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Are Securitized Real Estate Returns more Predictable than Stock Returns?

This paper examines whether the predictability of securitized real estate returns differs from that of stock returns. It also provides a cross-country comparison of securitized real estate return predictability. In contrast to most of the literature on this issue, the analysis is not based on a multifactor asset pricing framework as such analyses may bias the results.We use a time...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2010

Useful heuristics

Decision-making is one of the core tasks in project management. Traditionally, optimization methods have been developed to support managers in finding the best solutions. Alternatively, decisions can be based on simple rules of thumb, or heuristics. Even though simple heuristics only require little in the way of time and information, they have been shown to outperform optimization...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

English / 01/01/2009

What moderates the too-much-choice effect?

Core theories in economics, psychology, and marketing suggest that decision makers benefit from having more choice. In contrast, according to the too-much-choice effect, having too many options to choose from may ultimately decrease the motivation to choose and the satisfaction with the chosen option. To reconcile these two positions, we tested whether there are specific conditions...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

English / 01/01/2009

Cognitive models of choice: comparing decision field theory to the proportional difference model

People often face preferential decisions under risk. To further our understanding of the cognitive processes underlying these preferential choices, two prominent cognitive models, decision field theory (DFT; Busemeyer & Townsend, 1993) and the proportional difference model (PD; González-Vallejo, 2002), were rigorously tested against each other. In two consecutive experiments, the...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

English / 01/01/2009

Wage inequality and segregation between native and immigrant workers in Switzerland: evidence using matched employee-employer data

We analyze segregation between immigrants and natives at the firm level and explore the connection between segregation and wage inequality in Switzerland.

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

English / 01/01/2009

Has distance died? An update

Contrary to expectations, evidence of a death of distance has eluded numerous estimations in the popular gravity model of trade: estimates of the coefficient of distance are markedly higher in studies with recent data. This column shows that this is only so for the poorer countries who are trading with geographically closer partners. This regionalization of trade for low-income...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

English / 01/01/2009

Hybrid Cat Bonds

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

English / 01/01/2009

The Distance Effect and the Regionalization of the Trade of Low-Income Countries

The “distance effect” measuring the elasticity of trade flows to distance has been to be rising since the early 1970s in a host of studies based on the gravity model, leading observers to call it the “distance puzzle”. We review the evidence and explanations. Using an extensive data set of 124 countries over the period 1970-2005, we confirm the existence of this puzzle and identify...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

English / 01/01/2009

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