Publications des institutions partenaires
Relative Demand Shocks and Relative Wage Rigidities During the Rise and Fall of Swiss Unemployment
Little is known on the existence of negative relative demand shocks against low-skilled workers on a ‘US-style' deregulated labour market with a ‘German-style' vocational (apprenticeship) education system. Switzerland provides an appealing testing ground to investigate this question. Traditionally a ‘zero unemployment' economy, Switzerland has seen an unprecedented...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/11/2003
Regionalismus als Gefahr für die WTO? Nach dem Scheitern der Ministerkonferenz von Cancún
Institution partenaire
English / 13/10/2003
Evolutionary Stable Stock Markets
This paper shows that a stock market is evolutionary stable if andnonly if stocks are evaluated by expected relative dividends. Any othernmarket can be invaded by portfolio rules that will gain market wealthnand hence change the valuation. In the model the valuation of assetsnis given by the wealth average of the portfolio rules in the market. Thenwealth dynamics is modelled as a...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/10/2003
Agents' Rationality and the CHF/USD Exchange Rate, Part I
The analysis of monthly exchange rates is carried out using a model of McCallum, which is based on the concept of Rational Expectations. Applying the model to the CHF/USD exchange rate starting a misspecification analysis, the RE component appears to be a weak point of the model. The theory of rational beliefs of M. Kurz generalizes the RE concept introducing special consideration of...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/10/2003
Charitable Giving as a Gift Exchange - Evidence from a Field Experiment
This study reports data from a field experiment that was nconducted to investigate the relevance of gift-exchange for charitable ngiving. Roughly 10,000 solicitation letters were sent to potential donors nin the experiment. One third of the letters contained no gift, one third ncontained a small gift and one third contained a large gift. Whether a npotential donor received a letter...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/10/2003
Agents' Rationality and the CHF/USD Exchange Rate, Part II
In Part I the author was concerned with modeling the monthly logarithmicnCHF/USD exchange rate, ''s''. He rejected a model proposed by B.T.nMcCallum. Searching for a more appropriate framework a story by P. DenGrauwe was introduced, bringing complex cognitive processes and socialnpractices into the picture.nThis paper treats again P. De Grauwe's story,...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/10/2003
Measuring Terrorism
Terrorism will be high on the political agenda for many years to come. Various policies are open to a government fighting terrorism but, in any case, considerable costs are involved. In the competition for politicalnsupport, the costs and benefits of anti-terrorism policies will be debated. Better information about terrorism and its consequences can improve policy outcome if there is...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/10/2003
Competitive Nash Equilibria and Two Period Fund Separation
We suggest a simple asset market model in which we analyze competitive and strategic behaviornsimultaneously. If for competitive behavior two-fund separation holds across periods then itnalso holds for strategic behavior. In this case the relative prices of the assets do not dependnon whether agents behave strategically or competitively. Those agents acting strategically willnhowever...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/10/2003
Re-evaluating an Evaluation Study: The Case of the German Health Care Reform of 1997
This paper reports on a re-evaluation of the German health care reform of 1997. A previous evaluation found a limited effect of a 4.4 percent reduction of the number of doctor visits in a sample of pharmacy customers. The re-evaluation based on a representative household survey, the German Socio-Economic Panel, yields a much larger effect. The paper uses this case study to discuss...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/10/2003
Parental Separation and Well-Being of Youths
This paper uses recent data for Germany and a new outcome variable to assess the consequences of parental separation on the well-being of youths. In particular, it is considered how subjective well-being, elicited from an ordinal 11-point general life satisfaction question, differs between youths living in intact and non-intact families, holding many other potential determinants of...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/10/2003
Why is the employment rate of older Swiss so high? An analysis of the social security system
Extracts of this paper were presented at the conference "Work Beyond 60: Preparing for the Demographic Shock", 6–7 March 2003 in Vienna organized by The Geneva Association, The Club of Rome, and The Risk Institute. Parts were also presented at the Bertelsmann Foundation conference "Strategien gegen den Fachkräftemangel" in Berlin, 2 July 2002 and at the...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/10/2003
Energy Business and Finance Policy - Parallels in Methodology and Duties
The ongoing deregulation of electricity markets worldwide has a major impact on the power industry. New price risks require new risk management tools and new methods for the valuation of generation and transmission assets as well as existing (physical) electricity contracts. As far as risk management is concerned, many derivative instruments have been designed to hedge against spot...
