Publications des institutions partenaires

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Stocks, bonds, and long-run consumption risks

I evaluate whether the so-called long-run risk framework can jointly explain key features of both equity and bond markets as well as the interaction between asset prices and the macroeconomy. I find that shocks to expected consump-
tion growth and time-varying macroeconomic volatility can account for the level of risk premia and its variation over time in both markets. The...

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English / 01/04/2012

The incidence of Cash for Clunkers: an analysis of the 2009 car scrappage scheme in Germany

Governments all over the world have invested tens of billions of dollars in car scrappage programs to fuel the economy in 2009. We investigate the German case using a unique micro transaction dataset covering the years 2007 to 2010. Our focus is on the incidence of the subsidy, i.e., we ask how much of the € 2,500 buyer subsidy is captured by the supply-side through an increase in...

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English / 01/04/2012

Communication in asymmetric group competition over public goods

This paper examines whether and how cheap talk communication can facilitate within-group coordination when two unequal sized groups compete for a prize that is shared equally among members of the winning group, regardless of their (costly) contributions to the group’s success. We find that allowing group members to communicate before making contribution decisions improves...

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English / 01/04/2012

An investigation of individual preferences: consistency across incentives and stability over time

This study compares individual preferences across incentives (i.e., hypothetical vs. real incentives) and over time (i.e. elicitation at two different points in time) in a choice experiment involving charitable donating decisions. We provide evidence of hypothetical bias but little evidence of instability of individual giving. There is significant heterogeneity in individual...

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English / 01/04/2012

Designing package markets to eliminate exposure risk

This paper reports results from a series of laboratory experiments designed to evaluate the impact of exposure risk on market performance. Exposure risk arises when there are complementarities between trades, e.g. when the purchase of a new house requires selling the old one. The continuous double auction (CDA), which has proven to be remarkably effective in a wide variety of...

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English / 01/04/2012

When do groups perform better than individuals? A company takeover experiment

It is still an open question when groups perform better than individuals in intellectual tasks. We report that in a company takeover experiment, groups placed better bids than individuals and substantially reduced the winner’s curse. This improvement was mostly due to peer pressure over the minority opinion and to learning. Learning took place from interacting and negotiating...

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English / 01/04/2012

Die Risikowahrnehmung der privaten Anleger im Beratungsprozess

Die gängigen Beratungsprozesse der Finanzinstitute berücksichtigen die Risikofähigkeit und die Risikobereitschaft
der Anlagekunden. Aber nur die Beratungsprozesse, die auch die Risikowahrnehmung des Kunden mit einbeziehen, machen diesen wirklich sicherer in seinen Anlageentscheiden. Die verhaltensbasierte Finanztheorie (Behavioural Finance) liefert nützliche Einsichten dazu....

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Deutsch / 22/03/2012

Stop and be fair: DLPFC development contributes to social decision making

In this issue of Neuron, Steinbeis et al. (2012) show that DLPFC structure and functions are associated with strategic social choices during an economic task and relate to impulse control abilities in both age dependent and independent manners.

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English / 08/03/2012

Causes of social reward differences encoded in human brain

Rewards may be due to skill, effort, and luck, and the social perception of inequality in rewards among individuals may depend on what produced the inequality. Rewards due to skill produce a conflict: higher outcomes of others in this case are considered deserved, and this counters incentives to reduce inequality. However, they also signal superior skill and for this reason induce...

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English / 01/03/2012

What makes voters turn out: the effects of polls and beliefs

We use laboratory experiments to test for one of the foundations of the rational voter paradigm - that voters respond to probabilities of being pivotal.
We exploit a setup that entails stark theoretical effects of information concerning the preference distribution (as revealed through polls) on costly participation decisions. The data reveal several insights. First, voting...

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English / 01/03/2012

The French Great Depression: a business cycle accounting analysis

Using the business cycle accounting framework [Chari V., P. Kehoe and E. McGrattan 2007. Business Cycle Accounting. Econometrica 75, 781-836.], this paper sheds new light on the French Great Depression. Frictions that reduce the efficiency with which factor inputs are used (efficiency wedge) were the primary factor in the economic downturn. The decline in consumption can be...

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English / 24/02/2012

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