV largely outperforms RV, whether looking at bias, variance, RMSE...

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English / 01/11/2008

Was lernt die Lehre aus der Finanzmarktkrise?

Die weltweite Finanzkrise hat die Frage aufgebracht, in welche
Richtung die Finance-Theorie weiterentwickelt werden soll,
nachdem einige Ansätze offensichtlich in die Sackgasse geführt
haben. Im folgenden Text fasst ein Finance-Wissenschafter, der
an vorderster «Forschungsfront» tätig ist, erste Erkenntnisse für die Lehre zusammen.

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Deutsch / 29/10/2008

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