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On the cultural transmission of corruption

We provide a cultural explanation to the phenomenon of corruption in the framework of an overlapping generations model with intergenerational transmission of values. We show that the economy has two steady states with different levels of corruption. The driving force in the equilibrium selection process is the education effort exerted by parents which depends on the distribution of...

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English / 01/12/2002

Markets Do Not Select For a Liquidity Preference as Behavior Towards Risk

Tobin (1958) has argued that in the face of potential capital losses on bonds it is nreasonable to hold cash as a means to transfer wealth over time. It is shown that this assertion cannot be sustained taking into account the evolution of wealth of cash holders versus non cash holders. Cash holders will be driven out of the market in the long run by traders who only use a (risky)...

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English / 01/12/2002

Terrorism: Deterrence May Backfire

Present anti-terrorist policy concentrates almost exclusively on deterrence. It seeks to fend off terrorism by raising the cost of undertaking terrorist acts. This paper argues that deterrence policy is less effective than generally thoughtnand induces in some cases even more terrorism. This is, in particular, the case if deterrence policy induces a centralisation of decision-making...

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English / 01/12/2002

How to Fight Terrorism: Alternatives to Deterrence

Deterrence has been a crucial element in fighting terrorism, both in actual politics and rational choice analyses of terrorism. But there are superior strategies to deterrence. One is to make terrorist attacks less attractive. Another to raise the opportunity cost – rather than the material cost – to terrorists. These alternative strategies effectively dissuade potential terrorists....

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English / 01/12/2002

Are Voters Better Informed When They Have a Larger Say in Politics? Evidence for the European Union and Switzerland

Public choice theory takes citizens as rationally ignorant about political issues, because the costs of being informed greatly exceed the utility individuals derive from it. The costs of information (supply side) as well as the utility of information (demand side), however, can vary substantially depending on the political system under which citizens live. Using survey data from the...

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English / 01/11/2002

Limited Rationality and Strategic Interaction, The Impact of the Strategic Environment on Nominal

The evidence from many experiments suggests that people are heterogeneous with regard to their abilities to make rational, forward looking, decisions. This raises the question when the rational types are decisive for aggregate outcomes and when the boundedly rational types shape aggregate results. We examine this question in the context of a long-standing and important economic...

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English / 01/11/2002

The Success of Job Applications: A New Approach to Program Evaluation

In this paper, we suggest a novel approach to program evaluation that allows identification of the causal effect of a training program on the likelihood of being invited to a job interview under weak assumptions. The idea is to measure the program-effects by pre- and post-treatment data that are very close in time for the same individual. Our approach provides useful information on...

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English / 01/11/2002

Indirect Reciprocity and Strategic Reputation Building in an Experimental Helping Game

We study indirect reciprocity and strategic reputation building in an experimental helping game. At any time only half of the subjects can build a reputation. This allows us to study both pure indirect reciprocity that is not contaminated by strategic reputation building and the impact of incentives for strategic reputation building on the helping rate. We find that while pure...

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English / 01/11/2002

The Hidden Costs and Returns of Incentives - Trust and Trustworthiness among CEOs

We examine experimentally how Chief Executive Officers (CEOs) respond to incentives and how they provide incentives in situations requiring trust and trustworthiness. As a control we compare the behavior of CEOs with the behavior of students. We find that CEOs are consider-ably more trusting and exhibit more trustworthiness than students-thus reaching substantially higher efficiency...

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English / 01/11/2002

Estimating Vertical Foreclosure in U.S. Gasoline Supply

We examine the competitive effects of the vertical integration of gasoline refineries and retailers in the U.S. Adapting the first-order condition approach of static oligopoly games to the analysis of vertically related oligopolies, we develop a novel framework for directly evaluating the strategic foreclosure effect and the effciency benefits associated with vertical integration....

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English / 01/11/2002

Public Policy for Efficient Education

We study the role of public policy in promoting efficiency in human capital accumulation. Agents accumulate human capital by allocating time to home study and school attendance. The return to time spent in school is subject to congestion. The individual also faces an aggregate externality in skill accumulation. We find that a tuition fee combined with personal stipends can correct...

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English / 01/11/2002

Relative Implied-Volatility Arbitrage with Index Options

This study investigates the efficiency of markets as to the relative pricing of similar risk by using implied volatilities of options on highly correlated indexes and a statistical arbitrage strategy to profit from potential mispricings. It first analyzes the interrelationships over time of the 3 most highly correlated and liquid pairs of US stock indexes. Based on this analysis, the...

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English / 01/11/2002

The Impact of Economic Sanctions on South African Exports

In the mid-1980s many nations imposed sanctions on South African exports, most of which were subsequently removed during 1991-3. I estimate the effect of eight industrialized economies' sanctions on their imports from South Africa. Outliers are found to strongly influence the parameter estimates. Failure to take account of them leads to the conclusion that sanctions by the (then...

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English / 01/11/2002

Self-confrontation interview with suicide attempters

Psychiatric and psychological assessment after parasuicide is characterized by a number of difficulties. The interview is a strategically complex task for the patients trying to accommodate the wishes of the psychiatrist/psychologist and their own goals. The psychiatrist/ psychologist on the other hand needs to gain information about the event and the patient's mental state, has...

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English / 12/10/2002

Introducing Procedural Utility: Not only What, but also How Matters

People not only care about outcomes, they also value the procedures which lead to the outcomes. Procedural utility is a potentially important source of human well-being. This paper aims at introducing the concept of procedural utility into economics, and argues that it should be incorporated more widely into economic theory and empirical research. Three building blocks of a concept...

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English / 01/10/2002

Microeconometric Evaluation of the Active Labour Market Policy in Switzerland

In the second part of the 1990's Switzerland conducted an ambitious active labour market policy (ALMP) encompassing a wide variety of programmes. We evaluate the effects of these programmes on the individual employment probability of potential participants. Our econometric analysis uses unusually informative data origi-nating from administrative unemployment and social security...

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English / 01/10/2002

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