Publications des institutions partenaires
Contest success functions: the common-pool perspective
The axiomatic route to the foundation of contest success functions (CSF) has proved to be both useful and prolific. The standard approach in the literature is based on the decision-theoretic notion that choice probabilities should be independent of irrelevant alternatives (Skaperdas, Economic Theory 1996). The present paper develops an alternative approach that suggests itself once...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/06/2015
The ambiguity triangle: uncovering fundamental patterns of behavior under uncertainty
The probability triangle (also called the Marschak-Machina triangle) allows for compact and intuitive depictions of risk preferences. Here, we develop an analogous tool for choice under uncertainty - the ambiguity triangle - and show that indifference curves in this triangle capture preferences for unknown probabilities. In particular, the ambiguity triangle allows us to examine...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/06/2015
Nazi indoctrination and anti-Semitic beliefs in Germany
Attempts at modifying public opinions, attitudes, and beliefs range from advertising and schooling to "brainwashing." Their effectiveness is highly controversial. In this paper, we use survey data on anti-Semitic beliefs and attitudes in a representative sample of Germans surveyed in 1996 and 2006 to show that Nazi indoctrination--with its singular focus on fostering racial...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/06/2015
The economics of effective leadership
Economists have typically assumed that the only way for leaders to get people to do things is to use carrots (e.g., pay raises) or sticks (e.g., threats of firing) to incentivize a desired behavior. One of the important contributions of recent research on leadership is to test the extent to which this really is true. Can leaders also motivate and inspire workers by their statements...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/06/2015
Agricultural productivity and structural transformation : evidence from Brazil
We study the effects of the adoption of new agricultural technologies on structural transformation. To guide empirical work, we present a simple model where the effect of agricultural productivity on industrial development depends on the factor bias of technical change. We test the predictions of the model by studying the introduction of genetically engineered soybean seeds in Brazil...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/06/2015
China – from investment-led to innovation-led growth
As China's economy becomes more liberalized, the authorities will scrap growth targets altogether and turn to the more modest notion of growth forecasts.
Institution partenaire
English / 01/06/2015
The Rise of the Machines: Automation, Horizontal Innovation and Income Inequality
We construct an endogenous growth model with automation (the introduction of machines which replace low-skill labor) and horizontal innovation. The economy follows three phases. First, low-skill wages are low, which induces little automation, and income inequality and labor’s share of GDP are constant. Second, as low-skill wages increase, automation increases which reduces the labor...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/06/2015
«Grexit» ist der falsche Weg : Schuldenkrise in Griechenland
Wie hart oder nachgiebig sollen Griechenlands Gläubiger gegenüber dem Mittelmeerstaat auftreten? In einem Gastbeitrag warnen drei Ökonomen vor einem Festhalten an starren Vereinbarungen.
Institution partenaire
Deutsch / 27/05/2015
Framing effects and risk perception: testing graphical representations of risk for the KIID
In this paper we analyze which graphical representation of risk is most effective in supporting investors to assess the risk and return characteristics of a fund. Moreover, we test on which criteria the investors base their risk taking behavior. To this end we compare return bar charts and price line charts, combined with some additional information such as a risk scale or a gain and...
Institution partenaire
English / 15/05/2015
Sustainability and risk Combining Monte Carlo simulation and DCF for Swiss residential buildings
Purpose – This paper aims to identify the relative contribution of sustainability criteria to property value risk. Design/methodology/approach – Adiscounted cash flow (DCF) model is used to assess the effect of a given set of 42 sustainability sub-indicators on property value. The anticipated demand for each sustainability sub-indicator is described by four future states of nature....
Institution partenaire
English / 13/05/2015
Dynamics of innovation and risks
We study the dynamics of an innovative industry when agents learn about its strength, i.e., the likelihood that it gets hit by negative shocks. Managers can exert risk-prevention effort to mitigate the consequences of such shocks. As time goes by, if no shock occurs, confidence improves. This attracts managers to the innovative sector. But, when confidence becomes high, less managers...
Institution partenaire
English / 05/05/2015
Bad boys: how criminal identity salience affects rule violation
We conducted an experiment with 182 inmates from a maximum security prison to analyze the impact of criminal identity salience on cheating. The results show that inmates cheat more when we exogenously render their criminal identity more salient. This effect is specific to individuals who have a criminal identity, because an additional placebo experiment shows that regular citizens do...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/05/2015
Counting on count data models : Quantitative policy evaluation can benefit from a rich set of econometric methods for analyzing count data
Often, economic policies are directed toward outcomes that are measured as counts. Examples of economic variables that use a basic counting scale are number of children as an indicator of fertility, number of doctor visits as an indicator of health care demand, and number of days absent from work as an indicator of employee shirking. Several econometric methods are available for...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/05/2015
Assessing the robustness of power posing: no effect on hormones and risk tolerance in a large sample of men and women
Institution partenaire
English / 01/05/2015
Apathy in schizophrenia as a deficit in the generation of options for action
Negative symptoms are a core feature of schizophrenia and have been grouped into 2 factors: a motivational factor, which we refer to as apathy, and a diminished expression factor. Recent studies have shown that apathy is closely linked to functional outcome. However, knowledge about its mechanisms and its relation to decision-making is limited. In the current study, we examined...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/05/2015
Debt into growth: how sovereign debt accelerated the first industrial revolution
Why did the country that borrowed the most industrialize first? Earlier research has viewed the explosion of debt in 18th century Britain as either detrimental, or as neutral for economic growth. In this paper, we argue instead that Britain’s borrowing boom was beneficial. The massive issuance of liquidly traded bonds allowed the nobility to switch out of low-return investments such...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/05/2015
Eye spots do not increase altruism in children
The evolutionary legacy hypothesis proposes that an evolved reciprocity-based psychology affects human behavior in anonymous one-shot interactions when reciprocity is not explicitly possible. Empirical support rests on experiments showing that altruism among adults increases in the presence of stylized eye spots or faces. Such stimuli do not affect material payoffs, but they are...
Institution partenaire
English / 01/05/2015
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