Monnaie et marchés financiers

Immigration and the Displacement of Incumbent Households

Description: 

We make use of the universe of immigrants who arrived in Switzerland between 1992 and 2013, granular community level house price and wage data as well as detailed information on the Swiss population to study the effects of immigration on the location choice of incumbent households. Immigration influences a household’s location choice through three distinct channels: house price changes, labor market competition,and households’ sentiment regarding immigration. We find evidence of all three channels. However, we show that the channel to which a household responds most strongly depends on the type of immigration and the characteristics of the household.Our research provides valuable insights into some of the effects of large scale
immigration.

Judgement Day: Algorithmic Trading Around the Swiss Franc Cap Removal

Description: 

A key issue raised by the rapid growth of computerised algorithmic trading is how it responds in extreme situations. Using data on foreign exchange orders and transactions that includes identification of algorithmic trading, we find that this type of trading contributed to the deterioration of market quality following the removal of the cap on the Swiss franc on 15 January 2015, which was an event that came as a complete surprise to market participants. In particular, we find that algorithmic traders withdrew liquidity and generated uninformative volatility in Swiss franc currency pairs, while human traders did the opposite. However, we find no evidence that algorithmic trading propagated these adverse effects on market quality to other currency pairs.

Données importantes de politique monétaire pour la semaine se terminant le 23 février 2018

Cash Holdings and the Performance of European Mutual Funds

Description: 

We investigate the determinants and performance implications of cash holdings for a large sample of actively-managed equity funds domiciled in the European Union (EU). In line with recent evidence from the US, we observe that cash holdings are strongly inuenced by a fund's fee structure, past ows and ow volatility, and a fund's Investment strategy. EU Funds with cash holdings in excess of the level predicted by fund attributes (i.e., high abnormal cash funds) outperform their low abnormal cash peers by risk-adjusted 0.96% per annum.

Données importantes de politique monétaire pour la semaine se terminant le 16 février 2018

Otmar Issing, intervenant à la conférence 2018 du cycle Karl Brunner

Données importantes de politique monétaire pour la semaine se terminant le 9 février 2018

Conclusion d'un accord de swap de change entre la Banque nationale suisse et la Banque de Corée

WP - 2018-02-08 - Reto Foellmi, Adrian Jaeggi and Rina Rosenblatt-Wisch: Loss Aversion at the Aggregate Level Across Countries and its Relation to Economic Fundamentals

Description: 

Preferences are important when thinking about macroeconomic problems and questions. Differences in preferences might, for example, explain cross-country variations in economic fundamentals. In recent years, differences in preferences across countries and cultures have been studied more frequently, usually concentrating on micro evidence. However, it is an open question as to how differences in average preferences affect the aggregate economy. Coming from a macroeconomic perspective, we test whether preferences stated in Kahneman and Tversky's prospect theory, namely, reference point dependence and loss aversion, prevail on the aggregate and whether the average degree of loss aversion differs across countries. We find evidence of loss aversion for a broad set of OECD countries, while the average loss aversion clearly differs across these countries. We find little evidence that these differences could be explained by micro evidence. Furthermore, we analyse whether the different degrees of loss aversion correlate with economic fundamentals such as the level of GDP and consumption per capita. We find that indeed loss aversion is negatively correlated with GDP and consumption per capita and positively correlated with consumption smoothing.

Données importantes de politique monétaire pour la semaine se terminant le 2 février 2018

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