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A Free Trade Area of The Americas: Any Gains for the South?

Building on the experience of NAFTA, and assuming that rules of origin (RoO) negotiated under NAFTA are likely to resemble those that would be agreed upon in an FTAA, this paper discusses how different RoO criteria would affect different Southern partners in a multi-stage production setting. Next, we use a combination of parametric and non-parametric methods to estimate the costs of...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2003

Typologie et évaluation des interprétations de l’échec du processus de paix israélo-palestinien

Cet article tente d’expliciter pourquoi le processus de paix israélo-palestinien s’est effondré au cours du deuxième semestre 2000. L’approche méthodologique procède d’une double démarche. D’une part, classiquement, elle procède à un examen interne et externe rigoureux des sources disponibles, afin de trancher entre les différentes contradictions factuelles. D’autre part, elle dresse...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2003

The America's Cup arbitration panel

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2003

A Prediction Error Criterion for Choosing the Lower Quantile in Pareto Index Estimation

Successful estimation of the Pareto tail index from extreme order statistics relies heavily on the procedure used to determine the number of extreme order statistics that are used for the estimation. Most of the known procedures are based on the minimization of (an estimate of) the asymptotic mean square error of the Hill estimator for the Pareto tail index. The principal drawback of...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2003

Distribution-Free Inference for Welfare Indices under Complete and Incomplete Information

The data available for estimating welfare indicators are often inconveniently incomplete data: they may be censored or truncated. Furthermore, for robustness reasons, researchers sometimes use trimmed samples. By using the statistical tool known as the Influence Function we derive distribution-free asymptotic variances for wide classes of welfare indicators not only in the complete...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2003

High Breakdown Inference in the Mixed Linear Model

Mixed linear models are used to analyse data in many settings. These models have in most cases a multivariate normal formulation. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) or the residual MLE (REML) are usually chosen to estimate the parameters. However, the latter are based on the strong assumption of exact multivariate normality. Welsh and Richardson (1997) have shown that these...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2003

Fast Algorithms for Computing High Breakdown Covariance Matrices with Missing Data

Robust estimation of covariance matrices when some of the data at hand are missing is an important problem. It has been studied by Little and Smith (1987) and more recently by Cheng and Victoria-Feser (2002). The latter propose the use of high breakdown estimators and so-called hybrid algorithms (see e.g. Woodruff and Rocke 1994). In particular, the minimum volume ellipsoid of...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2003

Robust Mean-Variance Portfolio Selection

This paper investigates model risk issues in the context of mean-variance portfolio selection. We analytically and numerically show that, under model misspecification, the use of statistically robust estimates instead of the widely used classical sample mean and covariance is highly beneficial for the stability properties of the mean-variance optimal portfolios. Moreover, we perform...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

English / 01/01/2003

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