Publications des institutions partenaires
Seemingly unrelated manuscripts: experiments on human behavior
Institution partenaire
English / 01/07/2014
Wealth shocks and health outcomes: evidence from stock market fluctuations
Do wealth shocks affect the health of the elderly in developed countries? The economic literature is skeptical about such effects which have so far only been found for poor retirees in poor countries. In this paper I show that wealth shocks also matter for the health of wealthy retirees in the US. I exploit the booms and busts in the US stock market as a natural experiment that...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/07/2014
Embracing ambiguity – lessons from the study of corporate social responsibility throughout the rise and decline of the modern welfare state
In the work of Karl Polanyi, the negative effects of a self-regulating market economy are described as being limited by societal forces such as the policies of the welfare state. With the decline of the modern welfare state since the late 1970s, social activities of business firms are increasingly regarded as an important complement to or even as a substitute for welfare state...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/07/2014
A provincial view of China’s external imbalances
Institution partenaire
English / 01/07/2014
Exploiting and exploring the options
In an ever-changing world, the brain must continually formulate, monitor, and adapt patterns of behavior to achieve the best outcome. Often, strategies that we have employed in the past to solve a problem or reach a specific result will work again when we are confronted with a similar situation. When this is the case, we can exploit such strategies for maximal gain. However, if...
Institution partenaire
English / 27/06/2014
A fast, accurate method for value-at-risk and expected shortfall
A fast method is developed for value-at-risk and expected shortfall prediction for univariate asset return time series exhibiting leptokurtosis, asymmetry and conditional heteroskedasticity. It is based on a GARCH-type process driven by noncentral t innovations. While the method involves the use of several shortcuts for speed, it performs admirably in terms of accuracy and actually...
Institution partenaire
English / 25/06/2014
Expected utility preferences for contingent claims and lotteries
In Arrow’s seminal analysis of optimal risk bearing in which he introduced contingent claim securities, he assumed preferences were representable by a state independent Expected Utility function. Although the classic contingent claim setting assumes agents choose over contingent consumption vectors conditioned on a fixed set of probabilities, later work on information economics...
Institution partenaire
English / 22/06/2014
How moral are the principles of biomedical ethics?
Background: The principles of biomedical ethics – autonomy, non-maleficence, beneficence, and justice – are of paradigmatic importance for framing ethical problems in medicine and for teaching ethics to medical students and professionals. In order to underline this significance, Tom L. Beauchamp and James F. Childress base the principles in the common morality, i.e. they claim that...
Institution partenaire
English / 17/06/2014
Input Additionality and Innovation Output Effects of R&D Subsidies
Policy makers have an increasing interest in designing appropriate public R&D policy programs to stimulate national innovativeness and competitiveness. First, this study investigates the effects of public R&D subsidies on firms’ R&D investments accounting for the collaboration pattern of the subsidized firms. Second, this representative analysis further puts light on the...
Institution partenaire
English / 11/06/2014
Ambiguity aversion in standard and extended Ellsberg frameworks: alpha-maxmin versus maxmin preferences
Institution partenaire
English / 10/06/2014
The principle of common concern and climate change
Effective policies combating global warming and incentivising reduction of greenhouse gases face fundamental collective action problems. States defending short term interests avoid international commitments and seek to benefit from measures combating global warming taken elsewhere. The paper explores the potential of Common Concern as an emerging principle of international law, in...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/06/2014
Liquidity creation in the nineteenth century: The role of the clearing houses
This working paper reports the preliminary results of an effort to analyse under what conditions liquidity can be created in an historic context setting. Starting point is the notion made by Dang, Gorton, and Holmstrom (2012) that symmetric ignorance can create liquidity in money markets under certain circumstances. The authors take as an example the New York clearing house (NYCH)...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/06/2014
Business cycles in emerging markets: the role of liability dollarization and valuation effects
Understanding differences in business cycle phenomena between Emerging Market Economies (EMEs) and industrialized countries has been at the center of recent research on macroeconomic fluctuations. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the importance of certain credit market imperfections in different EMEs. To this end, we develop a small open economy Dynamic Stochastic General...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/06/2014
A small open economy in the Great Depression: the case of Switzerland
In historical accounts of the world economic crisis of the 1930s, Switzerland is known for its staunch defense of the gold standard and the rise of corporatist policies. Yet, so far, the literature has not discussed the implications of these two features. This paper tries to show how the combination of hard-currency policy and nominal rigidities introduced by corporatist policies...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/06/2014
Capital's long march west: saving and investment frictions in Chinese regions
While China has been pivotal in discussions and academic research on global imbalances, little is known about macroeconomic external imbalances among Chinese regions and the factors driving them. We use aggregate regional data and estimate provincial total factor productivity growth over 1984-2010. We observe that provinces that caught up relatively to national TFP had capital...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/06/2014
A provincial view of global imbalances: regional capital flows in China
We model capital flows among Chinese provinces using a theory-based variance decomposition that allows us to gauge the importance of various channels of external adjustments at the regional level: variation in intertemporal prices - domestic and international interest rates and the real exchange rate - and intertemporal variation in quantities (cash flows of output, investment and...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/06/2014
The (possible) effect of plain packaging on smoking prevalence in Australia: a trend analysis
A stated objective of the Australian Plain Packaging Act 2011 is to reduce smoking prevalence. We use the Roy Morgan Single Source (Australia) data set over the time period January 2001 to December 2013 to analyze whether this goal has been achieved in the first year since the implementation. In particular, we carry out a statistical trend analysis to study the (possible) effect of...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/06/2014
Bowling for fascism: social capital and the rise of the Nazi Party
Social capital is often associated with desirable political and economic outcomes. This paper connects a growing literature on the "dark side" of social capital with institutional change. We examine the downfall of democracy in interwar Germany. Using new data on Nazi Party entry in a cross-section of cities, we show that dense networks of civic associations such as bowling...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/06/2014
Portfolio balance effects of the Swiss National Bank’s bond purchase program
This paper carries out an empirical investigation of the impact on bond spreads of the announcement, purchases and exit from the Swiss National Bank’s bond purchase program in 2009–2010. We find evidence in favor of a narrowing yield spread of covered bonds as a result of the program. The effect materialized in the days following the announcement of the Swiss National Bank’s...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/06/2014
Pages
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