Publications des institutions partenaires

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Recursive contracts, lotteries and weakly concave pareto sets

Marcet and Marimon (1994, revised 1998) developed a recursive saddle point method which can be used to solve dynamic contracting problems that include participation, enforcement and incentive constraints. Their method uses a recursive multiplier to capture implicit prior promises to the agent(s) that were made in order to satisfy earlier instances of these constraints. As a result,...

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English / 15/10/2012

The value of tradeability

This paper determines the value of asset tradeability in an option pricing framework. In our model, tradeability is valuable since it allows investors to exploit temporary mispricings of stocks. The model delivers several novel insights on the value of tradeability: The value of tradeability is the larger, the higher the pricing efficiency of the market is. Uncertainty increases the...

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English / 15/10/2012

Detecting informed trading activities in the options markets: Appendix on subprime financial crisis

This appendix extends the empirical results in Chesney, Crameri, and Mancini (2011). Informed trading activities on put and call options are analyzed for 19 companies in the banking and insurance sectors from January 1996 to September 2009. Our empirical findings suggest that certain events such as the takeovers of AIG and Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac, the collapse of Bear Stearns...

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English / 15/09/2012

Credit supply and monetary policy: identifying the bank balance-sheet channel with loan applications

We analyze the impact of monetary policy on the supply of bank credit. Monetary policy affects both loan supply and demand, thus making identification a steep challenge. We therefore analyze a novel, supervisory dataset with loan applications from Spain. Accounting for time-varying firm heterogeneity in loan demand, we find that tighter monetary and worse economic conditions...

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English / 07/09/2012

Die Gier hat sich ins Herz der Banken hineingefressen

Früher gab es Betrug nur an den Rändern des Finanzgeschäfts. Heute vergiftet die rücksichtslose Jagd nach schnellem Geld die Kultur von Märkten und Banken.

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Deutsch / 15/07/2012

Cumulative prospect theory and mean variance analysis. A rigorous comparison

We compare asset allocations derived for cumulative prospect theory(CPT) based on two different methods: Maximizing CPT along the mean–variance efficient frontier and maximizing it without that restriction. We find that with normally distributed returns the difference is negligible. However, using standard asset allocation data of pension funds the difference is considerable....

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English / 01/07/2012

Compliance-Kosten im Schweizerischen Private Banking

Die Vereinigung der Schweizerischen Handels- und Verwaltungsbanken (VHV) kämpft für die Erhaltung der Vielfalt des Bankenplatzes Schweiz. Sie ist überzeugt, dass eine breite Abstützung des Bankenwesens die Branche als Ganzes stabiler und krisenresistenter macht. Aus diesem Grund hat die VHV schon 2004 und als Wiederholung 2011 entschieden, mit einer eigenen Studie die Entwicklung der...

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Deutsch / 01/07/2012

Default times, no-arbitrage conditions and changes of probability measures

In this paper, we give a financial justification, based on no-arbitrage conditions, of the (H)-hypothesis in default time modeling. We also show how the (H)-hypothesis is affected by an equivalent change of probability measure. The main technique used here is the theory of progressive enlargements of filtrations.

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English / 01/07/2012

CS und UBS sind im Tanga unterwegs

Im Streit um höhere Sicherheiten für die Grossbanken stellt sich der Bankenprofessor Urs Birchler auf die Seite der Nationalbank. Wenn die CS und die UBS ihre Kapitalbasis nicht erhöhten, sei das gefährlich.

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Deutsch / 24/06/2012

Time consistent optimal fiscal policy over the business cycle

This paper examines a dynamic stochastic economy with a benevolent government that cannot commit to future policies. Following Phelan and Stacchetti (2001), we consider sequential sustainable equilibria (SSE). We numerically solve for the set of equilibrium payoffs, and investigate whether the time consistency problem of capital income tax is quantitatively important. For a...

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English / 13/05/2012

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