Publications des institutions partenaires
Axiomatization of a Preference for Most Probable Winner
In binary choice between discrete outcome lotteries, an individual may prefer lottery L1 tonlottery L2 when the probability that L1 delivers a better outcome than L2 is higher than thenprobability that L2 delivers a better outcome than L1. Such a preference can be rationalizednby three standard axioms (solvability, convexity and symmetry) and one less standard axiom (a fanning-in). A...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/02/2005
On the Notion of the First Best in Standard Hidden Action Problems
It is well known that ex-ante randomization can improve uponnsecond best contracts in principal-agent problems. In this note, we show that even the first-best can be dominated by a random contract. Our example isncast in a standard textbook set-up with two effort levels and two states of nature.
Institution partenaire
English / 01/02/2005
A Stochastic Expected Utility Theory
This paper proposes a new model that explains the violations of expected utility theory throughnthe role of random errors. The paper analyzes decision making under risk when individuals makenrandom errors when they compute expected utilities. Errors are drawn from the normal distribution, which is truncated so that the stochastic utility of a lottery cannot be greater (lower) than...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/02/2005
Validity of Discrete-Choice Experiments - Evidence for Health Risk Reduction
There is growing interest in discrete-choice experiments (DCE) as a method to elicit consumers' preferences in the health care sector. Increasingly this method is used to determine willingness-to-pay (WTP) for health-related goods. However, its external validity in the health care domain has not been investigated until today. This paper examines the external validity of DCE...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/02/2005
A Structural Model of Demand for Apprentices
It is a widely held opinion that apprenticeship training represents a net investment for training firms, and that therefore firms only train if they have the possibility to recoup these investments after the training period. A recent study using a new firm-level dataset for Switzerland showed, however, that for 60 percent of the firms, the apprenticeship training itself does not...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/02/2005
Gewerbsmässigkeit im schweizerischen Luftrecht
Der Begriff der Gewerbsmässigkeit hat im schweizerischen Luftrecht eine grosse Bedeutung. Werden gewerbsmässige Flüge ohne die entsprechenden Bewilligungen und Voraussetzungen durchgeführt, so resultieren gravierende zivilrechtliche, strafrechtliche und administrative Konsequenzen.
In den massgebenden internationalen Luftfahrtabkommen findet sich keine Definition der...
Institution partenaire
Deutsch / 31/01/2005
Dollar-Merkantilismus - Währungspolitik ersetzt alte Schutzmassnahmen
Institution partenaire
Deutsch / 08/01/2005
Multiple losses, ex ante moral hazard, and the implications for umbrella policies
Under certain cost conditions the optimal insurance policy offers full coverage above a deductible, as Arrow and others have shown. However, many insurance policies currently provide coverage against several losses although the possibilities for the insured to affect the loss probabilities by several prevention activities (multiple moral hazard) are substantially different. This...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2005
Asymmetric vertical integration
We examine vertical backward integration in a reduced-form model of successive oligopolies. Our key findings are: (i) There may be asymmetric equilibria where some firms integrate and others remain separated, even if firms are symmetric initially; (ii) Efficient firms are more likely to integrate vertically. As a result, integrated firms also tend to have a large market share. The...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2005
Subjective well-being and the family: results from an ordered probit model with multiple random effects
The previous literature on the determinants of individual well-being has failed to fully account for the interdependencies in well-being at the family level. This paper develops an ordered probit model with multiple random effects that allows to identify the intra-family correlation in wellbeing. The parameters of the model can be estimated with panel data using Maximum Marginal...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2005
Institutions and development: the interaction between trade regime and political system
This paper argues that an unequal distribution of political power, biased to landed elites and owners of natural resources, in combination with openness to trade is a major obstacle to development of natural resource- or land-abundant economies. We develop a two-sector general equilibrium model and show that in an oligarchic society public investments conducive to industrialization...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2005
Neue Dynamik im schweizerischen Technologieportfolio
Das Bundesamt für Berufsbildung und Technologie (BBT) erhebt in Zusammenarbeit mit dem Fraunhofer-Institut für Systemtechnik und Innovationsforschung (FhG-ISI) periodisch die Patentanmeldungen des Standorts Schweiz sowie der Schweizer Unternehmen weltweit. Daraus lässt sich ein Technologieportfolio ermitteln. Es bildet die Gesamtheit der technischen Fähigkeiten und Errungenschaften...
Institution partenaire
Deutsch / 01/01/2005
The Australian health policy changes of 1999 and 2000: an evaluation
This article evaluates three measures introduced by the Australian Federal Government in 1999 and 2000 that were designed to encourage private health insurance and relieve financial pressure on the public healthcare sector. These policy changes were (i) a 30% premium rebate, (ii) health insurers offering lifetime enrolment on existing terms and the future relaxation of premium...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2005
The promise and pitfalls of restructuring network industries
This paper examines the competitive effects of reorganizing a network industry's vertical structure. In this industry, an upstream monopolist operates a network used as an input to produce horizontally differentiated final products that are imperfect substitutes. Three potential pitfalls of restructuring integrated network industries are analyzed: (i) double marginalization, (ii...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2005
Impôt négatif ou crédit d'impôt: étude de faisabilité d'une réforme des subsides de l'assurance maladie
Institution partenaire
Français / 01/01/2005
Crop biodiversity, risk management and the implications of agricultural assistance
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2005
Market access and welfare under free trade agreements: textiles under NAFTA
The effective market access granted to textiles and apparel under the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) is estimated, taking into account the presence of rules of origin. First, estimates are provided of the effect of tariff preferences combined with rules of origin on the border prices of Mexican final goods exported to the United States and of U.S. intermediate goods...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2005
On the Geography of Trade: Distance is Alive and Well
It has been widely argued that, with the decline in trade costs, the importance of distance has declined over time. On the other hand, most gravity models find that the importance of distance on bilateral trade has increased over time. This puzzle is examined here. The paper develops a new measure of the distance of trade (dot) and shows that the dot falls over the period 1962-2000...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2005
Has distance died? Evidence from a panel gravity model
This paper reports panel gravity estimates of aggregate bilateral trade for 130 countries over the period 1962-96 in which the coefficient of distance is allowed to change over time. In a standard specification in which transport costs are proxied by distance only, it is found paradoxically that the absolute value of the elasticity of bilateral trade to distance has been...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2005
Dette extérieure et situation sociopolitique. Quel rôle dans les dépenses publiques de santé dans les pays en développement?
Cet article se propose d’étudier les déterminants des dépenses publiques de santé dans les pays en développement en mettant plus particulièrement l’accent sur la contrainte financière extérieure, sur une dimension clé de la gouvernance, la corruption, et sur deux autres composantes de la situation socio-politique, l’agitation socio-politique et la dominance ethnique. On utilise pour...
Institution partenaire
Français / 01/01/2005
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