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Inter-market arbitrage in betting

We show that a combined bet at the bookmaker and at the bet exchange market yields a guaranteed positive return in 19.2% of the matches in the top five European soccer leagues. Moreover, we find that all considered bookmakers frequently offer arbitrage positions, and that they experience, on average, negative margins from these postings. Our findings indicate that bookmakers set...

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English / 01/01/2013

Divide and Conquer: A New Approach to Dynamic Discrete Choice with Serial Correlation

In this paper, we develop a method to efficiently estimate dynamic discrete choice models with AR(n) type serial correlation of the errors. First, to approximate the expected value function of the underlying dynamic problem, we use Gaussian quadrature, interpolation over an adaptively refined grid, and solve a potentially large non-linear system of equations. Second, to evaluate the...

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English / 01/01/2013

Apprentice pay in Britain, Germany and Switzerland: Institutions, market forces and market power

The pay of metalworking apprentices is high in Britain, middling in Germany and low in Switzerland. We analyse these differences using fieldwork evidence and survey data, drawing on both economic and institutionalist theories. Several institutional attributes influence apprentice pay, partly by affecting supply and demand in markets for training places. Institutional support for...

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English / 01/01/2013

Careers and productivity in an internal labor market

This paper contributes to the existing literature by evaluating the effects of age and tenure on careers and productivity within an internal labor market. We use the administrative personnel records of a long balanced panel of blue-collar workers from a manufacturing firm in Germany with a distinct classification of wage groups and unique information on workers’ productivity in form...

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English / 01/01/2013

Effects of training on employee suggestions and promotions: Evidence from personnel records

We evaluate the effects of employer-provided formal training on employee suggestions for productivity improvements and on promotions among male blue-collar workers. Using more than 20 years of personnel data of four entry cohorts in a German company, we address issues such as unobserved heterogeneity and the length of potential training effects. Our main finding is that workers are...

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English / 01/01/2013

Positive effects of ageing and age diversity in innovative companies - large-scale empirical evidence on company productivity

This article investigates how age diversity within a company's workforce affects company productivity. It introduces a theoretical framework that helps integrate results from a broad disciplinary spectrum of ageing and diversity research to derive empirically testable hypotheses on the effects of age diversity on company productivity. It argues that first the balance between...

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English / 01/01/2013

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