Publications des institutions partenaires

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CRRA utility maximization under risk constraints

The problem of optimal investment with CRRA (constant, relative risk aversion) preferences, subject to dynamic risk constraints on trading strategies, is the main focus of this paper. Several works in the literature, which deal either with optimal trading under static risk constraints or with VaR{based dynamic risk constraints, are extended. The market model considered is continuous...

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English / 01/01/2013

Capital and contagion in financial networks

We implement a novel method to detect systemically important financial institutions in a network. The method consists in a simple model of distress and losses redistribution derived from the interaction of banks' balance-sheets through bilateral exposures. The algorithm goes beyond the traditional default-cascade mechanism, according to which contagion propagates only through...

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English / 01/01/2013

Default cascades in complex networks: topology and systemic risk

The recent crisis has brought to the fore a crucial question that remains still open: what would be the optimal architecture of financial systems? We investigate the stability of several benchmark topologies in a simple default cascading dynamics in bank networks. We analyze the interplay of several crucial drivers, i.e., network topology, banks' capital ratios, market...

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English / 01/01/2013

Systemic Risk in Financial Networks

Financial inter-linkages play an important role in the emergence of financial instabilities and the formulation of systemic risk can greatly benefit from a network approach. In this paper, we focus on the role of linkages along the two dimensions of contagion and liquidity, and we discuss some insights that have recently emerged from network models. With respect to the issue of the...

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English / 01/01/2013

Complex derivatives

The intrinsic complexity of the financial derivatives market has emerged as both an incentive to engage in it, and a key source of its inherent instability. Regulators now faced with the challenge of taming this beast may find inspiration in the budding science of complex systems.

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English / 01/01/2013

Credit default swaps drawup networks: Too interconnected to be stable?

We analyse time series of CDS spreads for a set of major US and European institutions in a period overlapping the recent financial crisis. We extend the existing methodology of -drawdowns to the one of joint -drawups, in order to estimate the conditional probabilities of spike-like co-movements among pairs of spreads. After correcting for randomness and finite size effects, we find...

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English / 01/01/2013

Bootstrapping topology and systemic risk of complex network using the fitness model

In this paper we present a novel method to reconstruct global topological properties of a complex network starting from limited information. We assume to know for all the nodes a non-topological quantity that we interpret as fitness. In contrast, we assume to know the degree, i.e. the number of connections, only for a subset of the nodes in the network. We then use a fitness model,...

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English / 01/01/2013

Evolution of controllability in interbank networks

The Statistical Physics of Complex Networks has recently provided new theoretical tools for policy makers. Here we extend the notion of network controllability to detect the financial institutions, i.e. the drivers, that are most crucial to the functioning of an interbank market. The system we investigate is a paradigmatic case study for complex networks since it undergoes dramatic...

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English / 01/01/2013

An experimental study on real option strategies

We conduct a laboratory experiment to study whether people intuitively use real-option strategies in a dynamic investment setting. The participants were asked to play as an oil manager and make production decisions in response to a simulated mean-reverting oil price. Using cluster analysis, participants can be classified into four groups, which we label ‘mean-reverting’, ‘Brownian...

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English / 15/11/2012

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