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Robust estimation of shape-constrained state price density surfaces

Given a theoretical pricing model, an implied volatility can be extracted from an option’s market price. Given a set of options with the same maturity and a range of strike prices, it is possible to extract (an approximation to) the entire risk-neutral probability density without having to assume a theoretical pricing model. There are a variety of related methods to do this, but all...

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English / 01/01/2015

Measuring risk with multiple eligible assets

The risk of financial positions is measured by the minimum amount of capital to raise and invest in eligible portfolios of traded assets in order to meet a prescribed acceptability constraint. We investigate nondegeneracy, finiteness and continuity properties of these risk measures with respect to multiple eligible assets. Our finiteness and continuity results highlight the interplay...

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English / 01/01/2015

Essays on Nonaffine Option Pricing and Random Forests in the Fields of Finance

This thesis considers two main subjects divided in four problems in the broad field of mathematical finance. The first chapter treats option pricing followed by three chapters on the application of the machine learning algorithm of Random Forests to finance, specifically to risk capital aggregation, portfolio optimization and macro stress testing. In all four chapters new...

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English / 01/01/2015

Three Essays in Real Estate and Entrepreneurial Finance

An overwhelmingly large number of research studies in corporate Finance span the basis formed by chiefly three corporate policies - Financial policy (leverage), dividend policy, and investment policy. The two most oft-cited frictions, agency issues and asymmetric information, add complexities to the nexus formed by the policies. My empirical dissertation, "Three essays in real...

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English / 01/01/2015

A Proximity Based Stress Testing Framework

In this a paper a non-linear macro-stress testing methodology with focus on early warning is developed. The methodology builds on a variant of Random Forests and its proximity measures. It develops a framework in which naturally defined contagion and feedback effects transfer the impact of stressing a relatively small part of the observations on the whole dataset and thus allow to...

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English / 01/01/2015

When a door closes a window opens? Investigating the effects and determinants of involuntary separations

Using Swiss Labor Force Survey data from 1996 to 2009, the authors estimate the earning losses of workers experiencing an involuntary job loss. Two empirical strategies are followed: the standard approach of the earning losses literature and a new method that allows to consider the full set of involuntary separations, also those individuals with zero earnings because of unemployment...

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English / 01/01/2015

Evolutionarily stable strategies in sports contests

Most articles on sports economics presume the well-known Nash equilibrium concept. In this article, however, we apply evolutionary game theory in a sports-contest model. If clubs follow evolutionarily stable strategies (ESS), then ESS generate greater investments and smaller profits than predicted by Nash’s strategies, independent of whether a club is win-maximizing or profit-...

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English / 01/01/2015

Consistent estimation of the fixed effects ordered logit model

The paper considers panel data methods for estimating ordered logit models with individual-specific correlated unobserved heterogeneity. We show that a popular approach is inconsistent, while a number of consistent and effcient estimators are available, including minimum distance and GMM. A Monte Carlo study reveals the good properties of an alternative estimator that has not been...

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English / 01/01/2015

Margin regulation and volatility

An infinite-horizon asset-pricing model with heterogeneous agents and collateral constraints can explain why adjustments in stock market margins under US Regulation T had an economically insignificant impact on market volatility. In the model, raising the margin requirement for one asset class may barely affect its volatility if investors have access to another, unregulated class of...

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English / 01/01/2015

The new CEO and the post-succession process: An integration of past research and future directions

The early tenure of a new Chief Executive Officer (CEO), also referred to as ‘the CEO post-succession process’, is a critical phase in the history of an organization, because it is associated with a high rate of organizational failure and CEO dismissal. Research on this important process has grown rapidly over the last decade, focusing particularly on the question of how the match...

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English / 01/01/2015

On calmness of the argmin mapping in parametric optimization problems

Recently, Cánovas et al. presented an interesting result: the argmin mapping of a linear semi-infinite program under canonical perturbations is calm if and only if some associated linear semi-infinite inequality system is calm. Using classical tools from parametric optimization, we show that the if-direction of this condition holds in a much more general framework of optimization...

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English / 01/01/2015

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