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Are there waves in merger activity after all?

This paper investigates the merger wave hypothesis for the US and the UK employing a Markov regime-switching model. Using quarterly data covering the last 30 years, for the US, we identify the beginning of a merger wave in the mid 1990s but not the much-discussed 1980s merger wave. We argue that the latter finding can be ascribed to the refined methods of inference offered by the...

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English / 01/11/2009

In search of stars: Network formation among heterogeneous agents

This paper reports results from a laboratory experiment on network formation among heterogeneous agents. The experimental design extends the Bala-Goyal (2000) model of network formation with decay and two-way flow of benefits by introducing agents with lower linking costs or higher benefits to others. Furthermore, agents' types may be common knowledge or private information. In...

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English / 01/11/2009

Real exchange rates and real interest rate differentials: A present value interpretation

Although the real exchange rate–real interest rate (RERI) relationship is central to most open economy macroeconomic models, empirical support for the relationship is generally found to be rather weak. In this paper we re-investigate the RERI relationship using bilateral US real exchange rate data spanning the period 1978–2007. Instead of testing one particular model, we build on...

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English / 01/11/2009

On the Impossibility of Core-Selecting Auctions

When goods are substitutes, the Vickrey auction produces efficient, core outcomes that yield competitive seller revenues. In contrast, with complements, the Vickrey outcome, while efficient, is not necessarily in the core and revenue can be very low. Non-core outcomes may be perceived as unfair since there are bidders willing to pay more than the winners' payments. Moreover, non...

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English / 01/11/2009

Mental Accounting in the Housing Market

We identify a consumer bias with regard to different sources of debt-financing. Less salient debt may generate psychological benefits. This should be weighed against the possible economic costs of a suboptimal capital structure, but low levels of financial literacy make it unlikely that all households perceive the full economic costs. As a result there is a bias in favour of less...

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English / 01/11/2009

Information Sharing and Information Acquisition in Credit Markets

Since information asymmetries have been identified as an important source of bank profits, it may seem that the establishment of information sharing will lead to lower investment in acquiring information. However, banks base their decisions on both hard and soft information, and it is only the former type of data that can be communicated credibly. We show that when hard information...

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English / 01/11/2009

Lemons and Money Markets

This paper identifies simple conditions for monotone comparative statics of a unique equilibrium in the Akerlof-Wilson model. Separate conditions apply to trade volume and price. Trade volume increases when supply becomes both stronger and more elastic. In contrast, price decreases when supply becomes both stronger and less elastic. An application to the interbank market suggests...

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English / 01/11/2009

To Shape the Future: How Labor Market Entry Conditions Affect Individuals' Long-Run Wage Profiles

We study the long-run effects of initial labor market conditions on wages for a large sample of male individuals entering the Austrian labor market between 1978 and 2000. We find a robust negative effect of unfavorable entry conditions on starting wages. This initial effect turns out to be quite persistent and even though wages do catch up later on, large effects on lifetime earnings...

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English / 01/11/2009

Tightening the Purse Strings: The Effect of Stricter DI Eligibility Criteria on Labor Supply

This paper explores the labor supply effects of a large-scale policy change in the Austrian disability insurance program, which tightened eligibility criteria for men above a certain age. Using administrative data on the universe of Austrian private-sector employees, the results of difference-in-difference type regressions suggest a substantial and statistically significant decline...

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English / 01/11/2009

Are Training Programs More Effective When Unemployment Is High?

We estimate short-run, medium-run, and long-run individual labor market effects of training programs for the unemployed by following program participation on a monthly basis over a 10-year period. Since analyzing the effectiveness of training over such a long period is impossible with experimental data, we use an administrative database compiled for evaluating German training...

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English / 01/11/2009

Strategic Balance Sheet Management

Die Übernahme des Risikos aus der Transformation von liquiden Kundeneinlagen in langfristige Kredite und Hypotheken ist eine wichtige Ertragsquelle Schweizerischer Kantonal- und Regionalbanken. In monatlichen Steuerungsausschüssen berät das Management über die aktuelle Risikosituation der Bank und fällt Entscheide über strategische Massnahmen, wie die Konditionenpolitik oder den...

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English / 01/11/2009

Die Krise der Wirtschaft: Auch eine Krise der Wirtschaftswissenschaften?

Is the economic and financial crisis also a crisis of Economics? From different perspectives, today there is rather harsh criticism of Economics as a Social Science. In this article, first, some of the recent failures of Economics are discussed. Then some of the criticisms are taken up that are less convincing, in particular criticisms of the application of the economic model of...

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Deutsch / 01/11/2009

The Role of Monetary Aggregates in the Policy Analysis of the Swiss National Bank

Using Swiss data from 1983 to 2008, this paper investigates whether growth rates of the different measures of the quantity of money and or excess money can be used to forecast inflation. After a preliminary data analysis, money demand relations are specified, estimated and tested. Then, employing error correction models, measures of excess money are derived. Using recursive estimates...

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English / 01/11/2009

Happiness functions with preference interdependence and heterogeneity: the case of altruism within the family

This study investigates the prevalence and extent of altruism by examining the relationship between parents’ and their adult children’s subjective well-being in a data set extracted from the German Socio-Economic Panel. To segregate the share of parents with altruistic preferences from those who are selfish, we estimate a finite mixture regression model. We control for various...

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English / 01/10/2009

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