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Trend derivatives: pricing, hedging, and application to executive stock options

Both institutional and private investors often have only limited flexibility in timing their investment decision. They look for investments that will ideally be independent of the timing decision. In this article, a new class of derivative products whose payoff is linked to the trend of the underlying instrument is introduced. By linking the trend to the payoff, the timing of the...

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English / 01/02/2007

To React or Not? Fiscal Policy, Volatility and Welfare in the EU-3

This paper develops a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model to examine the quantitative macroeconomic implications of counter-ncyclical fiscal policy for France, Germany and the UK. The model incorporates real wage rigidity which is the particular market failurenjustifying policy intervention. We subject the model to productivity shocks and use either government consumption or...

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English / 01/02/2007

The evolution of cheating in asymmetric contests

"Consider a society where all agents initially play ""fair"" and one agent invents a ""cheating"" strategy such as doping in sports. Whichnfactors determine the success of the new cheating strategy? In order to study this question we consider an evolutionary game with local information. Three factors determine the imitation dynamics of...

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English / 01/02/2007

Risk and Rationality: The Effect of Incidental Mood on Probability Weighting

When valuing risky prospects, people tend to overweight small probabilities and to underweight large probabilities. Nonlinear probability weighting has proven to be a robust empirical phenomenon and has been integrated in decision models, such as cumulative prospect theory. Based on a laboratory experiment with real monetary incentives, we show that incidental emotional states, such...

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English / 01/02/2007

Corporate financial reporting and disclosure. A behavioral finance perspective

Managers' information disclosure to firm's outsiders plays an essential role for mitigating information asymmetry and agency problems. The main objective of this thesis is to analyze the managers' reporting incentives in a broader context, while considering the preferences of behavioural investors and the active role of financial analysts as target setters in...

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English / 01/01/2007

The singularity of the German doctorate as a signal for managerial talent: causes, consequences and future developments

The paper focuses on signaling options for managerial talent under different higher education regimes. The educational paths in a sample of top managers of the 100 largest publicly traded companies in the U.S., France and Germany are consistent with our theoretical conjectures. For the singular role of the German doctorate, the traditional chair system in doctoral education and...

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English / 01/01/2007

Who made who?: an empirical analysis of competitive balance in european soccer leagues

The article presents an empirical analysis of the relationship between competitive balance and fan attendance in European Soccer Leagues. Seasonal average match attendance data in professional German, English, Italian and French football during the season 1963-1964 to 2005-2006 formed the basis of the empirical results. A dominating approach among researchers in measuring seasonal...

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English / 01/01/2007

Validity of discrete-choice experiments evidence for health risk reduction

There is growing interest in discrete-choice experiment (DCE) as a method to elicit consumers' preferences in the health care sector. Increasingly this method is used to determine willingness to pay (WTP) for health-related goods. However, its external validity in the health care domain has not been investigated until now. This paper examines the external validity of DCE...

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English / 01/01/2007

Aging and future healthcare expenditure: a consistent approach

The impact of aging on healthcare expenditure (HCE) has been at the center of a prolonged debate. This paper purports to shed light on several issues of this debate by presenting new evidence on the "red herring" hypothesis advanced by Zweifel, Felder and Meier (1999). This hypothesis amounts to distinguishing a mortality from a morbidity component in healthcare expenditure...

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English / 01/01/2007

Technology, information, and the decentralization of the firm

This paper analyzes the relationship between the diffusion of new technologies and the decentralization of firms. Centralized control relies on the information of the principal, which we equate with publicly available information. Decentralized control, on the other hand, delegates authority to a manager with superior information. However, the manager can use her informational...

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English / 01/01/2007

The dynamics of neighbourhood watch and norm enforcement

We propose a dynamic model of neighbourhood watch schemes. While the state chooses punishment levels, apprehension of criminals depends on the watchfulness of citizens. We show that, contrary to standard intuition, crime levels can increase in punishments. This is because neighbourhood watch schemes can fall victim to their own success if recruitment of new members is driven by fear...

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English / 01/01/2007

Intra-industry trade with multinational firms

Recent developments, including the analysis of firm-level adjustment to falling trade costs, have contributed to a revival of interest in intra-industry trade (IIT). Most empirical work still relies on the standard Grubel–Lloyd measure. This however refers only to international trade, disregarding income flows stimulated by repatriated profits of multinational firms. Given the...

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English / 01/01/2007

The impact of postal voting on participation: evidence for Switzerland

Many countries are forging ahead with convenient balloting methods, in particular electronic and postal voting, in order to re-engage voters. In this paper, we test whether the cost reductions with postal voting increase turnout. The empirical analysis is based on a newly collected data set on the introduction of postal voting in Swiss cantons. We take advantage of the unique fact...

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English / 01/01/2007

Awards as compensation

Awards are non-material, extrinsic compensation taking the form of orders, medals, decorations and prizes. They have been widely used in monarchies and republics, private organizations, not-for-profit and profit-oriented firms. Nevertheless, they have so far not received much attention. This paper develops empirically testable hypotheses, analysing the determinants of the supply of...

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English / 01/01/2007

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