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Untangling trade and technology: evidence from local labour markets

We juxtapose the effects of trade and technology on employment in US local labour markets between 1980 and 2007. Labour markets whose initial industry composition exposes them to rising Chinese import competition experience significant falls in employment, particularly in manufacturing and among non-college workers. Labour markets susceptible to computerisation due to specialisation...

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English / 01/05/2015

Loyalty, exit, and enforcement: evidence from a Kenya dairy cooperative

Organizations depend on members' "loyalty" for their success. Studying a cooperative's attempt to increase deliveries by members, we show that the threat of sanctions leads to highly heterogeneous response among members. Despite the cooperative not actually enforcing the threatened sanctions, positive effects for some members persist for several months. Other...

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English / 01/05/2015

Identity-specific coding of future rewards in the human orbitofrontal cortex

Nervous systems must encode information about the identity of expected outcomes to make adaptive decisions. However, the neural mechanisms underlying identity-specific value signaling remain poorly understood. By manipulating the value and identity of appetizing food odors in a pattern-based imaging paradigm of human classical conditioning, we were able to identify dissociable...

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English / 21/04/2015

Fankurven als Schiedsrichter

Die Schweiz geht zu einer neuen Wirtschaftsform über. Weiss (freie Marktwirtschaft) oder Schwarz (reine Staatswirtschaft) war zwar nie, dem Bundesrat schwebt aber eine besondere Schattierung von Dunkelgrau vor. Er sieht die Unternehmen neu als verlängerten Arm des Staates. «Der Bund erwartet von den Wirtschaftsakteuren, dass sie ihre gesellschaftliche Verantwortung wahrnehmen»,...

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Deutsch / 20/04/2015

Risk and Return around the Clock

We investigate price discovery over the 24-hour trading day for equities, currencies, bonds, and commodities. Sizable price discovery occurs around the clock for most assets. For a given asset, intraday risk and return distributions are fairly similar, indicating a broadly constant risk-return-relationship during the day. Although the amount of price discovery varies significantly...

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English / 14/04/2015

Parenting styles and economics

Does the economy influence the way people bring up their children? How can we determine and measure a child’s utility? How can parenting styles be categorized in an economic model? These are the questions that Professor Fabricio Zilibotti of the University of Zurich addressed in his honorary lecture ‘Parenting with Style’, which he delivered at the April International Academic...

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English / 10/04/2015

Pivotality and responsibility attribution in sequential voting

This paper analyzes responsibility attributions for outcomes of collective decision making processes. In particular, we ask if decision makers are blamed for being pivotal if they implement an unpopular outcome in a sequential voting process. We conduct an experimental voting game in which decision makers vote about the allocation of money between themselves and recipients without...

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English / 04/04/2015

Rendite- und Risiko-Kennzahlen für Immobilien aus Nachhaltigkeitssicht

Die neue Veröffentlichung des CCRS gibt einen Überblick über bewährte und neuere Rendite- und Risikokennzahlen für Immobilien und beurteilt sie aus Nachhaltigkeitssicht. Herausgegeben wird sie gemeinsam mit RICS Switzerland und dem Verband der Immobilieninvestoren sowie Immobilien Basel-Stadt, Migros-Pensionskasse, Liegenschaftenverwaltung Stadt Zürich, SUVA, Swisscanto und Zürcher...

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Deutsch / 01/04/2015

Is there room for geoengineering in the optimal climate policy mix?

We investigate geoengineering as a possible substitute for adaptation and mitigation measures to address climate change. With the help of an integrated assessment model, we distinguish between the effects of solar radiation management on atmospheric temperature levels and its side-effects on ecosystems. To address the uncertainty regarding the magnitude of side-effects, we rely on a...

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English / 01/04/2015

Which factors drive the skill-mix of migrants in the long-run?

A pervasive, yet little acknowledged feature of international migration to developed countries is that newly arriving immigrants are increasingly highly skilled. This paper analyses the factors affecting the change in the skill composition of immigrants in Switzerland between 1980 and 2010 using a framework suggested by Grogger & Hanson (2011). Our findings suggest that improved...

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English / 01/04/2015

Public versus private provision of liquidity: is there a trade-off?

To what extent is public debt private liquidity? Much policy advice given in the aftermath of the financial crisis rests on the assumption that increasing public debt relaxes borrowing constraints of private households. This is the case for ad-hoc debt limits, which are exogenous to public policy. Instead, if debt limits are fully endogenous, as e.g. in the case of the natural...

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English / 01/04/2015

The evolution of comparative advantage: measurement and implications

We estimate productivities at the sector level for 72 countries and 5 decades, and examine how they evolve over time in both developed and developing countries. In both country groups, comparative advantage has become weaker: productivity grew systematically faster in sectors that were initially at greater comparative disadvantage. These changes have had a signicant impact on trade...

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English / 01/04/2015

Asymmetric information and imperfect competition in lending markets

We measure the consequences of asymmetric information and imperfect competition in the Italian lending market. We show that banks' optimal price response to an increase in adverse selection varies with competition. Exploiting matched data on loans and defaults, we estimate models of demand for credit, loan use, pricing, and firm default. We find evidence of adverse selection and...

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English / 01/04/2015

Measuring and aggregating social performance of microfinance investment vehicles

This paper develops a method to measure and compare social performance of microfinance investments at the level of microfinance investment vehicles. Drawing from measurement theory, it develops formal quality criteria that individual social performance indicators, the selection, and the aggregation of such indicators into a single metric need to satisfy. Social performance indicators...

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English / 31/03/2015

Economic Momentum and Currency Returns

Past trends in a broad range of fundamental variables predict currency returns. We document that a trading strategy that goes long currencies in countries with strong economic momentum and short currencies in countries with weak economic momen- tum exhibits an annualized Sharpe ratio of about one and yields a significant alpha when controlling for standard carry, momentum, and value...

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English / 27/03/2015

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