Publications des institutions partenaires

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The dynamics of norm formation and norm decay

Social norms are a ubiquitous feature of social life and pervade almost every aspect of human social interaction. However, despite their importance we still have relatively little empirical knowledge about the forces that drive the formation, the maintenance and the decay of social norms. In particular, our knowledge about how norms affect behavior and how norm obedience and...

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English / 01/02/2018

Efficient weighting: a more powerful test for cross-sectional anomalies

Many researchers seek factors that predict the cross-section of stock returns. The standard methodology sorts stocks according to their factor scores into quantiles and forms a corresponding long-short portfolio. Such a course of action ignores any information on the covariance matrix of stock returns. Historically, it has been difficult to estimate the covariance matrix for a large...

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English / 01/02/2018

Voluntary disclosure in unfair contests

This paper studies incentives for the interim voluntary disclosure of verifiable information in probabilistic all-pay contests. Considered are unfair contests, i.e., contests in which, subject to activity conditions, one player (the favorite) is interim always more likely to win than the other player (the underdog). A condition is identified that ensures that a given contest is...

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English / 01/02/2018

Cash Holdings and the Performance of European Mutual Funds

We investigate the determinants and performance implications of cash holdings for a large sample of actively-managed equity funds domiciled in the European Union (EU). In line with recent evidence from the US, we observe that cash holdings are strongly inuenced by a fund's fee structure, past ows and ow volatility, and a fund's Investment strategy. EU Funds with cash...

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English / 01/02/2018

Immigration and the Displacement of Incumbent Households

We make use of the universe of immigrants who arrived in Switzerland between 1992 and 2013, granular community level house price and wage data as well as detailed information on the Swiss population to study the effects of immigration on the location choice of incumbent households. Immigration influences a household’s location choice through three distinct channels: house price...

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English / 01/02/2018

Thomas Lustenberger and Enzo Rossi: The Social Value of Information: A Test of a Beauty and Non-Beauty Contest

We develop and apply a procedure to test the welfare implications of a beauty and non-beauty contest based on survey forecasts of interest rates and yields in a large country sample over an extended period of time. In most countries, interest-rate forecasts are unbiased and consistent with both models, but are rarely supported by yield forecasts. In half of the countries, a higher...

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 25/01/2018

Aleksander Berentsen and Benjamin Müller: A Tale of Fire-Sales and Liquidity Hoarding

We extend the analysis of the theoretical interbank market model of Gale and Yorulmazer (2013) by introducing randomized trading (lotteries). In contrast to Gale and Yorulmazer, we find that fire-sale asset prices are efficient and that no liquidity hoarding occurs in equilibrium with lotteries. While Gale and Yorulmazer find that the market provides insufficient liquidity, we find...

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 25/01/2018

David Haab and Thomas Nitschka: Predicting returns on asset markets of a small, open economy and the influence of global risks

Stylized facts of asset return predictability are mainly based on evidence from the US, a large, closed economy, and, hence, are not necessarily representative of small, open economies. Furthermore, discountrate news mainly drive US asset returns. This is not the case in other economies. We use Switzerland as example to highlight the importance of these issues and to assess the...

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 25/01/2018

Andreas M. Fischer, Rafael Greminger and Christian Grisse: Portfolio rebalancing in times of stress

This paper investigates time variation in the dynamics of international portfolio equity flows. We extend the empirical model of Hau and Rey (2004) by embedding a two-state Markov regime-switching model into the structural VAR. The model is estimated using monthly data for the period 1995-2015 on equity returns, exchange rate returns and equity flows between the United States and...

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 25/01/2018

Christian Grisse and Silvio Schumacher: The response of long-term yields to negative interest rates: evidence from Switzerland

This paper studies the transmission of changes in short-term interest rates to longer-term government bond yields when interest rates are at very low levels or negative. We focus on Switzerland, where short-term interest rates have been at zero since late 2008 and negative since the beginning of 2015. The expectations hypothesis of the term structure implies that as nominal interest...

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 25/01/2018

Petra Gerlach-Kristen, Richhild Moessner and Rina Rosenblatt-Wisch: Computing long‐term market inflation expectations for countries without inflation expectation markets

We derive daily market‐based domestic long‐term inflation expectations for eight countries without inflation swap markets. To do so, we use foreign inflation swaps together with (1) foreign and domestic interest rate swaps assuming that purchasing power parity (PPP) and uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) hold or together with (2) spot and forward exchange rates assuming...

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 25/01/2018

Christian Grisse, Signe Krogstrup and Silvio Schumacher: Lower bound beliefs and long-term interest rates

We study the transmission of changes in the believed location of the lower bound to longterm interest rates since the introduction of negative interest rate policies. The expectations hypothesis of the term structure combined with a lower bound on policy rates suggests that the transmission of policy rate changes to long-term interest rates is reduced when policy rates approach this...

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 25/01/2018

Der perfekte Sturm

Sigmund Freud sagt: «Der Mensch ist ein unermüdlicher
Lustsucher, und jeder Verzicht
auf eine einmal genossene Lust wird ihm sehr
schwer.» Der Schweizer Handel kann davon
ein Lied singen. Die Lust, im alltäglichen Einkauf
grosse Summen zu sparen, hat viele Konsumenten
immer öfter in die grenznahen Einkaufsgebiete gedrängt.
Vom starken Franken...

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Deutsch / 25/01/2018

Mise en perspective 2

Institution partenaire

Haute Ecole de Gestion de Genève

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Français / 22/01/2018

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