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Why does myopia decrease the willingness to invest? Is it myopic loss aversion or myopic loss probability aversion?

For loss averse investors, a sequence of risky investments looks less attractive if it is evaluated myopically—an effect called myopic loss aversion (MLA). The consequences of this effect have been confirmed in several experiments and its robustness is largely undisputed. The effect’s causes, however, have not been thoroughly examined with regard to one important aspect. Due to the...

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English / 01/01/2012

Measuring the time stability of prospect theory preferences

Prospect Theory is widely regarded as the most promising descriptive model for decision mak-ing under uncertainty. Various tests have corroborated the validity of the characteristic fourfold pattern of risk attitudes implied by the combination of probability weighting and value transformation. But is it also safe to assume stable Prospect Theory preferences at the individual level?...

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English / 01/01/2012

Regulating collateral-Requirements when markets are incomplete

In this paper we examine the effects of default and scarcity of collateralizable durable goods on risk-sharing. We assume that there is a large set of assets which all
promise a risk-less payo but which distinguish themselves by the collateral requirement. In equilibrium agents default and the assets have dierent payoffs. Assets with very low collateral requirements can be...

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English / 01/01/2012

SIAM Journal on Optimization

The SIAM Journal on Optimization contains research articles on the theory and practice of optimization. The areas addressed include linear and quadratic programming, convex programming, nonlinear programming, complementarity problems, stochastic optimization, combinatorial optimization, integer programming, and convex, nonsmooth and variational analysis. Contributions may emphasize...

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English / 01/01/2012

Journal of Convex Analysis

The concern of this international mathematical journal is to disseminate theoretical knowledge in the field of Convex Analysis and, at the same time, cultivate and extend its applications. In this sense it publishes research articles touching the areas of Calculus of Variations, Control Theory, Measure Theory, Functional Analysis, Differential Equations, Integral Equations,...

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English / 01/01/2012

The effect of proactive adaptation on green investment

Climate change is one of the greatest challenges facing our planet in the foreseeable future anddespite the urgency of the situation global GHG emissions are still increasing. In this context,and since future climate changes appear now unavoidable to some extent, adaptation measureshave recently gained a new political momentum as an important component of climate policies.Contrary to...

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English / 01/01/2012

Measuring economic uncertainty and its impact on the stock market

This paper proposes a novel measure of economic uncertainty based on the frequency of internet searches. The theoretical motivation is offered by findings in economic psychology that agents respond to increased uncertainty by intensifying their information search. The main advantages of using internet searches are broad reach, timeliness and the fact that they reflect actions, rather...

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English / 01/01/2012

International price and earnings momentum

We find that price and earnings momentum are pervasive features of international equity markets even when controlling for data snooping biases. For European countries, we find that price momentum is subsumed by earnings momentum on an aggregate level. However, this rationale does not apply to each and every country. While the above explanation is confined to certain time periods in...

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English / 01/01/2012

Options on realized variance in Log-OU models

We study the pricing of options on realized variance in a general class of Log-OU stochastic volatility models. The class includes several important models proposed in the literature. Having as common feature the log-normal law of instantaneous variance, the application of standard Fourier-Laplace transform methods is not feasible. We derive extensions of Asian pricing methods, to...

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English / 01/01/2012

A remark on Lin's and Chang's pager 'Consistent modelling of S&P500 and VIX derivatives'

Lin and Chang (2009, 2010) establish a VIX futures and option pricing theory when modelingS&P 500 index by using a stochastic volatility process with asset return and volatility jumps.In this note, we prove that Lin and Chang's formula is not an exact solution of their pricingequation. More generally, we show that the characteristic function of their pricing equationcannot...

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English / 01/01/2012

Options on realized variance by transform methods: A non-affine stochastic volatility model

In this paper we study the pricing and hedging of options on realized variance in the 3/2 non-affine stochastic volatility model by developing efficient transform-based pricing methods. This non-affine model gives prices of options on realized variance that allow upward-sloping implied volatility of variance smiles. Heston's model [Rev. Financial Stud., 1993, 6, 327–343], the...

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English / 01/01/2012

Data snooping and the global accrual anomaly

Naively testing for accruals mispricing in 26 equity markets - one market at a time - we find statistical evidence of anomalous returns in some countries. However, some of these findings might well be spurious because of data snooping biases that arise when simultaneously testing several hypotheses. While the accrual anomaly is not deemed to be robust in some countries when properly...

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English / 01/01/2012

Swiss Banking Secrecy: The Stock Market Evidence

We examine the stock price reactions of four Swiss banks to negotiations between Switzerland and the European Union and between Switzerland and the United States to (i) obtain an estimate of the value of banking secrecy to Swiss banks, and (ii) distinguish between tax evasion and genuine privacy concerns as sources of that value. We find that the value of banking secrecy to the...

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English / 01/01/2012

Agency Issues and Financing Constraints - Evidence from REITs

Given a firms investment policy, its dividend policy is irrelevant (Miller and Modigliani (1961)). REITs, by law, pay at least 90 % of their corporate income as dividends, so that their dividend policy is given. This is a reversal of the dividend irrelevance theorem through regulatory means. Such a high dividend payment also means lower retained earnings, leaving firms with little...

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English / 01/01/2012

Dynamic competitive economies with complete markets and collateral constraints

In this paper we examine the competitive equilibria of a dynamic stochastic economywith complete markets. We show that the completeness of the market requires both theset of asset payo¤s and collateral levels to be su¢ ciently rich, so as to allow to decentral-ize the equilibrium allocations obtained in Arrow-Debreu markets subject to a series ofappropriate limited pledgeability...

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English / 01/01/2012

Peer effects at work: The common stock investments of co-workers

Stock market behavior of individual investors is highly correlated with stock market behavior of their co-workers. For example, a ten percentage point increase in the fraction of co-workers that purchase stocks in a given month is associated with a two percentage point increase in the likelihood of individuals making a purchase. The high correlation exists even after taking...

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English / 01/01/2012

Evidence of excess comovement in US mergers

This paper considers changes in market comovement of merging US firms. Comparing the expected to the actual post merger comovement, we find that the post merger beta exhibits excess comovement with the acquiring firm. This suggests that the firm’s comovement is at least partly determined by its investors. We find that the excess comovement is significantly greater in cash...

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English / 01/01/2012

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