Institution partenaire
Deutsch / 25/09/2003
Co-Payments for Prescription Drugs and the Demand for Doctor Visits - Evidence from a Natural Experiment
The German health care reform of 1997 provides a natural experiment for evaluating the price sensitivity of demand for physicians’ services. As part of the reform, copayments for prescription drugs were increased by up to 200 percent. However, certain groups of people were exempted from the increase, providing a natural control group against which the changed demand for physicians’...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/09/2003
Training Intensity and First Labor Market Outcomes of Apprenticeship Graduates
The apprenticeship system is the most important source of formal post-secondary training in Germany. Using German register data - the IAB Employment Sample - we find that apprentices staying with their training firm after graduation have longer first-job durations but not higher wages than apprentices leaving the training firm. Retention rates, first job durations, and post-...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/09/2003
Direct Democracy: Designing a Living Constitution
"A crucial aspect of constitutional design is the provision of rules on how anconstitution is to be amended. If procedures for constitutional amendment are very restrictive,nchanges will take place outside the constitution. These changes are likely to be against thencitizens’ interests and their ability to influence the political process. We argue that thendevelopment...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/09/2003
Downstream Investment in Oligopoly
We examine cost-reducing investment in vertically-related oligopolies, where firms may be vertically integrated or separated. Analyzing a standard linear Cournot model, we show that: (i) Integrated firms invest more than separated competitors. (ii) Vertical integration increases own investment and decreases competitor investment. (iii) Firms may integrate strategically so as to...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/09/2003
Agrarpolitik 2007 aus Sicht des internationalen Handels / La Politique agricole 2007 sous l'angle du commerce international
Die Landwirtschaft war weltweit jahrzehntelang von den multilateralen Handelsregeln faktisch ausgenommen. Marktabschottung nach aussen sowie ein Wildwuchs bei internen Stützungsmassnahmen und Exportsubventionen führten zu verzerrten Produktions- und Handelsmustern.Erst mit der Uruguay-Runde der WTO hat eine Rückführung des Agrarhandels unter die multilaterale Handelsdisziplin...
Institution partenaire
Deutsch / 01/09/2003
The Challenge of Reforming the WTO Dispute Settlement Understanding
Die im Mai 2003 abgelaufene Frist für den Abschluss der Verhandlungen über Verbesserungen und Klarstellungen zum WTO-Übereinkommen über dei Streitschlichtung (Dispute Settlement Understanding; DSU) unter dem Doha-Mandat wurde verfehlt. Die WTO-Mitglieder einigten sich jedoch im Juli 2003 auf eine Verlängerung des Verhandlungsmandates bis Ende Mai 2004. Der vorliegende Beitrag fasst...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/09/2003
Preserving Trade Policy Flexibility in Antidumping Reform
Antidumping ist zum bevorzugten Instrument für temporäre Handelsbeschränkungen avanciert. Diese Entwicklung gibt Anlass zur Sorge, da Antidumping mit stark negativen Wohlfahrtseffekten einhergeht. Zahlreiche Reformvorschläge wurden in der Vergangenheit gemacht. Sie beinhalten im wesentlichen strengere Vorbedingungen für die Benutzung des Instruments, was zu einer Schmälerung...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/09/2003
Strategic Outsourcing Revisited
This paper analyzes a sequential game where firms decide about outsourcing the production of a non-specific input good to an imperfectly competitive input market. We apply the taxonomy of business strategies introduced by Fudenberg and Tirole (1984) to characterize the different equilibria. We find that outsourcing generally softens competition in the final product market. If firms...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/07/2003
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