Publications des institutions partenaires

S'abonner aux flux infonet economy   2341 - 2360 of 6042

Using Bayesian hierarchical parameter estimation to assess the generalizability of cognitive models of choice

To be useful, cognitive models with fitted parameters should show generalizability across time and allow accurate predictions of future observations. It has been proposed that hierarchical procedures yield better estimates of model parameters than do nonhierarchical, independent approaches, because the formers’ estimates for individuals within a group can mutually inform each other....

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

English / 01/01/2015

Different strategies for evaluating consumer products: attribute-and exemplar-based approaches compared

Consumers’ purchase decisions depend on whether a product is perceived as a bargain or as overpriced. But how do consumers evaluate sales prices? The standard approach in economics, psychology, and marketing suggests that consumers’ estimates are best described by a attribute-based or piecemeal strategy that integrates information about products in a linear additive fashion. Here, we...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

English / 01/01/2015

Selecting decision strategies: the differential role of affect

Many theories on cognition assume that people adapt their decision strategies depending on the situation they face. To test if and how affect guides the selection of decision strategies, we conducted an online study (N = 166), where different mood states were induced through video clips. Results indicate that mood influenced the use of decision strategies. Negative mood, in...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

English / 01/01/2015

An introduction to Bayesian hypothesis testing for management research

In management research, empirical data are often analyzed using p-value null hypothesis significance testing (pNHST). Here we outline the conceptual and practical advantages of an alternative analysis method: Bayesian hypothesis testing and model selection using the Bayes factor. In contrast to pNHST, Bayes factors allow researchers to quantify evidence in favor of the null...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

English / 01/01/2015

An information theory account of preference prediction accuracy

Knowledge about other people's preferences is essential for successful social interactions, but what exactly are the driving factors that determine how well we can predict the likes and dislikes of people around us? To investigate the accuracy of couples' preference predictions we outline and empirically test three hypotheses: The positive valence hypothesis predicts that...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

English / 01/01/2015

A generalized distance function for preferential choices

Many cognitive theories of judgement and decision making assume that choice options are evaluated relative to other available options. The extent to which the preference for one option is influenced by other available options will often depend on how similar the options are to each other, where similarity is assumed to be a decreasing function of the distance between options. We...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

English / 01/01/2015

How outcome dependencies affect decisions under risk

Many economic theories of decision making assume that people evaluate options independently of other available options. However, recent cognitive theories such as decision field theory suggest that people’s evaluations rely on a relative comparison of the options’ potential consequences such that the subjective value of an option critically depends on the context in which it is...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

English / 01/01/2015

Der Mythos Konzernzentrale

Sie werden als Zeichen von Leistung und Erfolg bewundert, aber auch als Ort der Machtkämpfe und Bürokratie misstrauisch beäugt. Haben Konzernzentralen in Zeiten der digitalen Vernetzung und der Globalisierung noch einen Sinn?

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

Deutsch / 01/01/2015

Schweizer M&A-Markt 2014 : Auf dem Gipfel angekommen ?

Das Jahr 2014 war ein Rekordjahr auf dem Schweizer M&A-Markt. So stieg die Anzahl der Transaktionen um 33% von 315 im Jahr 2013 auf nunmehr 420 an. Auch der Fünf-Jahres-Vergleich zeigt, dass die Anzahl angekündigter Deals die Werte aus den Jahren 2010 bis 2012 übertraf. Noch positiver fällt der Blick auf die Entwicklung des Dealvolumens im vergangenen Jahr aus, das zuletzt 188,1...

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

Full Text

Deutsch / 01/01/2015

When a door closes a window opens? Investigating the effects and determinants of involuntary separations

Using Swiss Labor Force Survey data from 1996 to 2009, the authors estimate the earning losses of workers experiencing an involuntary job loss. Two empirical strategies are followed: the standard approach of the earning losses literature and a new method that allows to consider the full set of involuntary separations, also those individuals with zero earnings because of unemployment...

Full Text

English / 01/01/2015

Evolutionarily stable strategies in sports contests

Most articles on sports economics presume the well-known Nash equilibrium concept. In this article, however, we apply evolutionary game theory in a sports-contest model. If clubs follow evolutionarily stable strategies (ESS), then ESS generate greater investments and smaller profits than predicted by Nash’s strategies, independent of whether a club is win-maximizing or profit-...

Full Text

English / 01/01/2015

Margin regulation and volatility

An infinite-horizon asset-pricing model with heterogeneous agents and collateral constraints can explain why adjustments in stock market margins under US Regulation T had an economically insignificant impact on market volatility. In the model, raising the margin requirement for one asset class may barely affect its volatility if investors have access to another, unregulated class of...

Full Text

English / 01/01/2015

The new CEO and the post-succession process: An integration of past research and future directions

The early tenure of a new Chief Executive Officer (CEO), also referred to as ‘the CEO post-succession process’, is a critical phase in the history of an organization, because it is associated with a high rate of organizational failure and CEO dismissal. Research on this important process has grown rapidly over the last decade, focusing particularly on the question of how the match...

Full Text

English / 01/01/2015

On calmness of the argmin mapping in parametric optimization problems

Recently, Cánovas et al. presented an interesting result: the argmin mapping of a linear semi-infinite program under canonical perturbations is calm if and only if some associated linear semi-infinite inequality system is calm. Using classical tools from parametric optimization, we show that the if-direction of this condition holds in a much more general framework of optimization...

Full Text

English / 01/01/2015

Belief precision and effort incentives in promotion contests

The career concerns literature predicts that incentives for effort decline as beliefs about ability become more precise (Holmstrom, 1982/1999). In contrast, we show that effort can increase with belief precision when agents compete for promotions to better paid jobs that are assigned on the basis of perceived abilities. In this case, an intermediate level of precision provides the...

Full Text

English / 01/01/2015

Pages

Le portail de l'information économique suisse

© 2016 Infonet Economy