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Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2017/2018. Weitere Erholung der Schweizer Wirtschaft

Abrahamsen, Yngve; Abberger, Klaus; Chatagny, Florian; Dibiasi, Andreas; Eckert, Florian; Eichenberger, Livia; Funk, Anne Kathrin; Graff, Michael; Hälg, Florian; Iselin, David; Mikosch, Heiner; Neuwirth, Stefan; Sandqvist, Anna Pauliina; Rathke, Alexander; Sarferaz, Samad; Siegenthaler, Michael; Simmons-Süer, Banu; Stücker, Anne; Studer, Dominik; Sturm, Jan-Egbert

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English, Deutsch / 29/03/2017

Sind wir so reich, weil die andern so arm sind?

Wir haben nur so viel, weil die anderen so wenig haben. Wären wir grosszügiger, ginge es allen besser. So denken die meisten. Sie irren sich.

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Deutsch / 23/03/2017

Was die Universität Berkeley lehrt: Europa verdammt die öffentlichen Universitäten zumeist in die Regionalliga

Die vom US-Bundesstaat Kalifornien betriebene Spitzenschule macht vor, wie sich akademische Exzellenz mit vergleichsweise geringen Mitteln erreichen lässt – doch es gibt Grenzen der Effizienz.

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Deutsch / 18/03/2017

Follow-the-leader?: measuring the internationalisation of law

Expressive law is said to induce compliance with stated principles without a price on non-compliance. We empirically assess this proposition, by attempting to dis-entangle the impacts of a legal change (a 5p charge on use of plastic bags), on individual choices. We do so by measuring both behaviours and attitudes across the first two months of the legal change, and by comparing the...

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/ 10/03/2017

Weather and income : effect on household saving and well-being in South Africa

In countries where rain-fed agriculture constitutes a significant portion of household livelihood, increased weather variability represents a source of vulnerability to stable consumption, food security and household well-being. Weather induced income changes affect household consumption and saving decisions. We evaluate saving and consumption responses to weather variation in South...

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/ 10/03/2017

Illuminating the Dark Side of Financial Innovation: The Role of Investor Information

This paper investigates the impact of investor information on financial innovation. We identify specific channels through which issuers of financially engineered products exploit retail investors by using their privileged access to information. Our results imply that imperfect investor information regarding volatility and dividends is crucial to explain the pricing and design of...

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English / 10/03/2017

Existence of equilibria in exhaustible resource markets with economies of scale and inventories

Bommier, Antoine; Bretschger, Lucas; Le Grand, François

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English, Deutsch / 01/03/2017

Optimal estimation of a large-dimensional covariance matrix under Stein’s loss

This paper introduces a new method for deriving covariance matrix estimators that are decision-theoretically optimal within a class of nonlinear shrinkage estimators. The key is to employ large-dimensional asymptotics: the matrix dimension and the sample size go to infinity together, with their ratio converging to a finite, nonzero limit. As the main focus, we apply this method to...

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English / 01/03/2017

Resurrecting weighted least squares

This paper shows how asymptotically valid inference in regression models based on the weighted least squares (WLS) estimator can be obtained even when the model for reweighting the data is misspecified. Like the ordinary least squares estimator, the WLS estimator can be accompanied by heteroskedasticity-consistent (HC) standard errors without knowledge of the functional form of...

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English / 01/03/2017

Do professional norms in the banking industry favor risk-taking?

In recent years, the banking industry has witnessed several cases of excessive risk-taking that frequently have been attributed to problematic professional norms. We conduct experiments with employees from several banks in which we manipulate the saliency of their professional identity and subsequently measure their risk aversion in a real stakes investment task. If bank employees...

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English / 01/03/2017

The lottery contest is a best-response potential game

It is shown that the n-player lottery contest admits a best-response potential (Voorneveld, 2000, Economics Letters). This is true also when the contest technology reflects the possibility of a draw. The result implies, in particular, the existence of a non-trivial two-player zero-sum game that is best-response equivalent to a game with identical payoff functions.

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English / 01/03/2017

Revenue ranking of optimally biased contests: the case of two players

It is shown that the equilibrium in the asymmetric Tullock contest is unique for parameter values r ≤ 2. This allows proving a revenue ranking result saying that a revenue-maximizing designer capable of biasing the contest always prefers a contest technology with higher accuracy.

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English / 01/03/2017

Smoking behaviour in Germany: evidence from the SOEP

As in most OECD countries, smoking prevalence and cigarette consumption have been decreasing in Germany since the early 2000s. This paper analyses whether smoking prevalence and cigarette consumption, as well as their development over time, differ between socio-economic subgroups. Identifying these differences provides insights into the effect of policy interventions on German...

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English / 01/03/2017

Accounting for the new gains from trade liberalization

We measure the "new" gains from trade reaped by Canada as a result of the Canada-US Free Trade Agreement (CUSFTA). We think of the "new" gains from trade of a country as all welfare effects pertaining to changes in the set of firms serving that country as emphasized in the so-called "new" trade literature. To this end, we first develop an exact...

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English / 01/03/2017

The role of gender in employment polarization

We document that U.S. employment polarization in the 1980-2008 period is largely generated by women. Female employment shares increase both at the bottom and at the top of the skill distribution, generating the typical U-shape polarization graph, while male employment shares decrease in a more similar fashion along the whole skill distribution. We show that a canonical model of skill...

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English / 01/03/2017

Ist die fürsorgerische Unterbringung von Urteilsfähigen zulässig?

Mit dem Inkrafttreten des neuen Erwachsenenschutzrechts per 1. Januar 2013 wurde die fürsorgerische Freiheitsentziehung (FFE) in fürsorgerische Unterbringung (FU) umbenannt. Bei der Frage, ob eine solche auch bei diesbezüglich urteilsfähigen Personen zulässig ist, gehen die juristischen und medizinethischen Meinungen jedoch auseinander.

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Deutsch / 01/03/2017

Le placement à des fins d’assistance de personnes capables de discernement est-il admissible?

Avec l’entrée en vigueur du nouveau droit de la protection de l’adulte au 1er janvier 2013, la «privation de liberté à des fins d’assistance» (PLAFA) a été renommée en «placement à des fins d’assistance» (PAFA). Toutefois, les opinions juridiques et médico-éthiques divergent sur la question de savoir si un tel placement est également admissible chez les personnes capables de...

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Français / 01/03/2017

Combining Semi-Endogenous and Fully Endogenous Growth: a Generalization.

This paper shows that combining the semi-endogenous and the fully endogenous growth mechanisms with a general CES aggregator, either growth process can prevail in the balanced growth path depending on their degree of complementarity/substitutability. Policy-induced long-run economic switches to the fully endogenous steady state as the R&D employment ratio surpasses a positive...

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English / 01/03/2017

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