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Outsourcing and trade in a spatial world

This paper provides an analysis of outsourcing and trade in a spatial model à la Hotelling. In this setting, we discuss the trade-off between transport-cost-related disadvantages and outsourcing-related production cost advantages of a large economy and we investigate how the existence of national transport costs influences both the structure of industrial production and the pattern...

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English / 01/11/2007

Was denken deutsche Ökonomen? Eine empirische Auswertung einer Internetbefragung unter den Mitgliedern des Vereins für Socialpolitik im Sommer 2006

This article presents the results of a survey among the members of the „Verein f¨ur Socialpolitik“, the association of German speaking economists, containing questions on schools of thought, economic role models and policy issues. A probit analysis is used to identify to what extent ideological preferences or personal facts determine the respondent’s opinion. Some of the questions...

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Deutsch / 01/11/2007

International evidence for return predictability and the implications for long-run covariation of the G7 stock markets

Temporary fluctuations of the U.S. consumption-wealth ratio, cay, predict excess returns onninternational stock markets at the business cycle frequency. This finding is the reflection of a common, temporary component in national stock markets. Exposure to this common component explains up to 60 percent of the covariation among long-horizon returns on the G7nstock markets for the time...

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English / 01/11/2007

Cashflow news, the value premium and an asset pricing view on European stock market integration

The decomposition of national CAPM market betas of European countries’ value and growthnportfolio returns into cashflow and discount rate news driven components reveals that i) highnaverage returns on value portfolios are associated with disproportionately high sensitivity to national cashflow news which corroborates recent evidence for the U.S. and ii) two-beta variants of national...

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English / 01/11/2007

Consumption growth, uncovered equity parity and the cross-section of returns on foreign currencies

Lagged foreign stock returns in excess of the U.S. stock market return are informative aboutnquarterly exchange rate movements. A past high foreign stock return relative to the U.S. signals a foreign currency depreciation and hence low returns on the foreign currency.nConditional on stock return differentials, the consumption-based CAPM (CCAPM) explains the cross-sectional dispersion...

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English / 01/11/2007

Deception and Incentives. How Dishonesty Undermines Effort Provision

In this paper we show that subtle forms of deceit undermine the effectiveness of incentives.nWe design an experiment in which the principal has an interest in underreporting the true performance difference between the agents in a dynamic tournament. According to thenstandard approach, rational agents should completely disregard the performance feedback of self-interested principals...

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English / 01/11/2007

Contingent valuation: a new perspective

After several decades of academic research on the contingent valuation (CV) method a consistent behavioral explanation of 'hypothetical bias' is still lacking. Based on evidence from economics, economic psychology and the political sciences, I propose an explanation that is based on two simple working hypotheses about respondent behaviour in contingent valuation surveys....

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English / 01/11/2007

An analysis of the Swiss vote on the use of genetically modified crops

In November 2005, 55.7 percent of 2 million Swiss voters approved a 5-year moratorium (ban) on the commercial cultivation of genetically modified (GM) plants within Switzerland. The present study examines how individual voting decisions were determined by (i) socioeconomic characteristics, (ii) political preference/ideology and (iii) agreement with a series of arguments in favour and...

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English / 01/11/2007

Eine höhere Geburtenrate, aber keine gesamtwirtschaftlichen Effekte: Die Wirksamkeit einer Fussball-Europameisterschaft für die Volkswirtschaft ist höchst umstritten

Sportgrossveranstaltungen wie die Fussball- EM verschlingen häufig umfangreiche öffentliche Ressourcen. Oft werden Steuergelder in mehrstelliger Millionenhöhe für Infrastrukturmassnahmen (u. a. Stadienbau) ausgegeben. Aber auch für die Durchführung des Anlasses müssen grössere öffentliche Budgets bereitgestellt werden. Vor diesem Hintergrund taucht immer wieder die Frage auf, ob sich...

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Deutsch / 01/11/2007

Entrepreneurial Signaling: eine theoretische und empirische Analyse des Einflusses von höheren Bildungssignalen und Patenten auf innovative Unternehmensgründungen

Unternehmensgründungen allgemein und innovative Unternehmensgründungen im Besonderen werden oft als Hoffnungsträger der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung angesehen. Damit innovative Neugründungen jedoch erfolgreich am Markt agieren können, müssen sie typische Probleme überwinden, die sich aus den asymmetrisch verteilten Informationen zu den wichtigsten Marktpartnern ergeben. Mit diesem...

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Deutsch / 12/10/2007

Avoiding "data snooping" in multilevel and mixed effects models

Multilevel or mixed effects models are commonly applied to hierarchical data. The level 2 residuals, which are otherwise known as random effects, are often of both substantive and diagnostic interest. Substantively, they are frequently used for institutional comparisons or rankings. Diagnostically, they are used to assess the model assumptions at the group level. Inference on the...

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English / 01/10/2007

Social neuroeconomics: the neural circuitry of social preferences

Combining the methods of neuroscience and economics generates powerful tools for studying the brain processes behind human social interaction. We argue that hedonic interpretations of theories of social preferences provide a useful framework that generates interesting predictions and helps interpret brain activations involved in altruistic, fair and trusting behaviors. These...

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English / 01/10/2007

Using Financial Markets to Analyze History: The Case of the Second World War

A central aspect of historical research is to provide explanations for the causes and effects of events that occurred in the past, in particular the Second World War. History can be analyzed and explained from different perspectives. Two such perspectives are considered, the first being the traditional historiographic approach, in which the main emphasis is on the qualitative...

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English / 01/10/2007

Blood and ink! The common-interest-game between terrorists and the media

It has often been pointed out in the literature that a symbiotic relationship exists between terrorist groups and the media. As yet, however, no formal model has been built based on this issue and only very little empirical research has been done in this field. The present contribution builds a simple game theoretic model, focussing on the strategic interactions between terrorists...

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English / 01/10/2007

Risk adjustment and risk selection in Europe: 6 years later

In this paper we analyse the developments concerning risk adjustment and risk selection in Belgium, Germany, Israel, the Netherlands and Switzerland in the period 2000–2006. Since 2000 two major trends can be observed. On the one hand the risk adjustment systems have been improved, for example, by adding relevant health-based risk adjusters. On the other hand in all five countries...

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English / 01/10/2007

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