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Kundenwertanalyse: Eine schwierige Problematik – aber es gibt auch Erfolge!

Welche Faktoren entscheiden darüber, dass ein Kundenwert letztendlich so eingeführt werden kann, dass der Verkauf ihn als strategisches Verkaufs-Instrument erfolgswirksam zu nutzen vermag? Zu nennen sind vorausschauende Planung, systematische Bestimmung der Anforderungen und sorgfältige, auf die Anforderungen abgestimmte mathematische Formulierung der Berechnung. Weiter stellen der…

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Deutsch / 01/01/2006

The macroeconomics of child labor regulation

We develop a positive theory of the adoption of child labor laws. Workers who compete with children in the labor market support a child labor ban, unless their own working children provide a large fraction of family income. Fertility decisions lock agents into specific political preferences, and multiple steady states can arise. The introduction of child labor laws can be triggered…

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English / 01/12/2005

Formalized Data Snooping Based on Generalized Error Rates

It is common in econometric applications that several hypothesis tests are carried out at the same time. The problem then becomes how to decide whichnhypotheses to reject, accounting for the multitude of tests.nThe classical approach is to control the familywise error rate (FWE), that is, thenprobability of one or more false rejections. But when thennumber of hypotheses under…

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English / 01/12/2005

A Note on the Impossibility of a Satisfactory Concept of Stability for Coalition Formation Games

In this note we show that no solution to coalition formation games can satisfy a set of axioms that we propose as reasonable. Our result points out that “solutions” to the coalition formation cannot be interpreted as predictions of what would be “resting points” for a game in the way stable coalition structures are usually interpreted.

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English / 01/12/2005

Avoiding Data Snooping in Multilevel and Mixed Effects Models

"Multilevel or mixed effects models are commonly applied to hierarchical data; for example,nsee Goldstein (2003), Raudenbush and Bryk (2002), and Laird and Ware (1982). Although therenexist many outputs from such an analysis, the level-2 residuals, otherwise known as randomneffects, are often of both substantive and diagnostic interest. Substantively, they are frequently used…

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English / 01/12/2005

Money Illusion Under Test

Much progress has been made in recent years in developing and applying a direct measure of utility using survey questions on satisfaction with income and with life in general. In this paper we apply this new type of measurement to the study of money illusion. Using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel for the years 1993 to 2003, we cannot reject the hypothesis of no money…

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English / 01/11/2005

Protecting Cultural Monuments Against Terrorism

Famous cultural monuments are often regarded as unique icons, making them an attractive target for terrorists. Despite huge military and police outlays, terrorist attacks on important monuments can hardly be avoided. We argue that an effective strategy for discouraging terrorist attacks on iconic monuments is for the government to show a firm commitment to swift reconstruction. Using…

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English / 01/11/2005

Zwei Utopien jenseits des Weltstaates und der Anarchie

"To overcome problems produced by globalization, some people see the solution in a WorldnGovernment while others see it in an autarchic global market without any governmentnintervention. Both solutions are rejected due to their major shortcomings. Two superiornsolutions are proposed: (1) A net of Functional, Overlapping Democratic Jurisdictions (FOCJ)nconfirming to a geography…

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English / 01/11/2005

Cost Sharing in Health Insurance: An Instrument for Risk Selection?

Health insurance is potentially subject to risk selection, i.e. adverse selection on the part of consumers and cream skimming on the part of insurers. Adverse selection models predict that competitive health insurers can eschew high-risk individuals by o¤ering contracts with low deductibles or co-payment rates, while attracting low-risk individuals with higher copayments, resulting…

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English / 01/11/2005

Deregulating Network Industries: Dealing with Price-Quality Tradeoffs

This paper examines the e®ects of introducing competition into monopolized network industries on prices and infrastructure quality. Analyzing a model with reduced-form demand, we ¯rst show that deregulating an integrated monopoly cannot simultaneously decrease the retail price and increase infrastructure quality. Second, we derive conditions under which reducing both retail price and…

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English / 01/10/2005

The dynamics of government

We model income redistribution with dynamic distortions as determined by rational voting without commitment among individuals of different types and income realizations. We find that redistribution is too persistent relative to that chosen by a planner with commitment. The difference is larger, the lower is the political influence of young agents, the lower is the altruistic concern…

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English / 01/10/2005

Auszeichnungen: Ein Vernachlässigter Anreiz

Laut ökonomischer Standardtheorie sollen Arbeitsanreize mittels Geldzahlungen vermittelt werden. Materielle Anreize in nicht-monetärer Form sind demgegenüber weniger effizient, sind aber dennoch weit verbreitet. Auszeichnungen in Form von Titeln, Orden, Medaillen und Ehrungen (Preisen) wurden bisher nicht beachtet. Es handelt sich dabei um extrinsische, nicht-materielle Anreize die…

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English / 01/10/2005

Unique Equilibria in the Rubinstein Bargaining Model when the Payoff Set is Non-Convex

I give necessary and sufficient conditions for the uniqueness of the equilibrium in a wide class of Rubinstein bargaining models. The requirements encompass a class of non-convex or disconnected payoff sets with discontinuous Pareto frontiers. The equilibrium of the non-cooperative game is unique if the objective function of the corresponding Nash-bargaining game has a unique maximum…

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English / 01/10/2005

The Relevance of Procedural Utility for Economics

This paper aims at showing the relevance of procedural utility for economics: people do not only care about outcomes, as usually assumed in economics, they also value the processes and conditions leading to outcomes. The psychological foundations of procedural utility are outlined and it is discussed how the concept differs from other related approaches in economics, like outcome…

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English / 01/10/2005

Did Nordic Countries Recognize the Gathering Storm of World War II? Evidence from the Bond Markets

This paper analyzes and compares different ways of assessing how people perceived impending threats of war in the past. Conventional Nordic historiography of World War IInclaims there were few, if any, people in the Nordic countries who perceived a significantlynincreased threat of war between 1938 and early 1940. At the same time, historical methodsnface problems when it comes to…

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English / 01/10/2005

Secondary School Track Selection of Single - Parent Children Evidence from the German Socio-Economic Panel

In present day Germany, one in seven children is raised in a single parent household. We investigate the effect of single parenthood on children’s educational attainment, measured by the school track at the age 14, using ordered probit models. We study whether the effect of living in single parenthood during early or late childhood differs. Finally, we ask whether the family effect…

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English / 01/10/2005

Using revealed preferences to infer environmental benefits, evidence from recreational fishing licenses

We develop and apply a new method for estimating the economic benefits of an environmental amenity. The method is based upon the notion of estimating the derived demand for a privately traded option to utilize an open access good. In particular, the demand for state fishing licenses is used to infer the benefits of recreational fishing. Using panel data on state fishing license sales…

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English / 01/09/2005

The ageing of society, health services provision and taxes

This paper investigates the outcome of ageing on taxes and hospitalisation of the elderly using panel data on 23 Swedish county councils 1980–1999. We test two hypotheses; whether a larger share of elderly has no negative effect on bed days per elderly person and no positive effect on tax rates. We reject the first hypothesis but fail to reject the second hypothesis. Further we…

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English / 01/09/2005

Rumours and markets

The paper presents a simple model to study the effects of rumours on markets. Agents in our economy communicate with their local neighbours which gives rise to the possible spread of a rumour. As the rumour affects beliefs of the agents the evolution of the rumour has a direct impact on market outcomes. Our results show that if the rumour dies out long-run equilibrium prices…

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English / 01/09/2005

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